BRACKETOLOGY UPDATES:
PROJECTED "LAST EIGHT IN" THE NCAA ACCORDING TO:
bracketmatrix.com: VCU, GT,
CSU,
Wichita St.,
Xavier, Drake, MSU, &
Boise St.
https://www.dratings.com/predictor/bracketology/: VCU, Maryland, Drake,
Wichita St.,
Xavier,
Boise St.,
CSU, & St. Louis
https://thebarkingcrow.com/ncaat-bracketology/: Rutgers,
Wichita St., SMU, UCSB,
Xavier/
CSU, &
Boise St./Syracuse appear to be their "last 8 in."
http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketb...cketology:
last eight in: Louisville, GT, VCU, Drake, MSU,
CSU,
Boise St., &
Xavier
first eight out (projected NIT 1 and 2 seeds):
Utah St.,
St. Louis, Seton Hall,
Syracuse, Memphis, SMU,
Mississippi, & St. John's
https://www.cbssports.com/college-basket...cketology/
last four in ("first four"): (11) VCU, (11)
Xavier, (12) Drake, (12)
Boise St.
Other 11 seeds: St. Bona., UCLA, MSU (would play 6 seeds)
Other 12 seeds: Loyola-Chicago, UCSB, WKU (would play 5 seeds)
first four out:
St. Louis,
Syracuse,
Mississippi,
Utah St.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
#42 Drake has moved ahead of #73 Michigan State at bracket matrix.com, and they're both projected to be in the NCAA tournament - - just ahead of the other projected 12 seeds - - (BSU, & WSU), making up the projected "last 4 in". All four of these teams could easily end up in the NIT.
Drake is listed as a potential NCAA 11 seed at
https://www.dratings.com/predictor/bracketology/, but as a NIT 2 seed at
https://thebarkingcrow.com/nit-bracketology/
CBS bracketologist Jerry Palm has written that he expects Drake, St. Bonaventure, and VCU to be in the NCAA even if they lose their conf tourney championship games. He's also very optimistic about Utah State's chances at making the tournament.
#65 Wichita State (15-4) is listed as a potential NCAA 11 seed, alongside VCU and Maryland, at bracketmatrix.com by 104 bracketologies, including
https://www.dratings.com/predictor/bracketology/ and
https://thebarkingcrow.com/nit-bracketology/
#44 St. Louis (14-6) was eliminated from the A10 tournament, and is a long shot to make the NCAA field, but is - from all appearances - likely to be a 1 or 2 seed in the NIT.
#47 Utah St. (18-7) strengthened their resume with a win, and will be a likely NIT 1 seed if they don't make it into the NCAA.
#49 Syracuse (15-8) is now listed as a NIT 1 seed by bracketmatrix.com and
https://thebarkingcrow.com/nit-bracketology/
#51 Louisville (13-6) has shot up to a 10 seed at bracketmatrix.com.
#56 Xavier (13-7) is in danger of becoming a NIT - rather than NCAA team - after their loss to (13-13) Marquette.
#56 Mississippi (15-10) may have improved their NIT seeding with a win. They are now listed as a #1 NIT seed at
https://www.dratings.com/predictor/bracketology/, alongside MSU, Utah St., & Syracuse.
#57 Seton Hall (13-12) lost to #67 St. John's (now 16-10). Seton Hall may drop down a few NIT seeds, while the St. John's win has kept their hopes for a NIT - if not the NCAA - bid alive.
https://www.dratings.com/predictor/bracketology/ now has St. John's listed as a probable NIT 3 seed, and
http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/bracketology concurs with this prediction.
#58 Duke (11-11) lost to UNC by 19 points, and may need another win to have a strong chance to make the NIT field.
https://thebarkingcrow.com/nit-bracketology/ now has Duke as a #16 NIT seed, with Richmond and Kentucky out of their NIT bracketology.
#64 St. Mary's solidified its NIT prospects with a quarterfinal WCC win.
#85 WKU (18-6) beat (15-7) ODU, and may able to become a contender for the NIT, even if it doesn't play get the CUSA auto-bid.
Kentucky (now 8-15) and Indiana (now 12-14) appear to be teetering on the verge of elimination from the NCAA/NIT tourneys, as are Richmond (13-8; 6-5) and Stanford.
#74 Louisiana Tech has dropped from the "other at-larges" to the "other auto-bids" list, and its average rating has dropped to 12.30, but it is still on the NIT radar screen according to
https://www.dratings.com/predictor/bracketology/
Despite #62 Davidson's (12-8) loss in the A-10 tournament,
https://www.dratings.com/predictor/bracketology/ is now listing Davidson as a probable NIT 3 seed. They also list (#66; 13-9)) NC State and (#78; 13-14) Minnesota as probable 4 seeds in their NIT bracketology.
https://thebarkingcrow.com/nit-bracketology/ also has Minnesota in as a likely 4 seed.
Jerry Palm is predicting that Duke, Indiana, and Georgia are very unlikely to make the NCAA field unless they make a last minute run, and that Louisville could miss the NCAA tournament unless they notch at least one more win.
Penn State has disappeared from the "other at-larges" (NIT bubble) list, and would need to play extremely well in the Big Ten tourney to play in the NCAA or NIT.
#80 Dayton (14-9) and #90 Belmont (25-4) have failed to advance in their conference tournaments, and may be unlikely to get a NIT bid, although
https://www.dratings.com/predictor/bracketology/ has Dayton listed as a "first four out" team in their projected NIT field, along with Stanford, Missouri St. & Buffalo.
....................................................................................................
"OTHER AT-LARGES" (POTENTIAL NIT TEAMS) LISTED BY BRACKETMATRIX.COM:
.TEAM.....................CONFERENCE...........AVERAGE SEED ("VOTES")
Saint Louis (14-6)......Atlantic 10................11.64 (36) NET:
44
Seton Hall (13-12).......Big East..................11.79 (33) NET: 57
Syracuse (15-8).............ACC.....................11.82 (17) NET: 49
Utah St. (17-7)........Mountain West............11.57 (14) NET:
47
SMU^(11-4)...............American.................11.00 (8) NET: 54
Marshall (15-6)...............CUSA...................11.75 (6) NET:
81(?)
Mississippi (15-10).......SEC......................12.00 (6) NET: 52
Memphis^(15-6)..........American.................10.80 (5) NET: 53
Duke....
(11-11(?))...........ACC......................12.00 (4) NET: 59
St. Mary's (CA) (14-8)..West Coast...............10.00 (2) NET: 64
Indiana..(
12-14(?)).......Big Ten.................11.50 (2) NET: 60
Richmond (13-8)..........Atlantic 10.................9.00 (1) NET:
69
Kentucky(
8-15(?))............SEC.....................12.00 (1) NET: 65
Stanford
(14-12(?))......Pacific-12................12.00 (1) NET:
70
Louisiana Tech (
19-6).......CUSA...................12.30 (10) NET:
74 (listed as one of the "last four in" the NIT field by
https://www.dratings.com/predictor/bracketology/
NOTE:
Davidson and NC State have also been listed as potential NIT teams by some bracketology websites, such as
https://thebarkingcrow.com/nit-bracketology/ and
https://www.dratings.com/predictor/bracketology/.
^Memphis, SMU, and Wichita State are all ranked higher in the Massey Composite rankings (
Memphis (#47),
SMU (#49), and
Wichita State (#53) than they are in the NET.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Other Possible NIT teams:
According to bracketmatrix.com, these are the teams that are at greatest risk of being knocked out of the NCAA and into the NIT if there are enough upset conference tourney champs, or if a dark horse wins their own conference tourney:
"next four in"
#35 VCU (19-6) (Q1/Q2:
9-4)
Coming off impressive defeats of Dayton and Davidson, VCU should be a near-lock as long as they're not blown out by St. Bonaventure in the A-10 tourney championship game. A win in that game could propel VCU into an 11-6 match-up in NCAA round 1.
#38 Georgia Tech (15-8) (Q1/Q2:
8-6)
#50 Colorado St (17-5) (Q1/Q2: 4-5)
#65 Wichita State (13-4) (Q1/Q2: 4-4)
"Last four in":
#56 Xavier (13-7) (Q1/Q2: 5-7)
#40 Drake (
23-3) (Q1/Q2:
6-1)
#72 Michigan St. (14-11) (Q1/Q2: 8-11)
#42 Boise St (17-7) (Q1/Q2: 4-6)
============================================
.