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Two weeks before the election, Trump trailing by 12 points
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green Offline
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Post: #21
RE: Two weeks before the election, Trump trailing by 12 points
(10-20-2020 08:45 PM)mptnstr@44 Wrote:  undecideds historically break for the incumbent.
if it is close Trump should pull it out.
2 weeks to go.

historically, late deciders break for the challenger ...

TO KNOW HIM IS TO LOVE HIM
10-21-2020 08:45 AM
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stinkfist Offline
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Post: #22
RE: Two weeks before the election, Trump trailing by 12 points
(10-21-2020 08:38 AM)fsquid Wrote:  
(10-21-2020 08:09 AM)stinkfist Wrote:  
(10-21-2020 06:17 AM)EverRespect Wrote:  
(10-20-2020 04:38 PM)CardinalJim Wrote:  
(10-20-2020 03:39 PM)Bronco14 Wrote:  Dem base is claiming the GOP was WAY oversampled in that poll but I can't find the breakdown

If Republicans were over sampled in a poll, that will be the first time.


Or maybe republicans are turning out in record numbers. All these media generated photos of massive lines in muh early voting that are supposed to imply a big dem turnout have one thing in common: the lines are stacked with middle aged white people.


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#bookItDanno


2020 USA Presidential Election - Winning Party (All in)
200.00 / 250.00
[87002] Republican +125
Sport: Specials
Selection: Politics
Risk/Win: 200 / 250
Accepted: Aug 01, 2020 11:40 AM - Internet
Scheduled: Aug 03, 2020 9:00 AM
Ticket Number: 93524023
Outcome: Pending

2020 USA Presidential Election - Winning Party (All in)
300.00 / 315.00
[87002] Republican +105
Sport: Specials
Selection: Politics
Risk/Win: 300 / 315
Accepted: Jun 16, 2020 8:31 AM - Internet
Scheduled: Jun 22, 2020 9:00 AM
Ticket Number: 92497466
Outcome: Pending

Odds To Win - 2020 Presidential Election
450.00 / 300.00
[86596] Donald Trump -150
Sport: Specials
Selection: Politics
Risk/Win: 450 / 300
Accepted: Aug 11, 2019 5:26 PM - Internet
Scheduled: Aug 12, 2019 8:00 AM
Ticket Number: 76323394
Outcome: Pending

I can't believe you took Trump at those odds. I can get +125 overseas right now.

I got the most recent at +125.....this weekend it was +140....they pulled it Monday.....I'm limited out (based on bookie credit....however, I fk'd him when it changed from DJT to Republican....)

#unafraid

full disclosure: limit on "specials" is 300.00....fwiw, he wants me to win...
(This post was last modified: 10-21-2020 08:59 AM by stinkfist.)
10-21-2020 08:57 AM
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fsquid Offline
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Post: #23
RE: Two weeks before the election, Trump trailing by 12 points
(10-21-2020 08:57 AM)stinkfist Wrote:  
(10-21-2020 08:38 AM)fsquid Wrote:  
(10-21-2020 08:09 AM)stinkfist Wrote:  
(10-21-2020 06:17 AM)EverRespect Wrote:  
(10-20-2020 04:38 PM)CardinalJim Wrote:  If Republicans were over sampled in a poll, that will be the first time.


Or maybe republicans are turning out in record numbers. All these media generated photos of massive lines in muh early voting that are supposed to imply a big dem turnout have one thing in common: the lines are stacked with middle aged white people.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

#bookItDanno


2020 USA Presidential Election - Winning Party (All in)
200.00 / 250.00
[87002] Republican +125
Sport: Specials
Selection: Politics
Risk/Win: 200 / 250
Accepted: Aug 01, 2020 11:40 AM - Internet
Scheduled: Aug 03, 2020 9:00 AM
Ticket Number: 93524023
Outcome: Pending

2020 USA Presidential Election - Winning Party (All in)
300.00 / 315.00
[87002] Republican +105
Sport: Specials
Selection: Politics
Risk/Win: 300 / 315
Accepted: Jun 16, 2020 8:31 AM - Internet
Scheduled: Jun 22, 2020 9:00 AM
Ticket Number: 92497466
Outcome: Pending

Odds To Win - 2020 Presidential Election
450.00 / 300.00
[86596] Donald Trump -150
Sport: Specials
Selection: Politics
Risk/Win: 450 / 300
Accepted: Aug 11, 2019 5:26 PM - Internet
Scheduled: Aug 12, 2019 8:00 AM
Ticket Number: 76323394
Outcome: Pending

I can't believe you took Trump at those odds. I can get +125 overseas right now.

I got the most recent at +125.....this weekend it was +140....they pulled it Monday.....I'm limited out (based on bookie credit....however, I fk'd him when it changed from DJT to Republican....)

#unafraid

you still dump for going for it at -150. He's never been the betting favorite. Although a hell of a movement from +175 to +125 in just a couple of weeks.
10-21-2020 08:58 AM
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stinkfist Offline
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Post: #24
RE: Two weeks before the election, Trump trailing by 12 points
(10-21-2020 08:58 AM)fsquid Wrote:  
(10-21-2020 08:57 AM)stinkfist Wrote:  
(10-21-2020 08:38 AM)fsquid Wrote:  
(10-21-2020 08:09 AM)stinkfist Wrote:  
(10-21-2020 06:17 AM)EverRespect Wrote:  Or maybe republicans are turning out in record numbers. All these media generated photos of massive lines in muh early voting that are supposed to imply a big dem turnout have one thing in common: the lines are stacked with middle aged white people.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

#bookItDanno


2020 USA Presidential Election - Winning Party (All in)
200.00 / 250.00
[87002] Republican +125
Sport: Specials
Selection: Politics
Risk/Win: 200 / 250
Accepted: Aug 01, 2020 11:40 AM - Internet
Scheduled: Aug 03, 2020 9:00 AM
Ticket Number: 93524023
Outcome: Pending

2020 USA Presidential Election - Winning Party (All in)
300.00 / 315.00
[87002] Republican +105
Sport: Specials
Selection: Politics
Risk/Win: 300 / 315
Accepted: Jun 16, 2020 8:31 AM - Internet
Scheduled: Jun 22, 2020 9:00 AM
Ticket Number: 92497466
Outcome: Pending

Odds To Win - 2020 Presidential Election
450.00 / 300.00
[86596] Donald Trump -150
Sport: Specials
Selection: Politics
Risk/Win: 450 / 300
Accepted: Aug 11, 2019 5:26 PM - Internet
Scheduled: Aug 12, 2019 8:00 AM
Ticket Number: 76323394
Outcome: Pending

I can't believe you took Trump at those odds. I can get +125 overseas right now.

I got the most recent at +125.....this weekend it was +140....they pulled it Monday.....I'm limited out (based on bookie credit....however, I fk'd him when it changed from DJT to Republican....)

#unafraid

you still dump for going for it at -150. He's never been the betting favorite. Although a hell of a movement from +175 to +125 in just a couple of weeks.

made that play in aug '19, pal...pay att'n to time stamps
(This post was last modified: 10-21-2020 09:01 AM by stinkfist.)
10-21-2020 09:00 AM
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CardinalJim Offline
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Post: #25
RE: Two weeks before the election, Trump trailing by 12 points
(10-21-2020 08:45 AM)green Wrote:  
(10-20-2020 08:45 PM)mptnstr@44 Wrote:  undecideds historically break for the incumbent.
if it is close Trump should pull it out.
2 weeks to go.

historically, late deciders break for the challenger ...

TO KNOW HIM IS TO LOVE HIM

Anyone undecided this late, after the mountains of evidence implicating Biden in corruption, was already voting for that moron anyway.
10-21-2020 10:22 AM
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green Offline
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Post: #26
RE: Two weeks before the election, Trump trailing by 12 points
(10-21-2020 10:22 AM)CardinalJim Wrote:  
(10-21-2020 08:45 AM)green Wrote:  
(10-20-2020 08:45 PM)mptnstr@44 Wrote:  undecideds historically break for the incumbent.
if it is close Trump should pull it out.
2 weeks to go.

historically, late deciders break for the challenger ...

TO KNOW HIM IS TO LOVE HIM

Anyone undecided this late, after the mountains of evidence implicating Biden in corruption, was already voting for that moron anyway.

it’s a motivation election not a persuasion one ...

FEW & FAR BETWEEN
10-21-2020 10:26 AM
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200yrs2late Offline
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Post: #27
RE: Two weeks before the election, Trump trailing by 12 points
[Image: biden-trump-polling-map]

270towin current polling map as of 10am 10/21/20

when you 'correct' for their tossups you get this:

[Image: G3x4B]
(This post was last modified: 10-21-2020 10:38 AM by 200yrs2late.)
10-21-2020 10:35 AM
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