(05-15-2021 05:00 PM)SoCalBobcat78 Wrote: https://www.collegefactual.com/colleges/...rsity.html
Seattle is an outlier in every league but the WCC. Their students come from out west:
Washington 42.7%
California 21.3%
Oregon 8.6%
Hawaii 8.5%
Colorado 3.7%
Arizona 2.0%
Idaho 1.8%
Utah 1.7%
Texas 1.4%
Nevada 1.2%
Seattle is a western school and needs to be in a western league. One out of five their students come from California, so I cannot imagine why Seattle would want to be in a Dakota centric league. Traveling to Fargo, North Dakota, Brooking South Dakota, Tulsa, Oklahoma and Macomb, Illinois has got to be low on their list. They are not recruiting students or athletes in these areas.
Denver and Seattle joined the WAC together back in 2011, Denver stayed for just one season. As it stands right now, there is no reason to join Denver in the Summit. Denver does not have a baseball team, or a cross country team or a track & field team. In men's soccer, Air Force, UNLV, and San Jose State are associate members of the WAC. In men's baseball, Sacramento State is an associate member. There is no travel advantage to the Summit.
The WAC in 2021 will have 13 baseball teams and 11 men's soccer teams. The Summit will have 7 baseball teams and 7 men's soccer teams. If WIU leaves for the OVC, that will be down to six each. It is not the most secure league. This whole subject started because some guy decided to write a speculative article on contraction. The WAC is not looking to get rid of Seattle. Seattle is the top academic school in the conference. They have developed rivalries with western schools like CBU, GCU and UVU. They have the 14th largest TV market in the country, a lot of athletic talent in the area and they move into the Climate Pledge Arena this fall. The WAC does not want them to leave and it makes no sense for a school like Seattle to leave for the Summit.
Thanks for responding with a thought-out, data-driven answer. This board needs more of that. However, I never stated that Seattle would move to the Summit League. I said that the best fit for Seattle, outside of the WCC, is the Summit League less WIU (which could be heading to the OVC). In addition, I don't think that it's likely that they do move.
Regarding your undergraduate breakdown - I think this actually provides evidence that Seattle ought to leave the WAC. Yes, Seattle has a large population of students who come from western states. I think it is silly to assume that this is closely tied to the fact that Seattle is in the WAC. I think it's far more likely that Seattle is pulling students from across the west due to it being located in a major, popular city that's fairly close by. Seattle's pull in California isn't going to rapidly decline because they're no longer playing Cal Baptist. In contrast, they could attempt to make inroads in Denver, Minneapolis, Kansas City, and Omaha were they to join the Summit. Denver and MSP in particular are culturally similar enough to Seattle that they could probably get a good chunk of students from these areas by raising awareness of their existence. Matt Brown has written much on this topic.
Regarding recruiting - this may be a loss. However, it looks like most of their basketball recruits come from the Bay Area. Only two of their men's basketball players came from the LA area, and one is a grad transfer from Washington State. Otherwise, their roster overlaps minimally with the rest of the WAC footprint.
On soccer, cc, and track and field - yes, travel may be worse in these sports. I think overall, travel will be easier (if and only if WIU leaves). In sports like MBB, they also won't have to play the same team twice in one weekend, which looks bush league.
Regarding stability - this is a real concern. Purely personal opinion, but I do think that the Summit is getting more stable and is certainly of comparable stability to the WAC. The sports question is a real concern though.
Regarding the WAC getting rid of Seattle - I think for the most part, this is correct. However, the WAC isn't a monolith and there are clearly some people in the WAC who do want to get rid of Seattle. We can only speculate on how prevalent that view is.