(07-14-2021 09:19 PM)BruceMcF Wrote: Semifinals is a plural. A SF scheduled the Saturday of NFL WC weekend and a SF schedule the Monday of NFL WC weekend is an available alternative.
Nah, Saturday WC weekend will have three NFL games scheduled. Perhaps you meant week 18 or what was formerly WC weekend, in which case it still wouldn't be the following Monday when there is an open Saturday two days prior. This is literally the only date they can play two major SF games and maximize eyeballs so long as the NFL calendar remains stable for the time being.
Here is what I see happening for NYD. You get the Rose Bowl matching up 3rd and 4th place teams from the Pac and B1G. The matchups laid out previously in the thread are respectable. In essence, the quality of the game itself will be more comparable to the Holiday Bowl or a notch above that. However, the Rose will get a QF game every 7 years when the 1st is on a Saturday. This is the latest possible date they'll play the QF in any future cycle (this year not in play, but maybe 29' or some year around there is in play for QFs/NYD).
Gator, Citrus, and Outback bowls may be forced to take some highly ranked AAC, Conf USA, or ACC schools because the B1G and SEC pool will be too diluted to get a quality pairing. Tough pill to swallow, but better than 1/3 of the players from a major school opting out to prepare for the draft.
The Peach, Fiesta, Sugar, Orange, Cotton (all of whom will be willing to switch dates) will move back to accommodate a QF game or forward for a SF game. However, we now have a total of 6 games to fill minus the NCG. However, I don't believe they will put the QFs under the Bowl umbrella, but they still could. In that case, we'd have six playoff "bowl" games + NCG. You could see the Gator, Citrus, and Outback being promoted to a QF 6 out of 7 years (when the Rose Bowl doesn't absorb a QF slot on NYD falling on Saturday).
As to my previous paragraph, I think it is slightly less likely because of travel. Traveling to a P5 bye school's regional NFL or on-campus site is more feasible. Rather, I see most of these bowls staying on the 1st and serving their purpose as meaningless exhibition games. Two existing NY6 Bowls (sans the Rose Bowl) will be bumped to first Saturday at least 1 week apart from NYD, serving as national SFs. It can rotate between the 5/6 NY6 bowls (not the Rose) or they can add a sixth partner to retain a three year cycle for all parties involved. I see the current CFP contract running its course, unless we get my original scenario and the Bowls agree they want to take part (with the Rose Bowl vetoing or reluctantly accepting the new guidelines).