(12-18-2020 09:15 PM)pesik Wrote: (12-18-2020 09:08 PM)TripleA Wrote: (12-18-2020 08:17 PM)pesik Wrote: the scholarship limit is still 13..
even next year..
there is just a exception next year that seniors who decide to stay wont count against the limit ..which i think is just a 1 year thing for next year
goes back to flat 13 in 2022
I don't think it's just seniors, although I'm not positive. I think everybody gets an extra year if they want it. This year doesn't count for anybody, afaik.
yes everyone gets an extra year, but only seniors wont count against the limit (13 scholarship players)
for example if you have 13 scholarship players, 5 are seniors, all 5 come back, you are allowed to have 18 scholarship players next year, and can bring in 5 players
if you have 13 scholarship players, none are seniors, even if all 13 planned to play 5 years you only have 13 ships for next year and cannot bring anyone else in, without pushing players out
This seems clear enough, if true.
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Assuming that it is correct, then if all of the current freshmen, sophomores, and juniors on a team remain fully eligible, express unflagging interest in returning to play in 2022-23, and decide not to opt out,
the Head Coaches may need to think more carefully than usual about how many potential recruits to offer and sign from the Class of 2022.
HCs who have, for example, two current juniors on their rosters will be inclined to consider the following options:
a) Recruit two athletes from the Class of 2022, with the expectation that two potential players either won't return in 2022-23
, or would be willing to play a season with the status of a "walk-on."
b) Sign one Class of 2022 recruit, with the expectation that one potential player won't return in 2022-23
, or would be willing to play a season with the status of a "walk-on."
c) Sign no Class of 2022 recruits, hoping, either, that all 13 current players will return in 2022-23, or that he'll be able to handle any unexpected departures with transfer(s) for the 2022-23 season.
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Regardless, the policy granting an extra year to all active players in 2020-21 may have some unexpected consequences, including the following:
In particular,
the extra-year policy may reduce the number of transfers who will seek to switch teams for the 21-22, 22-23, and 23-24 seasons.
The obvious disadvantage to the players considering a transfer is that, by transferring out,
they would be giving up the opportunity to play an extra season, and to get another year of cost-free education,
which would allow them to add an Academic Minor, a certification, a Double Major, a Master's Degree, or simply take the opportunity to complete their Bachelor's Degree in 5, rather than 4 years.
In addition,
Head Coaches may be more eager than usual to minimize the number of current players who transfer out or become ineligible because their current freshmen, sophomores, and juniors
will have the opportunity to play the equivalent of two senior years (one as a senior and one as a grad transfer).
While not every player excels during his senior year, many do, and teams with the most upperclassmen on the roster often have an added advantage. Thus,
those teams that retain the most players who are able to play an extra season will tend to have the advantages attributable to having a lot of upperclassmen on their rosters.
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In addition, there will be implications for potential recruits. Due to the advantages of retaining players who would be eligible to play an extra season,
there may be a reduction in the number of HS athletes who will receive high-D1 scholarship offers.
Some who would otherwise be likely to receive an offer might have to consider either playing at a less preferable school that has scholarships available
or considering the option to play one season as a walk-on, if they can manage the costs.
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There also will be opportunities for some lower-ranked D1 (and D2/NAIA, etc. level)
programs to acquire more talented recruits and, perhaps, a few more high-quality transfers than usual.
The exact number will be difficult to estimate, but if the typical Top 100 team adds an average of 3-4 new recruits or transfers per season, and if that number is reduced to an average of only 2-3 per season as a result, then that would result in sending as many as 100 new recruits or transfers that would have found a place on top 100 teams to lower-ranked programs in each of the next three seasons.
The result could be more parity within the conferences through 2023-24.
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Another possible consequence is that
the overall quality of play may improve over the next few seasons, due to the increased number of highly experienced players who will be playing on most college teams.
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Further clarification might be achieved by considering the implications of the extra-year policy to the example in the original post (above):
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The University "Z" Basketball Team:
1. Would the provision for seniors also apply to all student-athletes who are playing their 4th year of eligibility (including Graduate Student-athletes)?
--In other words, would the Graduate Transfer (playing his 4th season at "Univ. Z") be eligible to return in 21-22, and like a senior, not count against the limit?
2. Would the two Seniors be eligible to return in 21-22 without counting against the 13 man limit (The answer seems, from the above, to be yes)?
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NOTE: If the answers to (1) and (2) are yes, then "University Z" would have 16 players on roster in 2021-22 and 13 every succeeding year.
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3. Transfer Juniors: Would they both be eligible to play in 20-21, 21-22, and 22-23, even though they would count against the limit in 21-22, and 22-23 (The answer seems, from the above, to be yes)?
4. Would all 3 Sophomores and 8 Freshmen be able to play in 20-21, 21-22, 22-23 & 23-24, even though they would count against the limit from 21-24? (The answer seems, from the above, to be yes)
5. Would the 3 new recruits be able to play in 21-22, 22-23, 23-24 & 24-25? (The answer seems, from the above, to be yes)
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--If so, and if they were to return for 21-22 and 22-23, only 13 of the following 15 players could be on the (scholarship) roster for the 2022-23 season:
*Two current "Transfer Juniors" (playing their final season in 22-23)
*Three current Sophomores (two transfers, one RS So.)
*Five current Freshmen (3 uninjured, 1 RS Fr., 1 who'll receive RS)
*Three incoming (signed or committed) recruits in the Class of 2021.
*Two recruits from the Class of 2022 who would have replaced the two departing players (the current "Transfer Juniors").
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Could "extra year" policy result in 16-man BB rosters from 2020-21 through 2024-25?
Could "extra year" policy result in 16-man BB rosters from 2020-21 through 2024-25? 
