(10-10-2020 11:38 AM)blazer-J Wrote: The SEC will probably like to add two teams. Main targets would be Texas and OK.
If TX and OK go to the SEC, here's what happens:
1) For Texas?
Texas would often be a second-tier FB team and a third-tier BB team.
2) For Oklahoma?
The Sooners would have tougher competition (Alabama, LSU, Florida, Georgia, etc.) and would be eliminated from the FCS more often than they are now. In BB, they would play in fewer NCAA and more NIT tournaments.
3) For their new rivals - - the other SEC schools?
OK (and in some seasons, TX?), would push some SEC schools out of high quality bowl games, both by defeating them in conference games and taking good bowl bids.
More of the current mid-tier SEC programs would play in mediocre bowl games or fail to become bowl eligible. In addition, more of the current mid-tier BB SEC teams would end up in the NIT, rather than in the NCAA tournament, or would not be invited to either tournament.
Overall, most of the other SEC schools would have more to lose than they would have to gain from adding TX and OK, even if they could negotiate a per-school increase in their network revenues.
Many of them would send fewer teams to bowl games and NCAA tournaments. Attendance might increase, initially, but this could be followed by a decline in interest and attendance at the lower-tier schools, which would have more trouble qualifying for bowls and tournaments.
4) For the SEC as a whole?
Total media revenue for the conference would increase, but it's not clear that broadcasters would be able to maintain their current profits if they were to boost the annual payments per SEC school significantly.
There may be an upper-limit as the amount that the broadcasters would be willing to shell out on a per-school basis.
5) For college football fans across the nation?
There might be increased fan interest in the SEC, but it could be offset by decreased fan interest in the Big 12.
The P5 would split into two tiers in terms of FB winning %, viewership, media revenue, etc.: (1) SEC & B1G; (2) the rest.
Further concentration of talent in the SEC might be viewed negatively by some college football fans, especially those who aren't P5 fans.