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RE: SEC Dynasty: SEC playing for national title for 16th time in past 15 years
(01-13-2021 04:53 PM)Mav Wrote: (01-13-2021 10:05 AM)quo vadis Wrote: That's 11 national titles for the SEC in the past 15 seasons.
That's not only unprecedented generally, it's unprecedented for the SEC as well. The SEC has won a total of 22 AP national titles, and 11, half of them, have come in the last 15 years.
Between 1936 and 2006, a full 70 years, the SEC won 11 AP titles.
The Mouse runs the sport. The Mouse loves the SEC. You'll probably get another 11 in the next 15, too.
(01-13-2021 04:32 PM)bullet Wrote: (01-13-2021 04:01 PM)Realignment Wrote: The SEC is the premiere conference in College Football. After that, the rest are there to try and slay the beast.
Big Time Programs
SEC (Alabama, Georgia, Florida & LSU)
ACC (Clemson, Florida State & Miami)
Big 12 (Oklahoma & Texas)
Big Ten (Michigan, Ohio State & Penn State)
Pac-12 (Oregon & USC)
2nd Tier Big Time Programs
SEC (Arkansas, Ole Miss, Tennessee & Texas A&M)
ACC (Louisville)
Big 12 (Oklahoma State)
Big Ten (Michigan State & Wisconsin)
Pac-12 (Stanford, UCLA & Washington)
That's how I would see it for these conferences right now. The rest are more feel good stories for the programs if they find success.
There are 18 programs that have won all the titles in the last 35 years. Those + Oregon and Georgia have dominated the top of the polls at least back to 1968. Your top group does not include Auburn, Tennessee, Notre Dame, Washington, Nebraska or Colorado.
Nebraska fans just got done being excited they managed to beat Rutgers. Nebraska's a complete joke now. Even the local kids in Omaha are starting to wear Iowa gear around instead. It turns out losing 11 straight to your declared rivals has ramifications.
(01-13-2021 04:14 PM)Captain Bearcat Wrote: (01-13-2021 03:48 PM)JRsec Wrote: If you really want to see where the power is consolidated then confine the champions to the States of Alabama, South Carolina, Florida and Louisiana and drop the conference affiliation. What you are witnessing very clearly is a consolidation of football strength in a very small region of the country, but one in which high school football is still a religion. What this represents is quantitative proof that it not only is becoming a regional sport, but has become a regional sport.
Now if you look at the whole BCS / CFP era you can see that there is still strength in the states of Oklahoma and Texas and that Ohio is still strong as well, but with minor exceptions not enough to overcome schools located in the Deep Southeast. This isn't a statement of SEC superiority, but rather a very clear picture of the power centers of the game and they are far from nationwide.
I think you're on to something: the areas where high school football is "religion" are the places where great college programs are.
High school football is a religion really in only a few places: the Deep South, much of Texas & Oklahoma, and much of Ohio. And it's in a severe decline in the Northeast & the West Coast.
This explains why the strongest programs North of the Mason-Dixon line in recent years (Ohio State, Notre Dame, Wisconsin, Cincinnati) are in Ohio or don't recruit much locally. It explains the decline of programs like Syracuse, Boston College, Penn State, and the original PAC-8.
You're seeing bleeding in the Great Plains, too. Programs out in the rural parts of the state, where high school football is a much bigger deal, are feeling the squeeze of urban flight and having to consolidate. Many of these consolidations are two old rivals having to share a new uniform, name, and colors, which kills a lot of local enthusiasm. The Omaha metro puts out decent talent, but a lot of it ends up in Iowa, North Dakota, South Dakota, or Wyoming. CTE-mania has led a lot of mothers to pressure their kids to take up other sports instead, cross country being a major beneficiary of football's PR decline.
A local writer in Omaha has done amazing work chronicling the decline of high school football in Nebraska. A lot of the problems mirror the way the state is changing as a whole.
https://omaha.com/special_sections/the-d...-football/
https://omaha.com/sports/huskers/footbal...fb33a.html
Tennessee is pretty down now. There was a time just prior to Saban when Alabama was pretty mediocre. Oklahoma was pretty weak in the early 90s. Colorado is of course waaaay down.
But most of the schools in that top 20 will turn it around. Every one of those schools has at least 5 top 5 finishes since 1968. Outside that group, only Pitt with 4 has more than 3 (only UCLA and ASU even have 3 in 53 years). Each of those schools have at least 4 top 5 finishes since 1985 and 2 top 3 finishes. Nobody else has more than 2 top 5 and only TCU has more than 1 top 3. There are only 8 top 3 finishes out side this group in the last 36 years. There are only 14 in the last 53 years. Think about that! You only get someone else in the top 3 about every 4th year.
The post suggested Texas A&M was 2nd tier (and somehow forgot Auburn). This year was the first time since 1957 when Bear Bryant coached there that A&M finished the season in the top 5. Its not a large group that seriously contends for a title.
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