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Poll Conundrum
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green Offline
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Post: #1
Poll Conundrum
07-29-2020 09:25 AM
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CardinalJim Offline
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Post: #2
RE: Poll Conundrum
If this is one of those polls where they ask 75 - 80% Democrats and the balance Independents and Republicans, Braindead Biden is in trouble.
07-29-2020 09:36 AM
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TigerBlue4Ever Offline
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RE: Poll Conundrum
muh polls...
07-29-2020 09:38 AM
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VA49er Offline
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RE: Poll Conundrum
What is the margin of error?
07-29-2020 09:39 AM
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WalkThePlank Offline
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Post: #5
RE: Poll Conundrum
This is WILD. You know that the samples are still off too. Basically move R+3 on Election Day as usual.
07-29-2020 09:46 AM
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rath v2.0 Offline
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RE: Poll Conundrum
(07-29-2020 09:39 AM)VA49er Wrote:  What is the margin of error?

Same as it always is...over sampling and A chunk of people not being open to discussing who they support.
07-29-2020 09:53 AM
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DexterDevil Offline
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RE: Poll Conundrum
538 rates that polling agency with a C-

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/
07-29-2020 09:58 AM
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ODUCoach Offline
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Post: #8
RE: Poll Conundrum
I'm not a Trump voter, but if those poll numbers are accurate, the Dems are in BIG trouble. All of my liberal friends are more plenty willing to share their thoughts about who they will vote for. Many of my Republican friends (the far-right excepted) would not tell anyone they didn't know that they were supporting Trump.
07-29-2020 10:00 AM
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green Offline
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RE: Poll Conundrum
(07-29-2020 09:58 AM)DexterDevil Wrote:  538 rates that polling agency with a C-

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/



https://twitter.com/CottoGottfried/statu...5462288385

JUDGE NOT LEST YE BE JUDGED
07-29-2020 10:14 AM
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domer1978 Online
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RE: Poll Conundrum
I assume Trump is going to lose because the utter chaos that has occurred and the weak economy. I am amazed that he has as much support as he does. All legacy media and social media ardently hate and oppose him. Prepare for retribution from the left.
07-29-2020 10:20 AM
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rath v2.0 Offline
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RE: Poll Conundrum
(07-29-2020 10:14 AM)green Wrote:  
(07-29-2020 09:58 AM)DexterDevil Wrote:  538 rates that polling agency with a C-

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/



https://twitter.com/CottoGottfried/statu...5462288385

JUDGE NOT LEST YE BE JUDGED

03-lmfao

Muh Nate!
07-29-2020 10:22 AM
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Bronco'14 Offline
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Post: #12
RE: Poll Conundrum
The question is will people come out for Biden? Right now I'd say no, but a black woman or faux Indian on the ticket yes.
(This post was last modified: 07-29-2020 10:34 AM by Bronco'14.)
07-29-2020 10:33 AM
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green Offline
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RE: Poll Conundrum
(07-29-2020 10:20 AM)domer1978 Wrote:  I assume Trump is going to lose because the utter chaos that has occurred and the weak economy. I am amazed that he has as much support as he does. All legacy media and social media ardently hate and oppose him. Prepare for retribution from the left.



https://twitter.com/DevonDiMarco1/status...6961168385

OUT OF SHEER BOREDOM
07-29-2020 10:44 AM
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ECUGrad07 Online
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RE: Poll Conundrum
Polls nowadays are used to SHAPE public opinion... not REFLECT it.
07-29-2020 10:55 AM
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stinkfist Offline
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Post: #15
RE: Poll Conundrum
(07-29-2020 09:53 AM)rath v2.0 Wrote:  
(07-29-2020 09:39 AM)VA49er Wrote:  What is the margin of error?

Same as it always is...over sampling and A chunk of people not being open to discussing who they support.

+/- a gazillion%
07-29-2020 11:02 AM
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stinkfist Offline
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RE: Poll Conundrum
(07-29-2020 10:55 AM)ECUGrad07 Wrote:  Polls nowadays are used to SHAPE public opinion... not REFLECT it.

not close to new.....

I turn double nickels in a week...n+1 gives me 'nuf 'sperience' to completely concur with ^^^
07-29-2020 11:06 AM
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Attackcoog Online
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Post: #17
RE: Poll Conundrum
(07-29-2020 10:00 AM)ODUCoach Wrote:  I'm not a Trump voter, but if those poll numbers are accurate, the Dems are in BIG trouble. All of my liberal friends are more plenty willing to share their thoughts about who they will vote for. Many of my Republican friends (the far-right excepted) would not tell anyone they didn't know that they were supporting Trump.

Thats my thought as well. Even if this sample was a legit 40-40 R-D split with 20% indy---my guess is this result probably means there is close to a 8 point lead for Trump due to the fear of a backlash many have toward admitting to pollsters that they support Trump. In the current cancel environment, there is no upside to individuals admitting they support Trump to a random stranger on the phone. By the way, they do not disclose the party affiliation of the sample anywhere in their methodology description, which is a dead give away that the sample is probably something along the lines of 45% Democrat, 25% Republican, 30% "other".
(This post was last modified: 07-29-2020 02:34 PM by Attackcoog.)
07-29-2020 11:10 AM
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stinkfist Offline
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RE: Poll Conundrum
(07-29-2020 10:20 AM)domer1978 Wrote:  I assume Trump is going to lose because the utter chaos that has occurred and the weak economy. I am amazed that he has as much support as he does. All legacy media and social media ardently hate and oppose him. Prepare for retribution from the left.

are you surprised dipshites that don't vote play in that sandbox as they slam the return key....lmmfao
07-29-2020 11:10 AM
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gdunn Offline
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RE: Poll Conundrum
(07-29-2020 10:20 AM)domer1978 Wrote:  I assume Trump is going to lose because the utter chaos that has occurred and the weak economy. I am amazed that he has as much support as he does. All legacy media and social media ardently hate and oppose him. Prepare for retribution from the left.

I'm thinking about 90% of those who voted for him in 16 will vote for him again.. I'm saying 10% will not vote because they choose not to, passed from this earth, or casting a vote for someone else.

The question is, for those who didn't vote Trump last time, how many are voting for him this time...
07-29-2020 11:13 AM
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EverRespect Offline
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Post: #20
RE: Poll Conundrum
(07-29-2020 09:58 AM)DexterDevil Wrote:  538 rates that polling agency with a C-

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/

BUT MUH NATE!
07-29-2020 11:13 AM
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