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Week 2

UAB at Miami -16
Charlotte at App St -20.5
Louisiana Tech at Baylor -17
UTEP at Texas -42.5
WKU at ‘Ville -11.5

It would be interesting to know how those point spreads would look if we reversed those favored teams to being the visiting teams rather sitting at home for the game.

(09-04-2020 01:55 PM)BlazrDawg Wrote:  It would be interesting to know how those point spreads would look if we reversed those favored teams to being the visiting teams rather sitting at home for the game.

I found this from 2019:

Quote:Teams that had an 80% SU + ATS record at home got 4.5 points of HFA (Home Field Advantage). There is only one. It is Alabama. Surprise! Teams that had a 70% SU + ATS record at home got 4 points of HFA. There are a handful. Teams that had a 60% SU + ATS record at home got 3.5 points of HFA.

On the flip side, teams that were less than 50% SU + ATS at home got 2.5 points. Teams that were less than 40% SU + ATS at home got 2 points. Everybody that did not fall into one of those five categories got the standard 3 points. The SU + ATS records were tabulated using Phil Steele’s magazine, for convenience purposes.

If I'm reading this right a switch in sites would lead to anywhere from a 0-8.5 swing in the line depending upon the relative strengths of the two in regards to covering in past games.

Just using his "standard" would equate to a 6 point swing in a general line if the visitors were playing at home.