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Week 11 Sunbelt Projections
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eaglewraith Online
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Post: #21
RE: Week 11 Sunbelt Projections
(11-08-2020 09:38 AM)Big Buds Wrote:  
(11-07-2020 10:17 PM)Artemis Silver Bow Wrote:  Coastal at TROY
coastal wins by 50

South at Louisiana
Louisiana wins by 20

Georgia State at App
App win by 11

ULM at Ark St
Ark St wins wins by 26

Texas State at Southern
Southern wins by 18
I agree with most of this but I think Coastal wins by 20 and App. wins by a slightly larger margin. Lastly, Louisiana will win by less than 10 points...it’s who we are in 2020. We just play to the level of our competition.

Losing 2 OL to the NFL is a huge loss, and it's showing in your offense this year.
11-08-2020 01:14 PM
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panama Offline
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Post: #22
RE: Week 11 Sunbelt Projections
(11-08-2020 01:00 PM)debragga Wrote:  
(11-08-2020 08:06 AM)panama Wrote:  
(11-07-2020 10:48 PM)Goronic Wrote:  
(11-07-2020 10:39 PM)Pounce FTW Wrote:  These are all matchups with clear favorites. It would be a nice game for the good version of my Panthers to show up.

You guys did really well today. Tell you what, take next weekend off 03-wink
We let the worst team in FBS have 442 total yards and 34 points. Scorched by a backup QB. I have no confidence we win again this year.

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To be fair, that backup QB should probably be the starter.
I am sure he is making that case while showing our game film...

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11-08-2020 02:39 PM
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SkullyMaroo Offline
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Post: #23
RE: Week 11 Sunbelt Projections
(11-08-2020 12:14 PM)SlickRick12 Wrote:  SoAl game will be tough one. Likely single digit game and one we could lose if we don't have a better start offensively.

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“SoAl” will be ready for “ULL.”
11-08-2020 02:43 PM
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Big Buds Offline
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Post: #24
RE: Week 11 Sunbelt Projections
(11-08-2020 01:14 PM)eaglewraith Wrote:  
(11-08-2020 09:38 AM)Big Buds Wrote:  
(11-07-2020 10:17 PM)Artemis Silver Bow Wrote:  Coastal at TROY
coastal wins by 50

South at Louisiana
Louisiana wins by 20

Georgia State at App
App win by 11

ULM at Ark St
Ark St wins wins by 26

Texas State at Southern
Southern wins by 18
I agree with most of this but I think Coastal wins by 20 and App. wins by a slightly larger margin. Lastly, Louisiana will win by less than 10 points...it’s who we are in 2020. We just play to the level of our competition.

Losing 2 OL to the NFL is a huge loss, and it's showing in your offense this year.
No doubt! It’s been the most glaring area of concern if you ask me.
11-08-2020 05:19 PM
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Big Buds Offline
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Post: #25
RE: Week 11 Sunbelt Projections
(11-08-2020 02:43 PM)SkullyMaroo Wrote:  
(11-08-2020 12:14 PM)SlickRick12 Wrote:  SoAl game will be tough one. Likely single digit game and one we could lose if we don't have a better start offensively.

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“SoAl” will be ready for “ULL.”
This USA game will be tight!
11-08-2020 05:20 PM
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FrankyP Offline
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Post: #26
RE: Week 11 Sunbelt Projections
(11-08-2020 09:38 AM)Big Buds Wrote:  
(11-07-2020 10:17 PM)Artemis Silver Bow Wrote:  Coastal at TROY
coastal wins by 50

South at Louisiana
Louisiana wins by 20

Georgia State at App
App win by 11

ULM at Ark St
Ark St wins wins by 26

Texas State at Southern
Southern wins by 18
I agree with most of this but I think Coastal wins by 20 and App. wins by a slightly larger margin. Lastly, Louisiana will win by less than 10 points...it’s who we are in 2020. We just play to the level of our competition.

Best description of UL’s season so far.
11-09-2020 07:18 AM
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CoastalAlum2011 Online
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Post: #27
RE: Week 11 Sunbelt Projections
Coastal at Troy
Coastal wins by 21

South at Louisiana
Louisiana wins by 7

Georgia State at App
App win by 28

ULM at Ark St
ULM wins by 3

Texas State at Southern
Southern wins by 7
(This post was last modified: 11-09-2020 07:26 AM by CoastalAlum2011.)
11-09-2020 07:26 AM
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slycat Offline
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Post: #28
RE: Week 11 Sunbelt Projections
No "upsets" this week
11-09-2020 02:00 PM
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stingingeagle Offline
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Post: #29
RE: Week 11 Sunbelt Projections
I see what you did there... Trying to jinx us before we play? 03-nutkick

(11-09-2020 02:00 PM)slycat Wrote:  No "upsets" this week
11-09-2020 02:18 PM
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CajunFan3406 Offline
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Post: #30
RE: Week 11 Sunbelt Projections
(11-07-2020 10:17 PM)Artemis Silver Bow Wrote:  Coastal at TROY
coastal wins by 50

South at Louisiana
Louisiana wins by 20

Georgia State at App
App win by 11

ULM at Ark St
Ark St wins wins by 26

Texas State at Southern
Southern wins by 18

(11-08-2020 12:58 PM)debragga Wrote:  Coastal by 28
ULL by 21
App by 14
StAte by 28
GS by 21

While I appreciate you guys' optimism in the Cajuns, they haven't beaten a team by 20 this year. The only way that's happening vs USA is if the Cajuns team that played Iowa State shows up this Saturday. While I definitely take the Cajuns to win my prediction is by 7-10 pts.
11-09-2020 03:40 PM
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slycat Offline
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Post: #31
RE: Week 11 Sunbelt Projections
(11-09-2020 02:18 PM)stingingeagle Wrote:  I see what you did there... Trying to jinx us before we play? 03-nutkick

(11-09-2020 02:00 PM)slycat Wrote:  No "upsets" this week

I am ready to win a game against y'all, we don't play enough. Too many years GS is the team that gets missed from the east.
11-09-2020 04:51 PM
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TrueBlueAlum Offline
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Post: #32
RE: Week 11 Sunbelt Projections
(11-09-2020 03:40 PM)CajunFan3406 Wrote:  While I appreciate you guys' optimism in the Cajuns, they haven't beaten a team by 20 this year. The only way that's happening vs USA is if the Cajuns team that played Iowa State shows up this Saturday. While I definitely take the Cajuns to win my prediction is by 7-10 pts.

You guys had 2 special teams TD's in that game too. so a 17-14 score is probably a more appropriate gauge of just standard offense/defense in that game. That's about par for the course for us too. Uninspired.
11-09-2020 05:23 PM
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FrankyP Offline
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Post: #33
RE: Week 11 Sunbelt Projections
(11-09-2020 05:23 PM)TrueBlueAlum Wrote:  
(11-09-2020 03:40 PM)CajunFan3406 Wrote:  While I appreciate you guys' optimism in the Cajuns, they haven't beaten a team by 20 this year. The only way that's happening vs USA is if the Cajuns team that played Iowa State shows up this Saturday. While I definitely take the Cajuns to win my prediction is by 7-10 pts.

You guys had 2 special teams TD's in that game too. so a 17-14 score is probably a more appropriate gauge of just standard offense/defense in that game. That's about par for the course for us too. Uninspired.
Well, I agree and wish it weren’t so, but this will be another tight game, and the Cajuns will ‘only’ win by 7-10 points. But it does bug me when someone tries to minimizes ST scores. Last I heard those points count just as much as all the other ways a team can score. And UL has done it enough to prove it’s not just a fluke.
(This post was last modified: 11-10-2020 07:02 AM by FrankyP.)
11-10-2020 07:01 AM
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balanced_view Offline
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Post: #34
RE: Week 11 Sunbelt Projections
(11-09-2020 05:23 PM)TrueBlueAlum Wrote:  
(11-09-2020 03:40 PM)CajunFan3406 Wrote:  While I appreciate you guys' optimism in the Cajuns, they haven't beaten a team by 20 this year. The only way that's happening vs USA is if the Cajuns team that played Iowa State shows up this Saturday. While I definitely take the Cajuns to win my prediction is by 7-10 pts.

You guys had 2 special teams TD's in that game too. so a 17-14 score is probably a more appropriate gauge of just standard offense/defense in that game. That's about par for the course for us too. Uninspired.

I dont get this line of thinking. is special teams a part of the game? does every coach say that they want to win all 3 phases of the game? if you dont count special teams, you would have to change the results of all the field goal games that have been won and lost.
11-10-2020 09:00 AM
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CajunFan3406 Offline
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Post: #35
RE: Week 11 Sunbelt Projections
(11-10-2020 07:01 AM)FrankyP Wrote:  
(11-09-2020 05:23 PM)TrueBlueAlum Wrote:  
(11-09-2020 03:40 PM)CajunFan3406 Wrote:  While I appreciate you guys' optimism in the Cajuns, they haven't beaten a team by 20 this year. The only way that's happening vs USA is if the Cajuns team that played Iowa State shows up this Saturday. While I definitely take the Cajuns to win my prediction is by 7-10 pts.

You guys had 2 special teams TD's in that game too. so a 17-14 score is probably a more appropriate gauge of just standard offense/defense in that game. That's about par for the course for us too. Uninspired.
Well, I agree and wish it weren’t so, but this will be another tight game, and the Cajuns will ‘only’ win by 7-10 points. But it does bug me when someone tries to minimizes ST scores. Last I heard those points count just as much as all the other ways a team can score. And UL has done it enough to prove it’s not just a fluke.

Correct. We lead the conference in KO return average and are the only team to even have a KO return TD, and we have 2, both by Smith.
Garror hasn't really replicated the punt return magic of Week 1, but my understanding with Napier and punt returns has always been placing the higher priority on making the catch than worrying about the return, so that would explain why we are mostly middling in that category.
11-10-2020 09:01 AM
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CardinalBlackTrojan Offline
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Post: #36
RE: Week 11 Sunbelt Projections
If Watson is back....

Troy wins in an upset. At home, Chip Lindsey throws the kitchen sink at Coastal.

If Free is still the QB...

We get slobber-knocked by at least 21.
11-10-2020 09:50 AM
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TrueBlueAlum Offline
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Post: #37
RE: Week 11 Sunbelt Projections
(11-10-2020 09:01 AM)CajunFan3406 Wrote:  
(11-10-2020 07:01 AM)FrankyP Wrote:  
(11-09-2020 05:23 PM)TrueBlueAlum Wrote:  
(11-09-2020 03:40 PM)CajunFan3406 Wrote:  While I appreciate you guys' optimism in the Cajuns, they haven't beaten a team by 20 this year. The only way that's happening vs USA is if the Cajuns team that played Iowa State shows up this Saturday. While I definitely take the Cajuns to win my prediction is by 7-10 pts.

You guys had 2 special teams TD's in that game too. so a 17-14 score is probably a more appropriate gauge of just standard offense/defense in that game. That's about par for the course for us too. Uninspired.
Well, I agree and wish it weren’t so, but this will be another tight game, and the Cajuns will ‘only’ win by 7-10 points. But it does bug me when someone tries to minimizes ST scores. Last I heard those points count just as much as all the other ways a team can score. And UL has done it enough to prove it’s not just a fluke.

Correct. We lead the conference in KO return average and are the only team to even have a KO return TD, and we have 2, both by Smith.
Garror hasn't really replicated the punt return magic of Week 1, but my understanding with Napier and punt returns has always been placing the higher priority on making the catch than worrying about the return, so that would explain why we are mostly middling in that category.

I wasn't minimizing special teams, in fact I was crediting how important they are to winning games - we've had two punt returns this season and won one of our games because of it. Like ours - UL's offense / defense is built similarly. Right now you're playing good defense, but your offense leaves a little to be desired (though it's still better than ours); however, the determining factor in your win against Iowa State were those special teams TDs.

You've only had a ST's touch in 2 of your 7 games. So my point, which I think is valid, is that asking "the team that beat Iowa State" to show up is synonymous with "we have to score a special teams TD" to win by more than 7-10 points - which in my opinion is not a reliable or sustainable metric.
11-10-2020 12:16 PM
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FrankyP Offline
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Post: #38
RE: Week 11 Sunbelt Projections
(11-10-2020 12:16 PM)TrueBlueAlum Wrote:  
(11-10-2020 09:01 AM)CajunFan3406 Wrote:  
(11-10-2020 07:01 AM)FrankyP Wrote:  
(11-09-2020 05:23 PM)TrueBlueAlum Wrote:  
(11-09-2020 03:40 PM)CajunFan3406 Wrote:  While I appreciate you guys' optimism in the Cajuns, they haven't beaten a team by 20 this year. The only way that's happening vs USA is if the Cajuns team that played Iowa State shows up this Saturday. While I definitely take the Cajuns to win my prediction is by 7-10 pts.

You guys had 2 special teams TD's in that game too. so a 17-14 score is probably a more appropriate gauge of just standard offense/defense in that game. That's about par for the course for us too. Uninspired.
Well, I agree and wish it weren’t so, but this will be another tight game, and the Cajuns will ‘only’ win by 7-10 points. But it does bug me when someone tries to minimizes ST scores. Last I heard those points count just as much as all the other ways a team can score. And UL has done it enough to prove it’s not just a fluke.

Correct. We lead the conference in KO return average and are the only team to even have a KO return TD, and we have 2, both by Smith.
Garror hasn't really replicated the punt return magic of Week 1, but my understanding with Napier and punt returns has always been placing the higher priority on making the catch than worrying about the return, so that would explain why we are mostly middling in that category.

I wasn't minimizing special teams, in fact I was crediting how important they are to winning games - we've had two punt returns this season and won one of our games because of it. Like ours - UL's offense / defense is built similarly. Right now you're playing good defense, but your offense leaves a little to be desired (though it's still better than ours); however, the determining factor in your win against Iowa State were those special teams TDs.

You've only had a ST's touch in 2 of your 7 games. So my point, which I think is valid, is that asking "the team that beat Iowa State" to show up is synonymous with "we have to score a special teams TD" to win by more than 7-10 points - which in my opinion is not a reliable or sustainable metric.
Well I really think you are overthinking this but I’m not going to get in a spat about it. Fact is a lot more than just the ST scores went into that W, but we all agree that we haven’t seen enuff of that repeated lately.
11-10-2020 06:37 PM
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OsageJ Online
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Post: #39
RE: Week 11 Sunbelt Projections
Its being posted on astatenation the game with ULM will not be played this weekend.
11-10-2020 07:15 PM
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SlickRick12 Offline
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RE: Week 11 Sunbelt Projections
(11-08-2020 02:43 PM)SkullyMaroo Wrote:  
(11-08-2020 12:14 PM)SlickRick12 Wrote:  SoAl game will be tough one. Likely single digit game and one we could lose if we don't have a better start offensively.

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“SoAl” will be ready for “ULL.”
I just typed an abbreviation what I call y'all. South Alabama. Never ever call y'all USA. Sorry for the slight.




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11-10-2020 10:20 PM
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