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The Year That Is (Week 3: Ohio State to the playoff!!)
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Crayton Online
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Post: #1
The Year That Is (Week 3: Ohio State to the playoff!!)
After simulating The Year That Wasn't, I thought I'd use the same principles to view the college football season we actually have. Schedules are still in flux and I'll try and keep them updated with each look-in. As of now the Big Ten, Air Force, and others are excluded from the post-season. That may change.

Week 1-ish Projections
Week 3? Last look before adding Big Ten
(This post was last modified: 09-22-2020 11:42 PM by Crayton.)
09-16-2020 04:17 AM
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Crayton Online
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RE: The Year That Is (Week 1-ish)
Week 1-ish Playoff Outlook
Teams with a >90% playoff chance include SEC teams with 1 or fewer losses, ACC and Big 12 Champs with 1 or fewer losses, and an undefeated team coming from the American Athletic Conference. That means roughly 48 teams have a good chance at the playoff if they win out (sorry, Navy).

Non-Power 6

Outside the aforementioned conferences, we give BYU a 53% chance of making the playoff *if* undefeated, Louisiana 41%, App St 36%, and FAU 27%; no other team finishes undefeated >1% of the time. Again, lots will change as teams get more practice in and the schedule continues to evolve.

New Years Six Race

Given the enhanced likelihood 2 "G5" teams finish the season strong, we'll look at outcomes of making the 5-1-2 playoff (3-1-2, with the Big Ten and Pac-12 out), rather than just the race to become the Top G5 team:
41% UCF
31% Memphis
16% App St
10% FAU
3% Louisiana
2% Navy
1% Houston
1% Cincinnati
1% BYU
<1% all others

Overall Playoff Favorites:

1) 75.53% Clemson
2) 75.5% Alabama
3) 36.02% LSU
4) 29.13% Oklahoma
5) 26.97% Notre Dame
6) 25% Georgia
7) 24.02% UCF
8) 18.66% Memphis
9) 14.65% Auburn
10) 13.83% Oklahoma St

Gross Data:
Code:
100% (10-0)+W Georgia (1%)
100% (10-0)+W Alabama (20%)
100% (9-1)+W Alabama (22%)
100% (10-0)+W LSU (4%)
100% (9-1)+W Auburn (2%)
100% (11-0)+W Clemson (32%)
100% (11-0)+W Notre Dame (3%)
100% (10-0)+W Oklahoma (6%)
100% (10-0)+W Oklahoma St (1%)
100% (10-0)+W Texas (1%)
100% (10-0)+W Memphis (6%)
99% (9-0)+W UCF (9%)
99% (9-1)+W LSU (9%)
99% (9-1)+W Georgia (7%)
98% (10-0)+L  Alabama (6%)
98% (9-1)+W Florida (2%)
96% (9-1)      Alabama (10%)
95% (10-1)+W Clemson (32%)
94% (9-1)+W Oklahoma St (7%)
94% (9-1)+W Baylor (1%)
93% (8-2)+W Auburn (1%)
93% (10-1)+W Notre Dame (9%)
93% (10-0)+L  LSU (2%)
92% (8-2)+W Alabama (5%)
92% (8-1)+W TCU (1%)
92% (10-1)+W Miami (1%)
91% (9-1)      Auburn (2%)
90% (9-1)      LSU (7%)
89% (9-1)+W Texas (5%)
89% (8-2)+W LSU (3%)
88% (9-1)+W Oklahoma (17%)
86% (10-0)+L  Florida (1%)
86% (10-0)+L  Georgia (2%)
82% (11-0)+L  Clemson (7%)
78% (10-0)+L  Oklahoma St (1%)
78% (11-0)+L  Notre Dame (7%)
70% (9-1)+L  Alabama (6%)
69% (9-1)      Florida (1%)
67% (8-2)+W Georgia (8%)
65% (10-0)+L  Oklahoma (4%)
61% (10-0)+L  Texas (1%)
60% (9-1)+W Memphis (15%)
54% (10-1)      Notre Dame (1%)
53% (7-0)      BYU (14%)
53% (8-1)+W UCF (21%)
51% (9-1)+L  Auburn (1%)
50% (10-1)      Miami (2%)
48% (9-1)+L  Georgia (12%)
46% (9-2)+W Clemson (6%)
45% (9-2)+W Notre Dame (5%)
45% (8-2)      Alabama (16%)
43% (9-1)+L  LSU (5%)
41% (11-0)+W Louisiana (2%)
36% (9-0)+L  UCF (4%)
36% (11-0)+W App St (19%)
34% (8-2)      Auburn (19%)
34% (8-2)+W Baylor (4%)
34% (8-2)+W Florida (3%)
33% (10-0)+L  Memphis (5%)
30% (8-2)      Miss St (1%)
30% (8-2)+W Oklahoma St (12%)
28% (9-2)+W Miami (2%)
27% (9-0)+W FAU (16%)
25% (10-1)+L  Clemson (8%)
24% (9-1)+L  Florida (6%)
24% (8-2)      LSU (28%)
23% (7-2)+W TCU (3%)
23% (10-1)+L  Notre Dame (17%)
23% (8-2)+W Oklahoma (15%)
22% (8-2)+W Texas (8%)
19% (8-2)      Texas A*M (6%)
16% (8-2)      Georgia (8%)
13% (9-1)+L  Oklahoma St (6%)
13% (9-1)+L  Baylor (2%)
12% (10-1)+L  Miami (7%)
10% (10-1)+L  Virginia Tech (3%)
8% (8-1)+L  TCU (3%)
7% (8-2)+W Memphis (11%)
7% (9-2)      Boston College (1%)
7% (10-1)+L  North Carolina (1%)
7% (9-2)      Notre Dame (12%)
6% (8-2)+L  Alabama (2%)
6% (9-2)      Clemson (4%)
6% (8-2)      Florida (9%)
5% (9-1)+L  Oklahoma (10%)
5% (9-2)      Virginia Tech (8%)
4% (7-2)+W UCF (15%)
4% (7-3)+W Georgia (3%)
4% (8-2)+L  Auburn (1%)
4% (9-1)+L  Texas (5%)
4% (8-3)+W Notre Dame (1%)
3% (8-2)+L  Georgia (16%)
2% (10-0)+W La Tech (1%)
2% (9-2)      Miami (17%)
2% (9-2)      North Carolina (7%)
1% (7-3)+W Baylor (2%)
1% (9-2)+L  Virginia Tech (4%)
1% (9-2)+W Navy (2%)
1% (8-2)      Texas (7%)
1% (8-2)      Oklahoma St (6%)
1% (6-3)+W UCF (2%)
1% (9-2)+L  North Carolina (4%)
1% (7-3)+W Oklahoma St (3%)
1% (8-2)      Memphis (10%)
1% (8-2)+L  Florida (12%)
1% (9-2)+L  Notre Dame (15%)
1% (8-2)      Baylor (3%)
1% (7-3)      Alabama (6%)
0% (8-1)+L  UCF (13%)
0% (7-3)      Auburn (30%)
0% (8-2)+W Cincinnati (1%)
0% (8-2)      Oklahoma (6%)
0% (7-3)+W Oklahoma (1%)
0% (9-1)+L  Memphis (11%)
0% (9-2)+L  Miami (7%)
0% (8-1)+W FAU (26%)
0% (11-0)+L  App St (7%)
0% (7-3)+W Texas (1%)
0% (10-1)+W App St (25%)
0% (10-1)+W Louisiana (9%)
0% (9-2)+L  Clemson (1%)
0% (8-2)+L  Texas (11%)
0% (7-3)      LSU (22%)
0% (8-3)      Virginia Tech (24%)
0% (11-0)+L  Louisiana (3%)
0% (8-1)      FAU (3%)
0% (8-2)+L  Baylor (6%)
0% (6-1)      BYU (42%)
0% (7-3)      Texas A*M (18%)
0% (7-3)      Oklahoma St (22%)
0% (8-3)      Notre Dame (13%)

100% 0-loss CHAMP SEC (27%)
100% 0-loss CHAMP ACC (36%)
100% 0-loss CHAMP Big 12 (9%)
99% 1-loss CHAMP SEC (43%)
99% 0-loss CHAMP AAC (16%)
94% 1-loss CHAMP ACC (45%)
92% 1-loss at large SEC (36%)
90% 1-loss CHAMP Big 12 (33%)
73% 1-loss at large ACC (21%)
73% 2-loss CHAMP SEC (22%)
66% 1-loss at large Big 12 (7%)
55% 1-loss CHAMP AAC (38%)
43% 2-loss CHAMP ACC (16%)
36% 0-loss CHAMP Sun Belt (22%)
32% 1-loss at large AAC (11%)
32% 2-loss at large SEC (124%)
26% 2-loss CHAMP Big 12 (44%)
25% 0-loss CHAMP CUSA (18%)
10% 2-loss at large ACC (93%)
5% 3-loss CHAMP SEC (5%)
5% 2-loss CHAMP AAC (33%)
4% 2-loss at large Big 12 (57%)
4% 3-loss CHAMP ACC (1%)
1% 3-loss CHAMP Big 12 (11%)
0% 3-loss at large SEC (169%)
0% 1-loss CHAMP Sun Belt (36%)
0% 2-loss at large AAC (62%)
0% 1-loss CHAMP CUSA (34%)
0% 1-loss at large Sun Belt (14%)
0% 3-loss CHAMP AAC (9%)
0% 3-loss at large ACC (150%)
0% 3-loss at large Big 12 (152%)
0% 1-loss at large CUSA (113%)

Playoff %
1) 75.53% Clemson
2) 75.5% Alabama
3) 36.02% LSU
4) 29.13% Oklahoma
5) 26.97% Notre Dame
6) 25% Georgia
7) 24.02% UCF
8) 18.66% Memphis
9) 14.65% Auburn
10) 13.83% Oklahoma St
11) 9.55% Texas
12) 8.56% Florida
13) 7.8% BYU
14) 7.28% App St
15) 5.46% Miami
16) 4.76% FAU
17) 3.43% Baylor
18) 2.79% Virginia Tech
19) 2.66% TCU
20) 2.01% Texas A*M
21) 1.04% Louisiana
22) 0.98% North Carolina
23) 0.55% Miss St
24) 0.33% Boston College
25) 0.26% Houston
26) 0.22% Arkansas
27) 0.22% Cincinnati
28) 0.22% Tulane
29) 0.21% Navy
30) 0.2% Vanderbilt
31) 0.18% Tennessee
32) 0.18% Temple
33) 0.17% Missouri
34) 0.17% West Virginia
35) 0.16% Ole Miss
36) 0.15% Kentucky
37) 0.14% South Carolina
38) 0.13% Georgia Tech
39) 0.12% Texas Tech
40) 0.11% Iowa St
41) 0.09% Kansas St
42) 0.08% Syracuse
43) 0.08% Kansas
44) 0.08% Texas St
45) 0.04% Louisville
46) 0.04% NC State
47) 0.04% USF
48) 0.04% East Carolina
49) 0.04% SMU
50) 0.04% La Tech
51) 0.04% Army
52) 0.01% Pittsburgh
53) 0.01% Rice
54) 0.01% Marshall
55) 0.01% Arkansas St

Top G5 Champ %
1) 35.89% UCF
2) 26.09% Memphis
3) 16.58% App St
4) 9.92% FAU
5) 3.37% Louisiana
6) 2.17% Navy
7) 1.42% Houston
8) 1.27% Cincinnati
9) 0.87% Temple
10) 0.67% Tulane
11) 0.44% La Tech
12) 0.31% Arkansas St
13) 0.23% Troy
14) 0.17% SMU
15) 0.11% Tulsa
16) 0.1% Marshall
17) 0.09% Middle Tennessee
18) 0.08% USF
19) 0.08% Texas St
20) 0.05% East Carolina
21) 0.04% Ga Southern
22) 0.03% WKU
23) 0.01% Rice
24) 0.01% Georgia St

5-1-2 TEAM (WCG) *8th spot*
88.17% Clemson (220/344) *1411*
81.19% Alabama (2216/2558) *1083*
65.16% Ohio St (0/0) *0*
50.33% LSU (2480/3263) *823*
48.33% Oklahoma (135/356) *613*
45.42% Utah (0/0) *0*
41.85% UCF (66/211) *530*
38.29% Oregon (0/0) *0*
37.81% Notre Dame (469/1078) *1266*
37.23% Georgia (529/812) *1034*
34.68% Wisconsin (0/0) *0*
31.99% Oklahoma St (168/574) *591*
31.19% Memphis (65/238) *445*
24.62% Auburn (1654/2493) *400*
21.01% Texas (104/419) *308*
16.67% App St (0/3) *9*
15.31% Florida (354/873) *449*
11.68% Washington (0/0) *0*
11.66% Miami (426/1316) *292*
10.97% Baylor (97/474) *146*
10% FAU (8/19) *0*
7.55% TCU (42/300) *91*
5.26% Virginia Tech (202/827) *149*
4.15% USC (0/0) *0*
3.78% Texas A*M (253/570) *77*
3.48% Louisiana (4/4) *7*
3.06% North Carolina (104/530) *103*
2.19% Navy (1/13) *1*
1.69% Houston (16/116) *11*
1.5% Cincinnati (11/59) *12*
1.28% BYU (120/1503) *8*
1.21% Iowa St (0/9) *1*
1.19% Miss St (93/223) *18*
0.93% Temple (0/27) *6*
0.91% Boston College (46/225) *26*
0.86% Kansas St (0/5) *0*
0.81% Tulane (8/51) *6*
0.59% Kentucky (17/98) *13*
0.49% Kansas (0/0) *0*
0.45% Georgia Tech (13/47) *20*
0.44% La Tech (0/0) *0*
0.39% Colorado (0/0) *0*
0.35% West Virginia (0/16) *4*
0.31% South Carolina (11/18) *9*
0.31% Missouri (17/54) *1*
0.31% Arkansas St (0/3) *0*
0.29% Arkansas (14/22) *1*
0.24% Tennessee (6/21) *4*
0.23% Troy (0/4) *0*
0.2% Ole Miss (9/30) *3*
0.2% Texas Tech (0/1) *0*
0.17% Vanderbilt (0/8) *8*
0.17% SMU (0/1) *0*
0.16% Louisville (8/51) *8*
0.16% Penn State (0/0) *0*
0.15% Duke (8/13) *4*
0.12% Syracuse (0/9) *4*
0.11% Tulsa (0/1) *0*
0.1% Marshall (0/4) *0*
0.09% East Carolina (0/0) *4*
0.09% Middle Tennessee (0/1) *0*
0.08% USF (0/3) *0*
0.08% Texas St (0/1) *0*
0.07% California (0/0) *0*
0.05% Pittsburgh (0/8) *1*
0.04% Army (4/48) *0*
0.04% Ga Southern (0/0) *0*
0.03% WKU (0/0) *0*
0.01% Wake Forest (1/29) *0*
0.01% Virginia (1/7) *0*
0.01% Rice (0/0) *0*
0.01% Georgia St (0/0) *0*
09-16-2020 04:27 AM
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CoachMaclid Offline
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RE: The Year That Is (Week 1-ish)
Crayton,

Just like to point out that BYU is not eligible for the G5 NY6 auto bid. One must be a G5 conference champion to be eligible for the NY6 bid, and all the independents like BYU are not able to be a G5 conference champion. They are eligible to be selected to one of the NY6 at large spots, but the autobid is to be selected from the g5conferenece champions.
09-16-2020 07:10 AM
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Crayton Online
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RE: The Year That Is (Week 1-ish)
(09-16-2020 07:10 AM)CoachMaclid Wrote:  Crayton,

Just like to point out that BYU is not eligible for the G5 NY6 auto bid. One must be a G5 conference champion to be eligible for the NY6 bid, and all the independents like BYU are not able to be a G5 conference champion. They are eligible to be selected to one of the NY6 at large spots, but the autobid is to be selected from the g5conferenece champions.

Thank you. That is baked in (the percentages add up to>100%), meaning BYU's listed 1% would be as an at large for the NY6, likely only if they are undefeated. Afterward I did notice their LaTech game was not added yet, meaning the Cougars' chances of going undefeated are that much harder.

For comparison, UCF's 41% is about 35% as the top G5 and 6% as an at large (perhaps as the American runner-up or as 2nd best G5 champ).

I also noticed the computer is still simulating CCGs for the 4 conferences on hiatus; but that shouldn't affect anything.
(This post was last modified: 09-16-2020 12:51 PM by Crayton.)
09-16-2020 12:41 PM
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Crayton Online
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RE: The Year That Is (Week 3: Miami, UCF, and ND climb)
Only one Top 25 teams lost this week, App State, who was replaced by the comeback. Midshipmen. Memphis also displaced Ole Miss in the Top 25 following their victory over Arkansas St. The Big Ten schedule will hopefully be incorporated for a mid-week update. UCF and Notre Dame both climbed the rankings of most likely to make the playoff. Memphis and Oklahoma both fell.

Playoff Outlook
Prior to Big Ten inclusion, champions from the SEC, ACC, Big 12, and American are locks (>98%) if they are undefeated; the ACC and SEC champs can suffer a loss. BYU sits at 55% (if undefeated), Marshall at 28%, FAU at 19%, Louisiana at 13%, and Louisiana Tech at 5%.

New Years Six Race:
1) 52.43% UCF (+5% chance as at large)
2) 13.84% Memphis (+1%)
3) 11.63% FAU
4) 7.56% Navy
5) 4.86% Louisiana
6) 2.47% Houston
7) 1.26% App St
8) 1.11% Cincinnati
9) 0.00% BYU (+1%)
10) 1.09% Marshall


Overall Playoff Favorites:
1) 78.42% Clemson (+2.89%)
2) 74.33% Alabama (-1.17%)
3) 41.94% Notre Dame (+14.97%)
4) 35.67% LSU (-0.35)
5) 33.90% UCF (+9.88)
6) 23.69% Georgia (-1.31)
7) 20.40% Oklahoma (-8.73%)
8) 14.47% Miami (+9.03%)
9) 13.58% Auburn (-1.07)
10) 13.08% Oklahoma St (-0.75%)
dropped: Memphis

Raw Data:
Code:
Rank (W-L) Rating TEAM (Last Week)
#1 (0-0) 30.7 Alabama ---BYE---+0
#2 (0-0) 24.1 LSU ---BYE---+0
#3 (2-0) 51.3 Clemson (W 49-0 vs. FCS)+1
#4 (0-0) 21.7 Georgia ---BYE----1
#5 (0-0) 19.4 Auburn ---BYE---+0
#6 (2-0) 38.6 Notre Dame (W 52-0 vs. USF)+1
#7 (0-0) 16.1 Florida ---BYE----1
#8 (1-0) 25.8 Oklahoma ---BYE---+1
#9 (0-0) 12.3 Texas A*M ---BYE----1
#10 (1-0) 17 Oklahoma St (W 16-7 vs. Tulsa)+0
#11 (1-0) 34.2 UCF (W 47-21 vs. Georgia Tech)+0
#12 (2-0) 29.3 Miami (W 47-34 vs. Louisville)+2
#13 (0-0) 8.7 Miss St ---BYE----1
#14 (1-0) 19 Texas ---BYE----1
#15 (0-0) 6.3 Kentucky ---BYE---+0
#16 (0-0) 12.2 Baylor ---BYE---+0
#17 (0-0) 26.5 Virginia Tech ---BYE---+2
#18 (0-0) 5.5 Missouri ---BYE----1
#19 (0-0) 12.1 TCU ---BYE----1
#20 (1-0) 27.1 North Carolina ---BYE---+1
#21 (0-0) 5.1 South Carolina ---BYE----1
#22 (1-0) 23.8 Boston College (W 26-6 vs. Duke)+3
#23 (1-1) 23 Navy (W 27-24 vs. Tulane)+3
#24 (1-1) 34.9 Memphis (W 37-24 vs. Arkansas St)+5
#25 (0-0) 3.3 Tennessee ---BYE----3
#26 (0-0) 2 Ole Miss ---BYE----2
#27 (0-1) 12.6 Kansas St ---BYE---+0
#28 (0-1) 11.4 Iowa St ---BYE---+0
#29 (1-1) 36.9 App St (L 7-17 vs. Marshall)-6
#30 (0-0) 27 FAU ---BYE---+0
#31 (0-0) 22.6 Houston ---BYE---+0
#32 (2-0) 29.1 SMU (W 65-35 vs. North Texas)+4
#33 (2-0) 23.1 Pittsburgh (W 21-10 vs. Syracuse)+9
#34 (2-0) 26.7 Louisiana (W 34-31 vs. Georgia St)+1
#35 (0-1) 28.7 Florida St ---BYE----2
#36 (1-0) 24.6 Cincinnati (W 55-20 vs. FCS)-4
#37 (0-0) 20.4 Temple ---BYE---+0
#38 (1-0) 21.8 NC State (W 45-42 vs. Wake Forest)+13
#39 (1-1) 22.1 Louisville (L 34-47 vs. Miami)+1
#40 (1-1) 17.1 Georgia Tech (L 21-47 vs. UCF)+1
#41 (0-0) -7.7 Arkansas ---BYE----2
#42 (0-2) 28 Wake Forest (L 42-45 vs. NC State)-8
#43 (0-0) 27.2 Virginia ---BYE---+3
#44 (1-0) 37.5 BYU ---BYE---+4
#45 (1-0) 10.3 West Virginia ---BYE----1
#46 (1-0) 27.3 Troy ---BYE---+1
#47 (1-1) 21.8 Tulane (L 24-27 vs. Navy)-4
#48 (0-2) 18.9 Syracuse (L 10-21 vs. Pittsburgh)-10
#49 (0-0) -6.2 Vanderbilt ---BYE----4
#50 (0-2) 20.1 Duke (L 6-26 vs. Boston College)-1
#51 (0-1) 16.5 Tulsa (L 7-16 vs. Oklahoma St)-1
#52 (1-0) 4.5 Texas Tech ---BYE---+0
#53 (1-0) 26.6 La Tech ---BYE---+1
#54 (2-0) 39.5 Army (W 42-0 vs. Middle Tennessee)+5
#55 (2-0) 25.7 Marshall (W 17-7 vs. App St)+8
#56 (1-1) 22.4 Arkansas St (L 24-37 vs. Memphis)-3
#57 (1-0) 16 Ga Southern ---BYE----2
#59 (1-1) 11.8 USF (L 0-52 vs. Notre Dame)-1
#60 (0-2) 16 Middle Tennessee (L 0-42 vs. Army)-4
#61 (0-1) -5.8 Kansas ---BYE----1
#62 (0-2) 23.7 WKU (L 24-30 vs. Liberty)-1
#63 (0-2) 22.4 Southern Miss (L 21-32 vs. South Alabama)-1
#64 (0-1) 9.1 Georgia St (L 31-34 vs. Louisiana)+1
#65 (0-1) 12.7 Charlotte ---BYE---+2
#66 (1-1) 9.2 South Alabama (W 32-21 vs. Southern Miss)+8
#67 (0-0) 3.3 East Carolina ---BYE---+1
#68 (0-0) 22.7 FIU ---BYE---+1
#69 (1-1) 12.7 North Texas (L 35-65 vs. SMU)-3
#70 (0-2) 11.8 La Monroe (L 17-38 vs. Texas St)-6
#71 (1-1) 11.4 UAB (W 45-35 vs. FCS)-1
#72 (2-0) 6.7 UTSA (W 24-10 vs. FCS)-1
#73 (1-0) 20.4 Liberty (W 30-24 vs. WKU)+0
#74 (1-1) 6.5 Texas St (W 38-17 vs. La Monroe)+2
#75 (0-1) 12.5 Air Force ---BYE---+0
#76 (0-0) 5.7 Rice ---BYE----4
#77 (1-1) -3.4 UTEP (W 17-13 vs. FCS)+0
#78 (0-1) -26.7 Ohio St ---BYE---+0
#79 (0-1) -26.7 Penn State ---BYE---+0
#80 (0-1) -26.7 Wisconsin ---BYE---+0
#81 (0-1) -26.7 Michigan ---BYE---+0
#82 (0-1) -26.7 Iowa ---BYE---+0
#83 (0-1) -26.7 Washington ---BYE---+0
#84 (0-1) -26.7 Utah ---BYE---+0
#85 (0-1) -26.7 Oregon ---BYE---+0
#86 (0-1) -26.7 Minnesota ---BYE---+0
#87 (0-1) -26.7 Boise St ---BYE---+0
#88 (0-1) -26.7 USC ---BYE---+0
#89 (0-1) -26.7 Wash St ---BYE---+0
#90 (0-1) -26.7 Indiana ---BYE---+0
#91 (0-1) -26.7 Mich St ---BYE---+0
#92 (0-1) -26.7 Nebraska ---BYE---+0
#93 (0-1) -26.7 Stanford ---BYE---+0
#94 (0-1) -26.7 Arizona St ---BYE---+0
#95 (0-1) -26.7 Northwestern ---BYE---+0
#96 (0-1) -26.7 Purdue ---BYE---+0
#97 (0-1) -26.7 California ---BYE---+0
#98 (0-1) -26.7 Ohio ---BYE---+0
#99 (0-1) -26.7 Colorado ---BYE---+0
#100 (0-1) -26.7 Western Michigan ---BYE---+0
#101 (0-1) -26.7 Utah St ---BYE---+0
#102 (0-1) -26.7 Maryland ---BYE---+0
#103 (0-1) -26.7 Wyoming ---BYE---+0
#104 (0-1) -26.7 San Diego St ---BYE---+0
#105 (0-1) -26.7 Fresno St ---BYE---+0
#106 (0-1) -26.7 UCLA ---BYE---+0
#107 (0-1) -26.7 Buffalo ---BYE---+0
#108 (0-1) -26.7 Toledo ---BYE---+0
#109 (0-1) -26.7 Arizona ---BYE---+0
#110 (0-1) -26.7 Illinois ---BYE---+1
#111 (0-1) -26.7 Eastern Michigan ---BYE----1
#112 (0-1) -26.7 Miami(OH) ---BYE---+0
#113 (0-1) -26.7 Hawaii ---BYE---+0
#114 (0-1) -26.7 Oregon St ---BYE---+0
#115 (0-1) -26.7 Northern Illinois ---BYE---+0
#116 (0-1) -26.7 Central Michigan ---BYE---+0
#117 (0-1) -26.7 Colorado St ---BYE---+0
#118 (0-1) -26.7 Ball St ---BYE---+0
#119 (0-1) -26.7 Nevada ---BYE---+0
#120 (0-1) -26.7 Kent St ---BYE---+0
#121 (0-1) -26.7 Rutgers ---BYE---+0
#122 (0-1) -26.7 San Jose St ---BYE---+0
#123 (0-1) -26.7 New Mexico ---BYE---+0
#124 (0-1) -26.7 UNLV ---BYE---+0
#125 (0-1) -26.7 Old Dominion ---BYE---+0
#126 (0-1) -26.7 New Mexico St ---BYE---+0
#127 (0-1) -26.7 Bowling Green ---BYE---+0
#128 (0-1) -26.7 Akron ---BYE---+0
#129 (0-1) -26.7 UConn ---BYE---+0
#130 (0-1) -26.7 UMass ---BYE---+0

100% (10-0)+W Georgia (1%)
100% (10-0)+W Alabama (20%)
100% (9-1)+W Alabama (22%)
100% (10-0)+W LSU (4%)
100% (9-1)+W Auburn (2%)
100% (11-0)+W Clemson (27%)
100% (11-0)+W Notre Dame (4%)
100% (10-0)+W Oklahoma St (2%)
100% (10-0)+W Texas (1%)
99% (9-1)+W LSU (9%)
99% (10-0)+W Oklahoma (6%)
99% (10-1)+W Clemson (30%)
99% (10-0)+W Memphis (1%)
99% (9-1)+W Georgia (7%)
98% (9-0)+W UCF (19%)
98% (10-0)+L  Alabama (5%)
98% (10-1)+W Notre Dame (12%)
97% (9-1)+W Florida (1%)
97% (10-1)+W Miami (3%)
95% (9-1)      Alabama (10%)
95% (11-0)+L  Clemson (7%)
93% (10-0)+L  LSU (2%)
91% (9-1)      Auburn (2%)
89% (11-0)+L  Notre Dame (7%)
88% (9-1)      LSU (8%)
88% (8-2)+W Alabama (5%)
86% (10-0)+L  Georgia (2%)
84% (9-1)+W Oklahoma St (9%)
83% (8-1)+W Baylor (1%)
81% (9-2)+W Clemson (7%)
81% (10-0)+L  Florida (1%)
80% (9-1)+W Texas (4%)
80% (8-2)+W Auburn (1%)
79% (8-2)+W LSU (3%)
79% (8-1)+W TCU (1%)
75% (10-1)      Notre Dame (2%)
74% (11-0)+L  Miami (1%)
73% (9-1)+W Oklahoma (15%)
73% (9-2)+W Virginia Tech (1%)
72% (9-2)+W Notre Dame (5%)
71% (9-1)      Florida (1%)
66% (10-1)      Miami (3%)
64% (9-2)+W Miami (2%)
64% (9-1)+L  Alabama (6%)
61% (8-2)+W Georgia (8%)
55% (9-1)+L  Auburn (1%)
55% (8-0)      BYU (11%)
53% (10-1)+L  Clemson (9%)
49% (10-1)+L  Notre Dame (18%)
48% (10-0)+L  Oklahoma St (1%)
44% (9-1)+L  Georgia (12%)
44% (9-1)+L  LSU (5%)
41% (10-0)+L  Oklahoma (3%)
40% (10-1)+L  Boston College (1%)
40% (8-2)      Alabama (15%)
39% (8-2)+W Florida (2%)
39% (9-1)+L  North Carolina (2%)
39% (9-1)+W Memphis (8%)
39% (8-1)+W UCF (29%)
37% (10-1)+L  Virginia Tech (3%)
33% (8-2)      Auburn (17%)
32% (10-1)+L  Miami (10%)
29% (9-0)+L  UCF (7%)
28% (8-0)+W Marshall (1%)
27% (10-1)+W Navy (1%)
24% (8-2)      LSU (28%)
23% (9-2)      Clemson (7%)
19% (8-0)+W FAU (20%)
19% (9-1)+L  Florida (7%)
17% (8-2)      Texas A*M (5%)
17% (8-2)      Georgia (6%)
17% (9-2)      Notre Dame (15%)
16% (8-2)      Miss St (1%)
16% (10-0)+L  Memphis (2%)
15% (9-2)      Boston College (4%)
13% (11-0)+W Louisiana (6%)
11% (9-2)      Virginia Tech (9%)
10% (8-2)+W Oklahoma St (13%)
10% (8-2)+L  Alabama (1%)
10% (8-2)+W Texas (7%)
9% (7-2)+W Baylor (4%)
8% (7-2)+W TCU (3%)
7% (8-2)      North Carolina (8%)
7% (9-2)      Miami (21%)
7% (7-3)+W Georgia (4%)
7% (8-2)+W Oklahoma (14%)
6% (9-2)+L  Notre Dame (10%)
5% (9-2)+L  Clemson (2%)
5% (11-0)+W La Tech (1%)
4% (8-2)      Florida (10%)
4% (9-2)+L  Miami (8%)
4% (8-2)+L  North Carolina (3%)
4% (7-2)+W UCF (10%)
4% (9-2)+L  Virginia Tech (4%)
4% (9-2)+L  Boston College (2%)
3% (8-2)+L  Auburn (1%)
3% (7-3)+W Florida (1%)
2% (9-1)+L  Oklahoma St (8%)
2% (8-1)+L  Baylor (2%)
2% (8-2)+L  Georgia (17%)
1% (8-2)+W Memphis (7%)
1% (8-2)+L  LSU (2%)
1% (8-2)+W Houston (1%)
1% (7-3)      Alabama (6%)
1% (8-1)+L  TCU (2%)
1% (9-1)+L  Texas (6%)
0% (8-2)      Oklahoma St (6%)
0% (8-1)+L  UCF (10%)
0% (7-3)      Auburn (32%)
0% (9-1)+L  Houston (2%)
0% (7-3)      Missouri (2%)
0% (7-1)      BYU (35%)
0% (9-1)+L  Memphis (10%)
0% (11-1)+W Troy (2%)
0% (8-3)      Miami (26%)
0% (7-3)      LSU (22%)
0% (8-3)      Virginia Tech (24%)
0% (9-2)+W Navy (6%)
0% (7-3)+W Oklahoma St (3%)
0% (8-2)      Texas (7%)
0% (8-3)      Clemson (3%)
0% (7-3)      North Carolina (24%)
0% (7-2)      Baylor (4%)
0% (8-2)      Houston (4%)
0% (9-1)+L  Oklahoma (9%)
0% (7-3)      Georgia (14%)
0% (8-3)      Boston College (19%)
0% (7-1)+W FAU (27%)
0% (7-3)      Miss St (7%)
0% (8-3)      Notre Dame (14%)
0% (10-1)+W App St (10%)
0% (8-2)+L  Florida (11%)
0% (8-2)      Memphis (13%)

100% 0-loss CHAMP SEC (26%)
100% 0-loss CHAMP ACC (33%)
99% 0-loss CHAMP Big 12 (9%)
99% 1-loss CHAMP SEC (44%)
99% 1-loss CHAMP ACC (47%)
98% 0-loss CHAMP AAC (21%)
91% 1-loss at large SEC (35%)
84% 1-loss at large ACC (24%)
78% 1-loss CHAMP Big 12 (33%)
76% 2-loss CHAMP ACC (17%)
69% 2-loss CHAMP SEC (22%)
45% 1-loss at large Big 12 (7%)
39% 1-loss CHAMP AAC (40%)
30% 2-loss at large SEC (121%)
25% 2-loss at large ACC (112%)
23% 1-loss at large AAC (11%)
18% 0-loss CHAMP CUSA (23%)
15% 3-loss CHAMP ACC (1%)
14% 0-loss CHAMP Sun Belt (6%)
9% 2-loss CHAMP Big 12 (45%)
7% 3-loss CHAMP SEC (6%)
2% 2-loss CHAMP AAC (27%)
1% 3-loss at large ACC (162%)
0% 2-loss at large Big 12 (59%)
0% 3-loss at large SEC (171%)
0% 2-loss at large AAC (73%)
0% 1-loss CHAMP CUSA (38%)
0% 3-loss CHAMP Big 12 (10%)
0% 1-loss CHAMP Sun Belt (30%)
0% 4-loss at large ACC (166%)

Playoff %
1) 78.42% Clemson
2) 74.33% Alabama
3) 41.94% Notre Dame
4) 35.67% LSU
5) 33.9% UCF
6) 23.69% Georgia
7) 20.4% Oklahoma
8) 14.47% Miami
9) 13.58% Auburn
10) 13.08% Oklahoma St
11) 7.15% Florida
12) 6.5% BYU
13) 6.2% Texas
14) 5.59% Memphis
15) 4.78% Virginia Tech
16) 3.91% FAU
17) 3.04% North Carolina
18) 2.28% Baylor
19) 1.97% Boston College
20) 1.83% Texas A*M
21) 1.74% TCU
22) 0.82% Louisiana
23) 0.74% Houston
24) 0.45% Marshall
25) 0.42% Navy
26) 0.39% Kentucky
27) 0.34% Miss St
28) 0.25% Arkansas
29) 0.23% Ole Miss
30) 0.2% South Carolina
31) 0.19% Pittsburgh
32) 0.16% Cincinnati
33) 0.14% East Carolina
34) 0.13% Temple
35) 0.13% Troy
36) 0.11% Tennessee
37) 0.11% NC State
38) 0.11% SMU
39) 0.09% West Virginia
40) 0.08% Texas Tech
41) 0.08% La Tech
42) 0.07% Vanderbilt
43) 0.06% Missouri
44) 0.06% Georgia Tech
45) 0.04% Virginia
46) 0.04% Kansas St
47) 0.03% Louisville
48) 0.03% Kansas
49) 0.01% Iowa St
50) 0.01% Ga Southern
51) 0.01% App St

Top G5 Champ %
1) 52.43% UCF
2) 13.84% Memphis
3) 11.63% FAU
4) 7.56% Navy
5) 4.86% Louisiana
6) 2.47% Houston
7) 1.26% App St
8) 1.11% Cincinnati
9) 1.09% Marshall
10) 0.93% La Tech
11) 0.76% Troy
12) 0.67% SMU
13) 0.55% Temple
14) 0.2% USF
15) 0.18% East Carolina
16) 0.12% Ga Southern
17) 0.06% Tulane
18) 0.06% UTSA
19) 0.06% Arkansas St
20) 0.05% Tulsa
21) 0.03% FIU
22) 0.02% Rice
23) 0.02% Texas St

5-1-2 TEAM (WCG) *8th spot*
87.96% Clemson (432/763) *1821*
81.04% Alabama (2176/2497) *1038*
65.28% Ohio St (0/0) *0*
57.79% UCF (55/122) *481*
48.86% Notre Dame (688/1592) *1834*
47.78% LSU (2411/3146) *617*
47.53% Utah (0/0) *0*
42.88% Oklahoma (63/179) *368*
34.54% Wisconsin (0/0) *0*
34.5% Georgia (409/624) *876*
34.3% Oregon (0/0) *0*
33.01% Oklahoma St (78/254) *317*
21.62% Auburn (1475/2183) *314*
21.06% Miami (674/2198) *763*
17.06% Texas (43/167) *149*
15.53% Washington (0/0) *0*
15.5% Memphis (19/82) *147*
12.75% Florida (322/707) *297*
11.68% FAU (3/3) *2*
8.93% Baylor (30/149) *69*
7.6% Navy (3/4) *1*
7.48% Virginia Tech (246/1118) *289*
7.22% TCU (22/132) *65*
4.86% Louisiana (0/0) *0*
4.43% North Carolina (157/789) *183*
3.7% Boston College (145/689) *143*
3.35% Texas A*M (210/443) *86*
2.74% Houston (11/96) *16*
2.16% USC (0/0) *0*
1.26% App St (0/0) *0*
1.24% Cincinnati (3/25) *10*
1.09% BYU (105/1298) *4*
1.09% Marshall (0/6) *0*
1.05% Miss St (79/175) *16*
0.97% Kentucky (31/76) *24*
0.93% Kansas St (0/3) *0*
0.93% La Tech (0/0) *0*
0.9% Iowa St (0/0) *0*
0.79% Troy (3/9) *0*
0.7% SMU (1/20) *2*
0.59% Temple (0/27) *4*
0.45% Missouri (16/29) *7*
0.45% Pittsburgh (19/113) *22*
0.45% Colorado (0/0) *0*
0.42% Kansas (0/0) *0*
0.37% Arkansas (20/28) *10*
0.37% Texas Tech (0/3) *2*
0.29% South Carolina (8/30) *3*
0.28% West Virginia (0/1) *0*
0.24% Ole Miss (17/28) *0*
0.23% Vanderbilt (14/17) *2*
0.22% Tennessee (3/18) *5*
0.2% USF (0/0) *0*
0.18% Penn State (0/0) *0*
0.18% East Carolina (0/1) *0*
0.17% NC State (6/57) *6*
0.12% Georgia Tech (1/20) *4*
0.12% Ga Southern (0/0) *0*
0.08% Tulane (2/4) *0*
0.06% UTSA (0/0) *0*
0.06% Arkansas St (0/0) *0*
0.05% Tulsa (0/0) *0*
0.04% Louisville (0/21) *3*
0.04% Coastal Carolina (0/0) *0*
0.03% California (0/0) *0*
0.03% FIU (0/0) *0*
0.02% Florida St (0/5) *0*
0.02% Rice (0/0) *0*
0.02% Texas St (0/0) *0*
(This post was last modified: 09-22-2020 11:14 PM by Crayton.)
09-20-2020 06:00 PM
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Crayton Online
2nd String
*

Posts: 357
Joined: Feb 2019
Reputation: 36
I Root For: Florida
Location:
Post: #6
RE: The Year That Is (Week 3: Ohio State to the playoff!!))
The Big Ten is IN. They place 4 teams in the Top 9 with #12 Iowa and #21 Minnesota not far behind. Laughably only 2 Top 14 teams played last week, Clemson and Notre Dame.

G5 in the playoff? Yep. Still a thing. An undefeated American champ has gone from a 98% to a 94% of crashing the party, but the odds are still pretty good.

Ohio State is the conference favorite and the computer will weight that more and more as the season continues to pass the Big Ten by. But, 3 teams from each division are given decent odds and no doubt 2020 will have a few more surprises in store for us.

raw data:
Code:
Rank (W-L) Rating TEAM (Last Week)
#1 (0-0) 23.1 Alabama ---BYE---+0
#2 (0-0) 27.6 Ohio St ---BYE---+0
#3 (0-0) 16.5 LSU ---BYE---+0
#4 (2-0) 45.9 Clemson (W 49-0 vs. FCS)+1
#5 (0-0) 14.1 Georgia ---BYE----1
#6 (0-0) 17.5 Penn State ---BYE---+0
#7 (0-0) 15.5 Wisconsin ---BYE---+0
#8 (0-0) 11.8 Auburn ---BYE---+0
#9 (0-0) 14.3 Michigan ---BYE---+0
#10 (2-0) 32.7 Notre Dame (W 52-0 vs. USF)+1
#11 (0-0) 8.5 Florida ---BYE----1
#12 (0-0) 11 Iowa ---BYE---+0
#13 (1-0) 20.7 Oklahoma ---BYE---+1
#14 (0-0) 4.7 Texas A*M ---BYE----1
#15 (1-0) 11.4 Oklahoma St (W 16-7 vs. Tulsa)+0
#16 (1-0) 28.6 UCF (W 47-21 vs. Georgia Tech)+0
#17 (2-0) 23.5 Miami (W 47-34 vs. Louisville)+2
#18 (0-0) 1.1 Miss St ---BYE----1
#19 (1-0) 13.5 Texas ---BYE----1
#20 (0-0) -1.3 Kentucky ---BYE---+0
#21 (0-0) 3.8 Minnesota ---BYE---+0
#22 (0-0) 6.6 Baylor ---BYE---+0
#23 (0-0) 20.8 Virginia Tech ---BYE---+3
#24 (0-0) -2.1 Missouri ---BYE----1
#25 (0-0) 6.5 TCU ---BYE---+0
#26 (0-0) -0.5 Indiana ---BYE----2
#27 (1-0) 21.2 North Carolina ---BYE---+2
#28 (0-0) -2.5 South Carolina ---BYE----1
#29 (0-0) -1.2 Nebraska ---BYE----1
#30 (1-0) 18 Boston College (W 26-6 vs. Duke)+4
#31 (1-1) 18.1 Navy (W 27-24 vs. Tulane)+4
#32 (0-0) -1.2 Mich St ---BYE----2
#33 (1-1) 29.1 Memphis (W 37-24 vs. Arkansas St)+5
#34 (0-0) -4.3 Tennessee ---BYE----3
#35 (0-0) -5.6 Ole Miss ---BYE----2
#36 (0-1) 7.1 Kansas St ---BYE---+0
#37 (1-1) 33.5 App St (L 7-17 vs. Marshall)-5
#38 (0-0) 22.4 FAU ---BYE---+1
#39 (0-0) 17.5 Houston ---BYE---+2
#40 (2-0) 25.4 SMU (W 65-35 vs. North Texas)+4
#41 (2-0) 23.2 Louisiana (W 34-31 vs. Georgia St)+2
#42 (2-0) 17.7 Pittsburgh (W 21-10 vs. Syracuse)+12
#43 (0-1) 5.9 Iowa St ---BYE----6
#44 (0-0) -4.5 Northwestern ---BYE----4
#45 (0-1) 23.3 Florida St ---BYE---+0
#46 (1-0) 19.9 Cincinnati (W 55-20 vs. FCS)-4
#47 (0-0) 15.1 Temple ---BYE---+3
#48 (1-0) 16.1 NC State (W 45-42 vs. Wake Forest)+15
#49 (1-1) 16.3 Louisville (L 34-47 vs. Miami)+2
#50 (1-1) 11.2 Georgia Tech (L 21-47 vs. UCF)+3
#51 (0-0) -7.8 Maryland ---BYE----3
#52 (0-0) -4.9 Purdue ---BYE----3
#53 (1-0) 33.5 BYU ---BYE---+7
#54 (1-0) 23.9 Troy ---BYE---+5
#55 (0-2) 22.6 Wake Forest (L 42-45 vs. NC State)-9
#56 (0-0) 21.8 Virginia ---BYE---+2
#57 (0-0) -15.3 Arkansas ---BYE----5
#58 (1-0) 5.2 West Virginia ---BYE----2
#59 (1-1) 16.7 Tulane (L 24-27 vs. Navy)-4
#60 (0-2) 13.1 Syracuse (L 10-21 vs. Pittsburgh)-13
#61 (0-0) -13.8 Vanderbilt ---BYE----4
#62 (0-2) 14.2 Duke (L 6-26 vs. Boston College)-1
#63 (0-1) 11.3 Tulsa (L 7-16 vs. Oklahoma St)-1
#64 (1-0) -0.6 Texas Tech ---BYE---+1
#65 (0-0) -12.8 Illinois ---BYE----1
#66 (1-0) 22.6 La Tech ---BYE---+1
#67 (2-0) 36.2 Army (W 42-0 vs. Middle Tennessee)+6
#68 (2-0) 21.8 Marshall (W 17-7 vs. App St)+9
#69 (1-1) 18.6 Arkansas St (L 24-37 vs. Memphis)-3
#70 (1-0) 12.8 Ga Southern ---BYE----2
#72 (1-1) 6.7 USF (L 0-52 vs. Notre Dame)-1
#73 (0-2) 11.6 Middle Tennessee (L 0-42 vs. Army)-3
#74 (0-0) -21.5 Rutgers ---BYE----2
#75 (0-1) -10.9 Kansas ---BYE----1
#76 (0-2) 19.5 WKU (L 24-30 vs. Liberty)-1
#77 (0-2) 18.3 Southern Miss (L 21-32 vs. South Alabama)-1
#78 (0-1) 5.4 Georgia St (L 31-34 vs. Louisiana)+1
#79 (0-1) 8.2 Charlotte ---BYE---+2
#80 (1-1) 5.4 South Alabama (W 32-21 vs. Southern Miss)+6
#81 (1-1) 8.5 North Texas (L 35-65 vs. SMU)-1
#82 (0-0) -1.8 East Carolina ---BYE---+0
#83 (0-0) 18.7 FIU ---BYE---+0
#84 (0-2) 8 La Monroe (L 17-38 vs. Texas St)-6
#85 (1-1) 7.3 UAB (W 45-35 vs. FCS)-1
#86 (2-0) 2.7 UTSA (W 24-10 vs. FCS)-1
#87 (1-0) 16.8 Liberty (W 30-24 vs. WKU)+2
#88 (1-1) 2.7 Texas St (W 38-17 vs. La Monroe)+2
#89 (0-1) 9.5 Air Force ---BYE----2
#90 (0-0) 1.3 Rice ---BYE----2
#91 (1-1) -7.2 UTEP (W 17-13 vs. FCS)+0
#92 (0-1) -26.8 Washington ---BYE---+0
#93 (0-1) -26.8 Utah ---BYE---+0
#94 (0-1) -26.8 Oregon ---BYE---+0
#95 (0-1) -26.8 Boise St ---BYE---+0
#96 (0-1) -26.8 USC ---BYE---+0
#97 (0-1) -26.8 Wash St ---BYE---+0
#98 (0-1) -26.8 Stanford ---BYE---+0
#99 (0-1) -26.8 Arizona St ---BYE---+0
#100 (0-1) -26.8 California ---BYE---+0
#101 (0-1) -26.8 Ohio ---BYE---+0
#102 (0-1) -26.8 Colorado ---BYE---+0
#103 (0-1) -26.8 Western Michigan ---BYE---+0
#104 (0-1) -26.8 Utah St ---BYE---+0
#105 (0-1) -26.8 Wyoming ---BYE---+0
#106 (0-1) -26.8 San Diego St ---BYE---+0
#107 (0-1) -26.8 Fresno St ---BYE---+0
#108 (0-1) -26.8 UCLA ---BYE---+0
#109 (0-1) -26.8 Buffalo ---BYE---+0
#110 (0-1) -26.8 Toledo ---BYE---+0
#111 (0-1) -26.8 Arizona ---BYE---+0
#112 (0-1) -26.8 Eastern Michigan ---BYE---+0
#113 (0-1) -26.8 Miami(OH) ---BYE---+0
#114 (0-1) -26.8 Oregon St ---BYE---+1
#115 (0-1) -26.8 Hawaii ---BYE----1
#116 (0-1) -26.8 Northern Illinois ---BYE---+0
#117 (0-1) -26.8 Colorado St ---BYE---+1
#118 (0-1) -26.8 Central Michigan ---BYE----1
#119 (0-1) -26.8 Ball St ---BYE---+0
#120 (0-1) -26.8 Nevada ---BYE---+0
#121 (0-1) -26.8 Kent St ---BYE---+0
#122 (0-1) -26.8 San Jose St ---BYE---+0
#123 (0-1) -26.8 New Mexico ---BYE---+0
#124 (0-1) -26.8 UNLV ---BYE---+0
#125 (0-1) -26.8 Old Dominion ---BYE---+0
#126 (0-1) -26.8 New Mexico St ---BYE---+0
#127 (0-1) -26.8 Bowling Green ---BYE---+0
#128 (0-1) -26.8 Akron ---BYE---+0
#129 (0-1) -26.8 UConn ---BYE---+0
#130 (0-1) -26.8 UMass ---BYE---+0

100% (10-0)+W Georgia (1%)
100% (10-0)+W Alabama (19%)
100% (10-0)+W LSU (4%)
100% (11-0)+W Clemson (26%)
100% (11-0)+W Notre Dame (4%)
100% (8-0)+W Penn State (5%)
100% (8-0)+W Michigan (1%)
100% (8-0)+W Ohio St (28%)
100% (10-0)+W Oklahoma St (2%)
99% (8-0)+W Wisconsin (4%)
99% (10-0)+W Oklahoma (6%)
98% (9-0)+W UCF (20%)
97% (10-0)+W Memphis (1%)
97% (10-1)+W Clemson (31%)
96% (9-1)+W Alabama (23%)
96% (10-1)+W Notre Dame (12%)
96% (7-1)+W Michigan (3%)
95% (9-1)+W Auburn (1%)
94% (9-1)+W LSU (10%)
93% (10-1)+W Miami (3%)
92% (7-1)+W Penn State (9%)
90% (9-1)+W Georgia (7%)
90% (11-0)+L  Clemson (7%)
85% (7-1)+W Iowa (3%)
84% (10-0)+L  Alabama (5%)
83% (7-1)+W Wisconsin (11%)
81% (11-0)+L  Notre Dame (6%)
79% (7-1)+W Ohio St (17%)
73% (8-1)+W Baylor (1%)
73% (9-1)+W Florida (2%)
68% (10-0)+L  LSU (2%)
66% (9-1)      Alabama (10%)
65% (11-0)+L  Miami (1%)
65% (8-1)+W TCU (1%)
64% (8-0)+L  Penn State (3%)
63% (9-1)+W Oklahoma St (9%)
61% (10-0)+L  Georgia (2%)
59% (9-1)      Auburn (3%)
56% (9-2)+W Clemson (7%)
54% (10-1)      Notre Dame (2%)
50% (7-1)      Michigan (6%)
48% (8-0)      BYU (11%)
47% (9-1)+W Oklahoma (16%)
46% (9-2)+W Notre Dame (6%)
46% (8-0)+L  Ohio St (8%)
45% (9-1)      LSU (8%)
44% (9-1)+W Texas (4%)
44% (8-0)+L  Wisconsin (8%)
43% (7-1)      Penn State (13%)
41% (10-1)      Miami (3%)
40% (8-2)+W Alabama (5%)
40% (10-0)+L  Oklahoma St (2%)
40% (8-0)+L  Iowa (2%)
36% (9-2)+W Miami (2%)
29% (7-1)      Iowa (3%)
29% (10-0)+L  Florida (1%)
25% (8-1)+W UCF (29%)
25% (10-1)+L  Clemson (9%)
23% (9-1)+W Memphis (7%)
23% (8-0)+W Marshall (1%)
22% (7-1)      Ohio St (19%)
22% (10-1)+L  Notre Dame (18%)
22% (8-2)+W LSU (3%)
21% (10-1)+W Navy (1%)
21% (10-0)+L  Oklahoma (4%)
20% (9-1)      Florida (1%)
19% (7-1)      Minnesota (1%)
18% (8-2)+W Auburn (1%)
17% (11-0)+W Louisiana (6%)
16% (9-1)+L  Auburn (1%)
16% (7-1)      Wisconsin (4%)
15% (10-0)+L  Memphis (2%)
15% (10-1)+L  Virginia Tech (3%)
14% (9-1)+L  North Carolina (2%)
14% (8-0)+W FAU (19%)
14% (8-2)+W Georgia (9%)
13% (10-0)+L  Texas (1%)
12% (9-0)+L  UCF (6%)
12% (10-1)+L  Miami (9%)
11% (9-1)+L  Alabama (6%)
11% (6-2)+W Penn State (1%)
9% (11-0)+W La Tech (1%)
8% (6-2)+W Ohio St (1%)
8% (9-2)      Clemson (7%)
7% (8-2)+W Florida (3%)
6% (6-2)+W Wisconsin (5%)
6% (8-1)      UCF (1%)
6% (9-2)      Boston College (4%)
6% (6-2)+W Iowa (2%)
5% (9-2)      Notre Dame (16%)
4% (7-1)+L  Michigan (2%)
4% (7-2)+W Baylor (4%)
4% (9-2)      Virginia Tech (8%)
3% (8-2)      North Carolina (8%)
3% (9-1)+L  Georgia (12%)
3% (7-2)+W TCU (3%)
3% (8-2)      Miss St (1%)
3% (8-2)      Alabama (16%)
3% (8-2)+W Oklahoma St (13%)
3% (9-1)+L  LSU (5%)
2% (11-0)      Army (1%)
2% (8-2)+W Houston (1%)
2% (9-2)      Miami (21%)
2% (8-2)      Auburn (18%)
2% (8-2)+W Texas (8%)
1% (9-2)+L  Clemson (3%)
1% (7-1)+L  Penn State (6%)
1% (8-2)+W Oklahoma (14%)
1% (9-2)+L  Notre Dame (9%)
1% (8-2)+L  North Carolina (3%)
1% (8-2)+W Memphis (7%)
1% (7-2)+W UCF (9%)
0% (9-2)+L  Boston College (3%)
0% (9-1)+L  Oklahoma St (7%)
0% (8-2)      Houston (3%)
0% (8-2)      LSU (27%)
0% (9-1)+L  Florida (7%)
0% (9-2)+L  Miami (8%)
0% (7-1)+L  Wisconsin (18%)
0% (6-2)      Michigan (29%)
0% (8-2)      Georgia (7%)
0% (9-1)+L  Memphis (10%)
0% (6-2)      Penn State (32%)
0% (7-3)+W Oklahoma St (2%)
0% (7-1)+L  Iowa (11%)
0% (8-1)+L  Baylor (3%)
0% (8-3)      Clemson (3%)
0% (6-2)      Indiana (3%)
0% (7-1)      BYU (36%)
0% (9-2)+L  Virginia Tech (5%)
0% (7-1)+L  Ohio St (5%)
0% (8-2)      Texas A*M (5%)
0% (8-2)      Oklahoma St (6%)
0% (7-3)      Alabama (7%)
0% (8-3)      Notre Dame (14%)
0% (9-1)+L  Oklahoma (9%)
0% (10-1)+W App St (10%)
0% (10-1)+W Louisiana (16%)
0% (7-3)      North Carolina (23%)
0% (8-3)      Virginia Tech (23%)
0% (7-1)+W FAU (26%)

100% 0-loss CHAMP SEC (25%)
100% 0-loss CHAMP ACC (31%)
99% 0-loss CHAMP Big Ten (40%)
99% 0-loss CHAMP Big 12 (9%)
97% 0-loss CHAMP AAC (22%)
97% 1-loss CHAMP ACC (48%)
94% 1-loss CHAMP SEC (45%)
84% 1-loss CHAMP Big Ten (46%)
73% 1-loss at large ACC (23%)
59% 1-loss at large SEC (36%)
53% 1-loss CHAMP Big 12 (34%)
49% 2-loss CHAMP ACC (18%)
37% 1-loss at large Big Ten (75%)
25% 1-loss at large Big 12 (8%)
24% 1-loss CHAMP AAC (41%)
20% 2-loss CHAMP SEC (22%)
17% 0-loss CHAMP Sun Belt (7%)
14% 0-loss CHAMP CUSA (23%)
11% 1-loss at large AAC (11%)
10% 2-loss at large ACC (112%)
8% 2-loss CHAMP Big Ten (12%)
5% 3-loss CHAMP ACC (1%)
2% 2-loss CHAMP Big 12 (44%)
2% 2-loss at large SEC (122%)
0% 2-loss CHAMP AAC (27%)
0% 2-loss at large Big Ten (190%)
0% 3-loss at large ACC (160%)
0% 2-loss at large Big 12 (59%)
0% 3-loss CHAMP Big 12 (10%)
0% 2-loss at large AAC (72%)
0% 1-loss CHAMP Sun Belt (30%)
0% 1-loss CHAMP CUSA (37%)
0% 3-loss at large SEC (169%)

Playoff %
1) 71.44% Clemson
2) 56.48% Alabama
3) 50.65% Ohio St
4) 30.86% Notre Dame
5) 28.18% UCF
6) 23.5% Penn State
7) 20.56% LSU
8) 18.86% Wisconsin
9) 15.13% Oklahoma
10) 11.26% Georgia
11) 9.48% Oklahoma St
12) 9.02% Michigan
13) 8.91% Miami
14) 6.36% Iowa
15) 5.61% BYU
16) 5.35% Auburn
17) 4.27% Memphis
18) 3.22% Texas
19) 2.93% Virginia Tech
20) 2.87% Florida
21) 2.87% FAU
22) 1.85% Baylor
23) 1.83% North Carolina
24) 1.33% TCU
25) 1.15% Louisiana
26) 0.85% Minnesota
27) 0.83% Boston College
28) 0.54% Houston
29) 0.41% Marshall
30) 0.39% Texas A*M
31) 0.37% Navy
32) 0.24% Indiana
33) 0.2% Nebraska
34) 0.16% Troy
35) 0.15% Miss St
36) 0.15% Pittsburgh
37) 0.15% Texas Tech
38) 0.15% La Tech
39) 0.14% Temple
40) 0.13% Illinois
41) 0.12% Arkansas
42) 0.11% Rutgers
43) 0.09% South Carolina
44) 0.09% Cincinnati
45) 0.08% West Virginia
46) 0.07% Tennessee
47) 0.07% Kentucky
48) 0.06% Mich St
49) 0.06% East Carolina
50) 0.05% Ole Miss
51) 0.05% Maryland
52) 0.04% Purdue
53) 0.04% SMU
54) 0.03% Kansas St
55) 0.03% Army
56) 0.02% Missouri
57) 0.02% Vanderbilt
58) 0.02% Georgia Tech
59) 0.02% Northwestern
60) 0.02% Kansas
61) 0.02% Rice
62) 0.01% Florida St
63) 0.01% Louisville
64) 0.01% Iowa St
65) 0.01% UTSA
66) 0.01% Ga Southern
67) 0.01% App St

Top G5 Champ %
1) 49.84% UCF
2) 13.36% Memphis
3) 12.79% FAU
4) 6.45% Navy
5) 6.16% Louisiana
6) 2.35% App St
7) 2.28% Houston
8) 1.4% Marshall
9) 1.3% La Tech
10) 1.04% Troy
11) 0.72% Cincinnati
12) 0.71% SMU
13) 0.68% Temple
14) 0.22% Tulane
15) 0.16% Arkansas St
16) 0.15% East Carolina
17) 0.07% Tulsa
18) 0.07% Ga Southern
19) 0.06% Texas St
20) 0.05% USF
21) 0.05% Rice
22) 0.03% UTSA
23) 0.03% FIU
24) 0.01% Georgia St

5-1-2 TEAM (WCG) *8th spot*
86.77% Clemson (353/550) *1783*
70.45% Alabama (1609/2045) *655*
65.29% Ohio St (1280/1792) *567*
57.76% Oregon (0/0) *0*
54.4% UCF (38/94) *418*
46.21% Notre Dame (601/1198) *1693*
42.94% Oklahoma (20/50) *336*
35.32% LSU (1391/1995) *345*
31.73% Penn State (1109/2025) *405*
31.51% Oklahoma St (43/110) *315*
30.11% Wisconsin (284/580) *614*
27.26% Georgia (184/315) *365*
25.53% USC (0/0) *0*
17.68% Miami (471/1554) *599*
16.79% Texas (20/48) *130*
15.74% Arizona St (0/0) *0*
15.11% Michigan (751/1545) *229*
14.95% Memphis (15/49) *144*
13.05% Auburn (724/1348) *189*
12.79% FAU (0/5) *0*
12.1% Iowa (195/467) *226*
9.4% Florida (107/234) *133*
8.47% Baylor (10/39) *86*
6.81% TCU (5/35) *59*
6.46% Navy (1/6) *0*
6.27% Virginia Tech (151/683) *260*
6.16% Louisiana (0/1) *0*
3.93% North Carolina (113/479) *161*
2.78% Houston (12/54) *38*
2.35% App St (0/0) *0*
2.32% Boston College (73/393) *94*
2.09% Minnesota (62/233) *29*
1.43% BYU (139/1285) *4*
1.41% Texas A*M (79/220) *22*
1.4% Marshall (0/13) *0*
1.3% Kansas St (0/0) *0*
1.3% La Tech (0/0) *0*
1.06% Troy (2/11) *0*
1.01% Iowa St (0/0) *0*
0.92% California (0/0) *0*
0.81% Cincinnati (1/7) *8*
0.77% Temple (0/5) *9*
0.74% SMU (1/9) *2*
0.58% Nebraska (14/67) *10*
0.5% Miss St (30/72) *9*
0.5% Indiana (21/97) *5*
0.48% West Virginia (0/1) *0*
0.47% Pittsburgh (19/63) *17*
0.41% Kansas (0/0) *0*
0.41% Texas Tech (0/0) *0*
0.28% Kentucky (2/16) *1*
0.28% Mich St (13/31) *6*
0.26% South Carolina (1/8) *3*
0.26% Missouri (2/8) *1*
0.23% Tulane (1/6) *0*
0.22% Arkansas (12/17) *1*
0.2% East Carolina (0/0) *5*
0.17% Tennessee (5/7) *0*
0.17% Illinois (4/8) *1*
0.16% NC State (5/37) *5*
0.16% Arkansas St (0/0) *0*
0.15% Ole Miss (8/9) *1*
0.15% Northwestern (3/11) *3*
0.14% Rutgers (3/4) *1*
0.12% Vanderbilt (2/5) *4*
0.1% Purdue (2/7) *2*
0.09% Georgia Tech (2/4) *1*
0.09% Maryland (2/10) *3*
0.07% Tulsa (0/0) *0*
0.07% Ga Southern (0/0) *0*
0.06% Texas St (0/0) *0*
0.05% Colorado (0/0) *0*
0.05% USF (0/0) *0*
0.05% Rice (0/0) *0*
0.04% Florida St (1/1) *1*
0.03% Louisville (1/7) *1*
0.03% UTSA (0/0) *0*
0.03% FIU (0/0) *0*
0.02% Army (2/17) *0*
0.02% Coastal Carolina (0/0) *0*
0.01% Syracuse (0/1) *0*
0.01% Virginia (1/9) *0*
0.01% Duke (0/0) *1*
0.01% Georgia St (0/0) *0*
09-22-2020 11:42 PM
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