Stugray2
Heisman
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RE: How does the B1G respond if OU and UT go to the SEC?
(07-22-2021 03:21 AM)JRsec Wrote: (07-22-2021 03:04 AM)BruceMcF Wrote: (07-22-2021 02:35 AM)Wedge Wrote: (07-22-2021 01:32 AM)Frank the Tank Wrote: The thing is that the UT/OU addition is such a monster expansion for the SEC that it’s hard for any league to really react. Nothing short of adding Notre Dame full-time could come close to moving the needle like that move.
That's it. If the UT/OU move happens, shortly after that the SEC will announce a big increase in the already huge TV deal they just made with ESPN.
... There's no point in expanding for the sake of expanding, or dividing a same-sized pie into more pieces. ...
This is the key point. "Keeping up" with the SEC is not keeping up with the size of the SEC, it's keeping up with the $$$/school.
But the only moves other than Notre Dame that would have increased the value per school involved Texas, Oklahoma, or both.
Here's the thing about Notre Dame. If the Big 10 wants them get the 20 million in North Carolina and Virginia. Striking the head of the ACC leaves them nowhere else to go. They sure won't join the SEC, the Big 12 will be no use to them and the PAC is too far. They close the SEC gap by half and earn you more by closing the advertising backdoor into a lot of Big 10 cities. If you have to move to 18 with Duke so be it, another academic coup and basketball credits.
Duke, Maryland, North Carolina, Notre Dame, Penn State, Virginia
Indiana, Michigan, Michigan State, Ohio State, Purdue, Rutgers
Illinois, Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, Northwestern, Wisconsin
The ACC remnant and the B12 remnant form a new conference.
We are talking 2036 here, when the ACC GOR runs out, but yes, agree. Following your logic ...
That "new" conference will more likely be the best of the B12 joining the ACC. That is Kansas, TCU and Baylor. I don't see value for the ACC in the "States" or Tech or even West Virginia. Maybe one will show they can still generate enough revenue and recruit enough to compete. But probably not. So your remnant ACC could look like this (not too bad really):
Syracuse, Pitt, BC, L'ville, VT, Wake, NC State, Clemson, GT, FSU, Miami, KU, Baylor, TCU
The B12 will likely become populated by even more AAC schools when that happens, maybe a current MWC school as well. Perhaps something like this in 2036:
WVU, K State, I State, oSu, Tech, BYU, Houston, Cincy, UCF, Memphis, Colorado State and ???
That is how things tend to flow downhill. The AAC will look a lot like C-USA again (hello UAB, Rice, ODU; ECU, Tulsa and Tulane are here too).
But that is 2036 and we are not even to 2025. Who knows what the landscape will even look like by then.
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