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ESPN FPI projects UAB's Football Season
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blazerjay Offline
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Post: #1
ESPN FPI projects UAB's Football Season
For those of you that like random made up ratings, this is for you.

UAB
Team Rank: 69
6 Wins %: 90.4
Win Div %: 41.1*
Win Conf %: 26.0*
* highest % of any conference teams

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/fpi/_/id/5


What is the FPI? Here is ESPN's explanation:
Quote:“Each team’s FPI rating is composed of a predicted offensive, defensive and special team component. These ratings represent the number of points each unit is expected to contribute to the team’s net scoring margin on a neutral field against an average FBS opponent.” It is meant to be a predictive measure, and its projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using the FPI, past results and remaining schedule, and it changes on a weekly basis during the season.

The preseason FPI is determined by four factors: Performance over the past four seasons with the greatest emphasis on this past season; returning starters at quarterback and on offense and defense overall; whether a team has a returning head coach; and recruiting rankings over the past four seasons.

Jacksonville State | Sept. 1 | Montgomery
FPI Chance to win: 92.2%

Opponent FPI rank: N/A

Georgia | Sept. 11 | Athens, GA
FPI Chance to win: 6.1%

Opponent FPI rank: 5

North Texas | Sept. 18 | Denton, TX
FPI Chance to win: 60.4%

Opponent FPI rank: 99

Tulane | Sept. 25 | New Orleans, LA
FPI Chance to win: 27.9%

Opponent FPI rank: 48

Liberty | Oct. 2 | Birmingham
FPI Chance to win: 60.2%

Opponent FPI rank: 72

Florida Atlantic | Oct. 9 | Birmingham
FPI Chance to win: 65.8%

Opponent FPI rank: 84

Southern Mississippi | Oct. 16 | Hattiesburg
FPI Chance to win: 67.2%

Opponent FPI rank: 109

Rice | Oct. 23 | Birmingham
FPI Chance to win: 86.0%

Opponent FPI rank: 120

Louisiana Tech | Nov. 6 | Birmingham
FPI Chance to win: 82.3%

Opponent FPI rank: 110

Marshall | Nov. 13 | Huntington, WV
FPI Chance to win: 44.7%

Opponent FPI rank: 76

UTSA | Nov. 20 | San Antonio
FPI Chance to win: 52.4%

Opponent FPI rank: 91

UTEP | Nov. 27 | Birmingham
FPI Chance to win: 92.2%

Opponent FPI rank: 123

Projected CUSA Standings

East
1. 7-1 FAU (9-3) • [36.0% Div | 19.8% Conf]
2. 7-1 Marsh (10-2) • [35.9% Div | 21.0% Conf]
3. 4-4 FIU (6-6) • [4.2% Div | 1.3% Conf]
4. 4-4 WKU (5-7) • [8.2% Div | 3.0% Conf]
5. 3-5 Char (4-8) • [10.0% Div | 3.2% Conf]
6. 3-5 MTSU (5-7) • [5.7% Div | 1.7% Conf]
7. 0-8 ODU (1-11) • [0.1% Div | 0.0% Conf]

West
1. 7-1 UAB (9-3) • [41.1% Div | 26.0% Conf]
2. 6-2 UTSA (8-4) • [26.1% Div | 12.2% Conf]
3. 6-2 La Tech (7-5) • [9.8% Div | 3.4% Conf]
4. 4-4 S Miss (6-6) • [8.1% Div | 2.8% Conf]
5. 3-5 N Texas (4-8) • [12.1% Div | 5.0% Conf]
6. 1-7 Rice (2-10) • [2.5% Div | 0.6% Conf]
7. 1-7 UTEP (3-9) • [0.4% Div | 0.1% Conf]
07-14-2021 11:16 AM
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DuelingDragon Offline
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Post: #2
RE: ESPN FPI projects UAB's Football Season
A reasonable assessment if you haven't seen practice or have a sense of what UAB has in reserve at the question positions.
07-14-2021 12:00 PM
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hooverblazer Online
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Post: #3
RE: ESPN FPI projects UAB's Football Season
I would be very happy with that result. 9-3, another division championship, and the conference championship would be at Protective Stadium in a rematch vs FAU.
07-14-2021 12:04 PM
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blazers9911 Offline
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Post: #4
RE: ESPN FPI projects UAB's Football Season
I’m surprised that we are such a big dog at Tulane, and such a big favorite against La Tech. I’m also surprised we have a 6% chance against Georgia.
07-14-2021 12:09 PM
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DuelingDragon Offline
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Post: #5
RE: ESPN FPI projects UAB's Football Season
Two teams that I think are wildcards in the conference: Western Kentucky and Rice.

WKU should've been better than their record the last couple of years. The new QB and receivers could be scary good.

Rice has steadily gotten better and picked up a nice transfer QB. They are solid in every phase and well-coached. I don't think they have enough talent to challenge for the division title I won't be surprised if they knock off one of the top contenders.
07-14-2021 12:20 PM
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Blazing Saddles Offline
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Post: #6
ESPN FPI projects UAB's Football Season
69, nice!
07-14-2021 05:27 PM
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USAFBlazerFan Offline
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Post: #7
RE: ESPN FPI projects UAB's Football Season
(07-14-2021 05:27 PM)Blazing Saddles Wrote:  69, nice!

03-lmfao03-drunk01-lauramac2
07-14-2021 07:53 PM
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