(02-23-2021 07:20 AM)RealDeal Wrote: (02-22-2021 03:21 PM)bearcatmark Wrote: The positive is there are guys on the roster that have the potential to be good players on tournament teams as they develop. Brannen has to keep them around, he needs to keep trying to fill out the roster with quality guys and get to a place where he needs 3-4 recruits a year not 6 or 7 (Mick talked about this a lot his first few years).
I'm not convinced Brannen is the guy, but given the massive roster turnover and the weak post Scott/Jarron classes he inherited, I'm not bailing either. Programs that don't recruit the elite top 20-25 type players need time to develop their guys (hell in this weird year where teams don't get the time together they normally do even those kind of programs like UK/Duke have really struggled without strong upper classes). We don't have a good upper class right now. If the guys Brannen brought in don't provide down the line it will be time to move on.
I feel the exact same way. My concern is that the COVID timing couldn't have come at a worse time. Now we have a lot of openings in a year where they haven't been out on the road recruiting in 12 months so anyone we bring in this year will be someone they haven't seen play in over a year. Not to mention the development of our younger players has been stunted by disruption of off season workouts and in season practice disruptions.
We really had our timetable pushed back a year but the support from the fanbase isn't going to be there if year 3 isn't an improvement on year 2. Realistically 20-21 would be a year you just cross out and forget about it but when you're .500 in year three youre going to have people looking back and saying we're .500 for two straight years at a program where that's completely unacceptable. Long way of saying I think this year needs a pass but I don't think the average fan will look back that way next year.
For Brannen to not lose the average fan we need to hit a couple big wins in the transfer market and then next year do the same in the traditional recruiting market. Between DDJ, MAW, Mason, Tari there's potentially a team that can be better next year with a couple additions.
And here is where I have the gravest concerns regarding Brannen. The relationships in the "traditional recruiting" (i.e. youth basketball into AAU into High School) is a long-term commitment by the Coaching staff. It's not as simple as "Well, one year I go 'transfer' and the next I go 'traditional.'" You have to be out there cultivating those relationships with Coaches and players EVERY YEAR. And yet, we have ZERO...NO...recruits for this upcoming year, and the pressure now is going to be for Brannen to hit three-or-four "homerun" recruits through the "transfer portal." Ideally, Brannen should be out there trying to get
at least one or two HS players in...just to keep the relationships going with the "traditional" coaches and schools...but that looks even less likely now than it did at the start of the season.
What happens, as you say, when in the 2021-2022 season we zero in on the "hot" prospects for the year and Brannen goes to try and visit them...and they (by definition) will also be courted by the Calipari's and the Steele's of the world...and the BB coaches go, "Yeah, well, I'm not going to go out of my way to make an introduction..." or "Yeah, well, you see I think my kid would be better served at Xavier or Kentucky..."
The whole "transfer portal" seems to me to be eerily akin to the old "JUCO" market in FB. Programs that relied exclusively or heavily on JUCO kids, as opposed to "traditional recruiting," never seemed to do well. Especially in College BB, the teams that dominate are loaded with "One-and-done" HS kids, not "transfer" kids. And I don't even "like" the "One-and-done" mentality, but those are the teams that have lit up the NCAA tourney.
I really worry that this move to relying on the "Transfer Portal" for UC Basketball is not going to result in our thriving...and could do long-lasting damage in recruiting going forward.