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FBS vs FCS games in 2021
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ken d Offline
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Post: #61
RE: FBS vs FCS games in 2021
(02-23-2021 02:38 PM)Wedge Wrote:  
(02-23-2021 11:46 AM)ken d Wrote:  If you really want unbiased rankings, you'd probably have to get them from the bookmakers, but they are too busy taking our money.

Nope. The bookmakers' odds and rankings are biased in favor of evening out the amount of money bet on different sides of a proposition, because that means the book is protected from big losses and always makes money on the juice.

That's why certain teams popular with individual bettors are usually overrated by the sportsbooks. The odds on those teams to win are longer than they should be, or point spreads are less favorable to them than they should be, because the book wants to induce more people to bet against the popular teams to cover the bets made by people who bet on the popular teams.

That's true. But I didn't say use point spreads to rank teams. I said ask the people who set those spreads, knowing that in some cases they are purposefully skewed by them to compensate for irrational bettor behavior.
02-23-2021 03:05 PM
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oliveandblue Offline
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Post: #62
RE: FBS vs FCS games in 2021
I don't like when Tulane play them.

Tulane has long-standing series with LSU, USM, Auburn, ULL... ...if you cannot come up with a Tulane-friendly opponent call your freaking neighbors ROFL.
(This post was last modified: 02-23-2021 07:56 PM by oliveandblue.)
02-23-2021 07:54 PM
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quo vadis Online
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Post: #63
RE: FBS vs FCS games in 2021
(02-23-2021 02:38 PM)Wedge Wrote:  
(02-23-2021 11:46 AM)ken d Wrote:  If you really want unbiased rankings, you'd probably have to get them from the bookmakers, but they are too busy taking our money.

Nope. The bookmakers' odds and rankings are biased in favor of evening out the amount of money bet on different sides of a proposition, because that means the book is protected from big losses and always makes money on the juice.

Yes, bookmakers could care less about which team is really better. Their job is to read the public's perception of how the game will go, so as to come as close as possible to getting the same amount of money bet on both teams.

The bookie might personally think the Bucs are really 10 points better than the Chiefs. But if he know the public thinks the Chiefs are a few points better, the opening line will be Chiefs -3 or something.

"Gambling", as in risk, is for the bettor. The House wants as close as possible to a sure thing.

07-coffee3
(This post was last modified: 02-23-2021 09:17 PM by quo vadis.)
02-23-2021 09:14 PM
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