(11-04-2020 01:51 AM)UofMstateU Wrote:  AZ still on pace to go for Trump.

based on the AZ counties that still have outstanding ballots I can't see Trump making up the difference but I hope you are right.

Susan Collins looking good in Maine.

(11-04-2020 01:53 AM)solohawks Wrote:  

(11-04-2020 01:51 AM)mptnstr@44 Wrote:  

(11-04-2020 01:49 AM)UofMstateU Wrote:  

100,000k doesn't bridge the gap to give Trump VA.
But there are still counties reporting.

Initially she reported a 300k error which would have changed things

Yes. That would've swung it into his column.
But even 100K helps and there are still counties counting.

(11-04-2020 01:54 AM)mptnstr@44 Wrote:  

(11-04-2020 01:53 AM)solohawks Wrote:  

(11-04-2020 01:51 AM)mptnstr@44 Wrote:  

(11-04-2020 01:49 AM)UofMstateU Wrote:  

100,000k doesn't bridge the gap to give Trump VA.
But there are still counties reporting.

Initially she reported a 300k error which would have changed things

Yes. That would've swung it into his column.
But even 100K helps and there are still counties counting.

Do they still have the 400K absentee votes to count? Those are probably military ballots.

99% in Georgia, Trump up 118,000, 50.7 to 48.1.
100% in NC, Trump up 77,000, 50.1 to 48.7

(11-04-2020 01:56 AM)UofMstateU Wrote:  

(11-04-2020 01:54 AM)mptnstr@44 Wrote:  

(11-04-2020 01:53 AM)solohawks Wrote:  

(11-04-2020 01:51 AM)mptnstr@44 Wrote:  

(11-04-2020 01:49 AM)UofMstateU Wrote:  

100,000k doesn't bridge the gap to give Trump VA.
But there are still counties reporting.

Initially she reported a 300k error which would have changed things

Yes. That would've swung it into his column.
But even 100K helps and there are still counties counting.

Do they still have the 400K absentee votes to count? Those are probably military ballots.

Virginia has been called twice for Dems. It ain't going red

Man GA's going to be a squeaker.

Senate 47-44-2 per RCP.
NC, GA, AK look pretty safe for Republicans.
AZ looks pretty good for D.

Collins up 8 points with 82% in in Maine
James up 9 points with 63% in Michigan
Loeffler looks good in runoff in Georgia, but anything can happen in runoffs.

(11-04-2020 02:02 AM)HCJag Wrote:  Man GA's going to be a squeaker.

Shouldn't be more than 15,000 votes out if that 99% is right. Most in D counties, but some in R county. Not sure if anything else is out there.

They just said another batch came in from a couple of those Atlanta area counties and was something like 16% Trump, 80% Biden. I thought they quit counting in GA.

Republicans +2 in House so far.

(11-04-2020 01:56 AM)UofMstateU Wrote:  

(11-04-2020 01:54 AM)mptnstr@44 Wrote:  

(11-04-2020 01:53 AM)solohawks Wrote:  

(11-04-2020 01:51 AM)mptnstr@44 Wrote:  

(11-04-2020 01:49 AM)UofMstateU Wrote:  

100,000k doesn't bridge the gap to give Trump VA.
But there are still counties reporting.

Initially she reported a 300k error which would have changed things

Yes. That would've swung it into his column.
But even 100K helps and there are still counties counting.

Do they still have the 400K absentee votes to count? Those are probably military ballots.

RCP doesn't say if absentee are still to count. Just says 76% reporting.
Counties that are still counting are:
Bedford (96.97%)
Botetetourt (90%)
Dinwiddie (93%)
Henrico (98.9%)
Mecklenburg (92%)
Page (83%)
Westmoreland (89%)
Hopewell County (63%)
Petersburg (87%)
Richmond City (98.5%)
Virginia Beach (97%)
Winchester (86%)
Chesterfield (98%)

As you can see most of their vote is in. I don't think there are enough Trump votes maybe a net gain of 50K from the remaining counties with outstanding ballots.

Congrats to Brit Hume-called Gore trying to steal 2000.

Trump has cut NV to 25k with 67% reporting. If Trump holds GA and NC and AK thats 34 and if he can make up the votes in NV it brings it to 40... or 253

MI which Trump is up 8.4% with with 67% counted brings Trump to no worse than a 269 to 269

I read the doom and gloom of stealing this . But as of now Biden needs to hold NV and AZ and ME ...all 3 his lead is lower than Trumps in MI. Biden also would have to win WI and PA o lose WI and win MI to be President

I would rather be winning the states I needed than have to win 5 out of 6...if Trump holds GA and NC

(11-04-2020 02:06 AM)HCJag Wrote:  They just said another batch came in from a couple of those Atlanta area counties and was something like 16% Trump, 80% Biden. I thought they quit counting in GA.

That's interesting as
RCP shows DeKalb and Fulton Counties at less than 100% reporting.
Dekalb is at 98.5% (to reach 100% maybe a net gain of 3400 for Biden)
Fulton is at 96.35% (to reach 100% maybe a net gain of 13500 for Biden)

Assuming the % reported is correct on RCP...

If Biden gains more then 20K out of whatever they still count in GA...
they are manufacturing or finding votes.

I expect to wake up to see GA and MI flipped from big leads to blue states by the time I wake up.

If Dems pull this off it will be because of white suburbanites. Trump improved with minorities.

(11-04-2020 01:58 AM)bullet Wrote:  99% in Georgia, Trump up 118,000, 50.7 to 48.1.
100% in NC, Trump up 77,000, 50.1 to 48.7

NYT is saying only 91% is in.

(11-04-2020 02:17 AM)rath v2.0 Wrote:  I expect to wake up to see GA and MI flipped from big leads to blue states by the time I wake up.

I’m gonna be here watching.