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2020 Schedule Breakdowns: #1 Marshall
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Side Show Joe Offline
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Post: #1
2020 Schedule Breakdowns: #1 Marshall
I have finished my annual predictions for the 2020 season (If we get to play it). Last season there were some accurate predictions like ODU's season, the rise of Charlotte, and WKU being the most improved team, but also some big misses like the total collapse of North Texas, and the under performance of FIU. This year I have modified my formula in hopes of increasing accuracy. Again, these are my interpretations of data, and how I think the season would play out. I have left my bias out of the equation. Due to the uncertainty of the pandemic, I have limited the prediction to just conference records and bowl eligibility. The OOC portion of the schedule is changing almost daily and has a higher probability of not be played at all.

In the bigger picture, I am predicting that the eastern division will again be stronger than the western division in 2020. I believe the eastern schools will finish with a 29-27 conference record, while I believe the western schools will finish 27-29. I think the East will have 5 teams finish bowl eligible, while I think the West finishes with 4. Additionally, I believe the conditions presented by COVID-19 will alter the quality of performance on the field. As players are placed in quarantine, back ups and underclassmen will be vital to a teams success. I predict overall roster talent will be an even greater factor this season. And if we play, this factor should result in some very sloppy football for every team.

Feel free to debate. I always welcome good sound logic. This thread will be updated with changes to the title to reflect the current team be evaluated.


1. Marshall (7-1) 78.5
2. FAU (7-1) 80
3. UAB (8-0) 80.75
4. LA Tech (6-2) 82.5
5. WKU (5-3) 84.25
6. Southern Miss (4-4) 87.75
7. FIU (5-3) 89
8. UTSA (4-4) 98
9. Middle Tennessee (4-4) 98.5
10. North Texas (3-5) 101.5
11. Rice (1-7) 114.25
12. Charlotte (2-6) 117.75
13. UTEP (0-8) 126.75

ODU- Canceled


#14 UTEP 126.75

UTEP under Dimel has been awful. Last season I thought they might begin to turn things around, but it never happened. Dimel is in the third year of a five year contract. While logic would predict he doesn't finish the season, I'm not sure UTEP would be willing to buyout the last two years. The data is very bleak for UTEP. The Miners feature a Junior heavy lineup and they are low on overall talent compared to every C-USA programs they will face. Unfortunately for UTEP fans, I just don't see any winnable conference games on the Miners schedule this season.

UTEP (0-8)
L- @ LA Tech
L- Southern Miss
L- @ Charlotte
L- North Texas
L- FIU
L- @ UTSA
L- UAB
L- @ Rice


Check back near the end of the week. I'll post #13 around Thursday or Friday.
(This post was last modified: 09-03-2020 07:32 PM by Side Show Joe.)
07-28-2020 09:49 AM
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Post: #2
RE: 2020 Schedule Breakdowns: #14?
(07-28-2020 09:49 AM)Side Show Joe Wrote:  I have finished my annual predictions for the 2020 season (If we get to play it). Last season there were some accurate predictions like ODU's season, the rise of Charlotte, and WKU being the most improved team, but also some big misses like the total collapse of North Texas, and the under performance of FIU. This year I have modified my formula in hopes of increasing accuracy. Again, these are my interpretations of data, and how I think the season would play out. I have left my bias out of the equation. Due to the uncertainty of the pandemic, I have limited the prediction to just conference records and bowl eligibility. The OOC portion of the schedule is changing almost daily and has a higher probability of not be played at all.

In the bigger picture, I am predicting that the eastern division will again be stronger than the western division in 2020. I believe the eastern schools will finish with a 29-27 conference record, while I believe the western schools will finish 27-29. I think the East will have 5 teams finish bowl eligible, while I think the West finishes with 4. Additionally, I believe the conditions presented by COVID-19 will alter the quality of performance on the field. As players are placed in quarantine, back ups and underclassmen will be vital to a teams success. I predict overall roster talent will be an even greater factor this season. And if we play, this factor should result in some very sloppy football for every team.

Feel free to debate. I always welcome good sound logic. This thread will be updated with changes to the title to reflect the current team be evaluated.



And in the #14 spot....

UTEP

UTEP under Dimel has been awful. Last season I thought they might begin to turn things around, but it never happened. Dimel is in the third year of a five year contract. While logic would predict he doesn't finish the season, I'm not sure UTEP would be willing to buyout the last two years. The data is very bleak for UTEP. The Miners feature a Junior heavy lineup and they are low on overall talent compared to every C-USA programs they will face. Unfortunately for UTEP fans, I just don't see any winnable conference games on the Miners schedule this season.

UTEP (0-8)
L- @ LA Tech
L- Southern Miss
L- @ Charlotte
L- North Texas
L- FIU
L- @ UTSA
L- UAB
L- @ Rice


Check back near the end of the week. I'll post #13 around Thursday or Friday.

They will beat FIU, that road trip is a bear.
07-28-2020 10:12 AM
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FIU4Ever Offline
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Post: #3
RE: 2020 Schedule Breakdowns: #14?
(07-28-2020 10:12 AM)FAU Connoisseur! Wrote:  
(07-28-2020 09:49 AM)Side Show Joe Wrote:  I have finished my annual predictions for the 2020 season (If we get to play it). Last season there were some accurate predictions like ODU's season, the rise of Charlotte, and WKU being the most improved team, but also some big misses like the total collapse of North Texas, and the under performance of FIU. This year I have modified my formula in hopes of increasing accuracy. Again, these are my interpretations of data, and how I think the season would play out. I have left my bias out of the equation. Due to the uncertainty of the pandemic, I have limited the prediction to just conference records and bowl eligibility. The OOC portion of the schedule is changing almost daily and has a higher probability of not be played at all.

In the bigger picture, I am predicting that the eastern division will again be stronger than the western division in 2020. I believe the eastern schools will finish with a 29-27 conference record, while I believe the western schools will finish 27-29. I think the East will have 5 teams finish bowl eligible, while I think the West finishes with 4. Additionally, I believe the conditions presented by COVID-19 will alter the quality of performance on the field. As players are placed in quarantine, back ups and underclassmen will be vital to a teams success. I predict overall roster talent will be an even greater factor this season. And if we play, this factor should result in some very sloppy football for every team.

Feel free to debate. I always welcome good sound logic. This thread will be updated with changes to the title to reflect the current team be evaluated.



And in the #14 spot....

UTEP

UTEP under Dimel has been awful. Last season I thought they might begin to turn things around, but it never happened. Dimel is in the third year of a five year contract. While logic would predict he doesn't finish the season, I'm not sure UTEP would be willing to buyout the last two years. The data is very bleak for UTEP. The Miners feature a Junior heavy lineup and they are low on overall talent compared to every C-USA programs they will face. Unfortunately for UTEP fans, I just don't see any winnable conference games on the Miners schedule this season.

UTEP (0-8)
L- @ LA Tech
L- Southern Miss
L- @ Charlotte
L- North Texas
L- FIU
L- @ UTSA
L- UAB
L- @ Rice


Check back near the end of the week. I'll post #13 around Thursday or Friday.

They will beat FIU, that road trip is a bear.

We have won in El Paso before, by two TD, with RON TURNER. If we lose it will not be due to distance.
07-28-2020 01:38 PM
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Post: #4
RE: 2020 Schedule Breakdowns: #14?
(07-28-2020 01:38 PM)FIU4Ever Wrote:  
(07-28-2020 10:12 AM)FAU Connoisseur! Wrote:  
(07-28-2020 09:49 AM)Side Show Joe Wrote:  I have finished my annual predictions for the 2020 season (If we get to play it). Last season there were some accurate predictions like ODU's season, the rise of Charlotte, and WKU being the most improved team, but also some big misses like the total collapse of North Texas, and the under performance of FIU. This year I have modified my formula in hopes of increasing accuracy. Again, these are my interpretations of data, and how I think the season would play out. I have left my bias out of the equation. Due to the uncertainty of the pandemic, I have limited the prediction to just conference records and bowl eligibility. The OOC portion of the schedule is changing almost daily and has a higher probability of not be played at all.

In the bigger picture, I am predicting that the eastern division will again be stronger than the western division in 2020. I believe the eastern schools will finish with a 29-27 conference record, while I believe the western schools will finish 27-29. I think the East will have 5 teams finish bowl eligible, while I think the West finishes with 4. Additionally, I believe the conditions presented by COVID-19 will alter the quality of performance on the field. As players are placed in quarantine, back ups and underclassmen will be vital to a teams success. I predict overall roster talent will be an even greater factor this season. And if we play, this factor should result in some very sloppy football for every team.

Feel free to debate. I always welcome good sound logic. This thread will be updated with changes to the title to reflect the current team be evaluated.



And in the #14 spot....

UTEP

UTEP under Dimel has been awful. Last season I thought they might begin to turn things around, but it never happened. Dimel is in the third year of a five year contract. While logic would predict he doesn't finish the season, I'm not sure UTEP would be willing to buyout the last two years. The data is very bleak for UTEP. The Miners feature a Junior heavy lineup and they are low on overall talent compared to every C-USA programs they will face. Unfortunately for UTEP fans, I just don't see any winnable conference games on the Miners schedule this season.

UTEP (0-8)
L- @ LA Tech
L- Southern Miss
L- @ Charlotte
L- North Texas
L- FIU
L- @ UTSA
L- UAB
L- @ Rice


Check back near the end of the week. I'll post #13 around Thursday or Friday.

They will beat FIU, that road trip is a bear.

We have won in El Paso before, by two TD, with RON TURNER. If we lose it will not be due to distance.

Great, FIU will lose this game.
07-28-2020 01:51 PM
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FIU4Ever Offline
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Post: #5
RE: 2020 Schedule Breakdowns: #14?
(07-28-2020 01:51 PM)FAU Connoisseur! Wrote:  
(07-28-2020 01:38 PM)FIU4Ever Wrote:  
(07-28-2020 10:12 AM)FAU Connoisseur! Wrote:  
(07-28-2020 09:49 AM)Side Show Joe Wrote:  I have finished my annual predictions for the 2020 season (If we get to play it). Last season there were some accurate predictions like ODU's season, the rise of Charlotte, and WKU being the most improved team, but also some big misses like the total collapse of North Texas, and the under performance of FIU. This year I have modified my formula in hopes of increasing accuracy. Again, these are my interpretations of data, and how I think the season would play out. I have left my bias out of the equation. Due to the uncertainty of the pandemic, I have limited the prediction to just conference records and bowl eligibility. The OOC portion of the schedule is changing almost daily and has a higher probability of not be played at all.

In the bigger picture, I am predicting that the eastern division will again be stronger than the western division in 2020. I believe the eastern schools will finish with a 29-27 conference record, while I believe the western schools will finish 27-29. I think the East will have 5 teams finish bowl eligible, while I think the West finishes with 4. Additionally, I believe the conditions presented by COVID-19 will alter the quality of performance on the field. As players are placed in quarantine, back ups and underclassmen will be vital to a teams success. I predict overall roster talent will be an even greater factor this season. And if we play, this factor should result in some very sloppy football for every team.

Feel free to debate. I always welcome good sound logic. This thread will be updated with changes to the title to reflect the current team be evaluated.



And in the #14 spot....

UTEP

UTEP under Dimel has been awful. Last season I thought they might begin to turn things around, but it never happened. Dimel is in the third year of a five year contract. While logic would predict he doesn't finish the season, I'm not sure UTEP would be willing to buyout the last two years. The data is very bleak for UTEP. The Miners feature a Junior heavy lineup and they are low on overall talent compared to every C-USA programs they will face. Unfortunately for UTEP fans, I just don't see any winnable conference games on the Miners schedule this season.

UTEP (0-8)
L- @ LA Tech
L- Southern Miss
L- @ Charlotte
L- North Texas
L- FIU
L- @ UTSA
L- UAB
L- @ Rice


Check back near the end of the week. I'll post #13 around Thursday or Friday.

They will beat FIU, that road trip is a bear.

We have won in El Paso before, by two TD, with RON TURNER. If we lose it will not be due to distance.

Great, FIU will lose this game.

lol, if that is what you think then say it instead of BSing about road trip lol.
07-28-2020 02:03 PM
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Post: #6
RE: 2020 Schedule Breakdowns: #14?
(07-28-2020 02:03 PM)FIU4Ever Wrote:  
(07-28-2020 01:51 PM)FAU Connoisseur! Wrote:  
(07-28-2020 01:38 PM)FIU4Ever Wrote:  
(07-28-2020 10:12 AM)FAU Connoisseur! Wrote:  
(07-28-2020 09:49 AM)Side Show Joe Wrote:  I have finished my annual predictions for the 2020 season (If we get to play it). Last season there were some accurate predictions like ODU's season, the rise of Charlotte, and WKU being the most improved team, but also some big misses like the total collapse of North Texas, and the under performance of FIU. This year I have modified my formula in hopes of increasing accuracy. Again, these are my interpretations of data, and how I think the season would play out. I have left my bias out of the equation. Due to the uncertainty of the pandemic, I have limited the prediction to just conference records and bowl eligibility. The OOC portion of the schedule is changing almost daily and has a higher probability of not be played at all.

In the bigger picture, I am predicting that the eastern division will again be stronger than the western division in 2020. I believe the eastern schools will finish with a 29-27 conference record, while I believe the western schools will finish 27-29. I think the East will have 5 teams finish bowl eligible, while I think the West finishes with 4. Additionally, I believe the conditions presented by COVID-19 will alter the quality of performance on the field. As players are placed in quarantine, back ups and underclassmen will be vital to a teams success. I predict overall roster talent will be an even greater factor this season. And if we play, this factor should result in some very sloppy football for every team.

Feel free to debate. I always welcome good sound logic. This thread will be updated with changes to the title to reflect the current team be evaluated.



And in the #14 spot....

UTEP

UTEP under Dimel has been awful. Last season I thought they might begin to turn things around, but it never happened. Dimel is in the third year of a five year contract. While logic would predict he doesn't finish the season, I'm not sure UTEP would be willing to buyout the last two years. The data is very bleak for UTEP. The Miners feature a Junior heavy lineup and they are low on overall talent compared to every C-USA programs they will face. Unfortunately for UTEP fans, I just don't see any winnable conference games on the Miners schedule this season.

UTEP (0-8)
L- @ LA Tech
L- Southern Miss
L- @ Charlotte
L- North Texas
L- FIU
L- @ UTSA
L- UAB
L- @ Rice


Check back near the end of the week. I'll post #13 around Thursday or Friday.

They will beat FIU, that road trip is a bear.

We have won in El Paso before, by two TD, with RON TURNER. If we lose it will not be due to distance.

Great, FIU will lose this game.

lol, if that is what you think then say it instead of BSing about road trip lol.

Who cares what I think...you are going to win every game. Except that one. My predicition.
07-28-2020 02:07 PM
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ghostofclt! Offline
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Post: #7
RE: 2020 Schedule Breakdowns: #14?
clt says you have utep overrated
07-28-2020 02:09 PM
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RE: 2020 Schedule Breakdowns: #14?
(07-28-2020 02:09 PM)ghostofclt! Wrote:  clt says you have utep overrated

I just know FIU.

13-5...that giving them the one win where they cheated and it was vacated!
07-28-2020 04:22 PM
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Side Show Joe Offline
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Post: #9
RE: 2020 Schedule Breakdowns: #14?
(07-28-2020 01:51 PM)FAU Connoisseur! Wrote:  
(07-28-2020 01:38 PM)FIU4Ever Wrote:  
(07-28-2020 10:12 AM)FAU Connoisseur! Wrote:  
(07-28-2020 09:49 AM)Side Show Joe Wrote:  I have finished my annual predictions for the 2020 season (If we get to play it). Last season there were some accurate predictions like ODU's season, the rise of Charlotte, and WKU being the most improved team, but also some big misses like the total collapse of North Texas, and the under performance of FIU. This year I have modified my formula in hopes of increasing accuracy. Again, these are my interpretations of data, and how I think the season would play out. I have left my bias out of the equation. Due to the uncertainty of the pandemic, I have limited the prediction to just conference records and bowl eligibility. The OOC portion of the schedule is changing almost daily and has a higher probability of not be played at all.

In the bigger picture, I am predicting that the eastern division will again be stronger than the western division in 2020. I believe the eastern schools will finish with a 29-27 conference record, while I believe the western schools will finish 27-29. I think the East will have 5 teams finish bowl eligible, while I think the West finishes with 4. Additionally, I believe the conditions presented by COVID-19 will alter the quality of performance on the field. As players are placed in quarantine, back ups and underclassmen will be vital to a teams success. I predict overall roster talent will be an even greater factor this season. And if we play, this factor should result in some very sloppy football for every team.

Feel free to debate. I always welcome good sound logic. This thread will be updated with changes to the title to reflect the current team be evaluated.



And in the #14 spot....

UTEP

UTEP under Dimel has been awful. Last season I thought they might begin to turn things around, but it never happened. Dimel is in the third year of a five year contract. While logic would predict he doesn't finish the season, I'm not sure UTEP would be willing to buyout the last two years. The data is very bleak for UTEP. The Miners feature a Junior heavy lineup and they are low on overall talent compared to every C-USA programs they will face. Unfortunately for UTEP fans, I just don't see any winnable conference games on the Miners schedule this season.

UTEP (0-8)
L- @ LA Tech
L- Southern Miss
L- @ Charlotte
L- North Texas
L- FIU
L- @ UTSA
L- UAB
L- @ Rice


Check back near the end of the week. I'll post #13 around Thursday or Friday.

They will beat FIU, that road trip is a bear.

We have won in El Paso before, by two TD, with RON TURNER. If we lose it will not be due to distance.

Great, FIU will lose this game.

Until the game is actually played, sure there is a chance UTEP could win. But, I highly doubt the Miners have any real chance of winning.

ESPN has given UTEP a 20.2% probability of winning their game against FIU. https://www.espn.com/college-football/ga.../401207168

I didn't use ESPN's predictions in my formula, but it does somewhat reinforce my data. I actually think the odds of UTEP winning this game is much lower.
(This post was last modified: 07-28-2020 06:51 PM by Side Show Joe.)
07-28-2020 04:31 PM
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ESE84 Offline
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Post: #10
RE: 2020 Schedule Breakdowns: #14?
(07-28-2020 10:12 AM)FAU Connoisseur! Wrote:  They will beat FIU, that road trip is a bear.

Playing at elevation 3910 feet can be trouble when a sea level program goes into a high altitude location with a decent team.

Unfortunately, Dimel has not fielded a decent team to date.
07-28-2020 05:02 PM
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Luckyshot Offline
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Post: #11
RE: 2020 Schedule Breakdowns: #14?
(07-28-2020 04:31 PM)Side Show Joe Wrote:  
(07-28-2020 01:51 PM)FAU Connoisseur! Wrote:  
(07-28-2020 01:38 PM)FIU4Ever Wrote:  
(07-28-2020 10:12 AM)FAU Connoisseur! Wrote:  
(07-28-2020 09:49 AM)Side Show Joe Wrote:  I have finished my annual predictions for the 2020 season (If we get to play it). Last season there were some accurate predictions like ODU's season, the rise of Charlotte, and WKU being the most improved team, but also some big misses like the total collapse of North Texas, and the under performance of FIU. This year I have modified my formula in hopes of increasing accuracy. Again, these are my interpretations of data, and how I think the season would play out. I have left my bias out of the equation. Due to the uncertainty of the pandemic, I have limited the prediction to just conference records and bowl eligibility. The OOC portion of the schedule is changing almost daily and has a higher probability of not be played at all.

In the bigger picture, I am predicting that the eastern division will again be stronger than the western division in 2020. I believe the eastern schools will finish with a 29-27 conference record, while I believe the western schools will finish 27-29. I think the East will have 5 teams finish bowl eligible, while I think the West finishes with 4. Additionally, I believe the conditions presented by COVID-19 will alter the quality of performance on the field. As players are placed in quarantine, back ups and underclassmen will be vital to a teams success. I predict overall roster talent will be an even greater factor this season. And if we play, this factor should result in some very sloppy football for every team.

Feel free to debate. I always welcome good sound logic. This thread will be updated with changes to the title to reflect the current team be evaluated.



And in the #14 spot....

UTEP

UTEP under Dimel has been awful. Last season I thought they might begin to turn things around, but it never happened. Dimel is in the third year of a five year contract. While logic would predict he doesn't finish the season, I'm not sure UTEP would be willing to buyout the last two years. The data is very bleak for UTEP. The Miners feature a Junior heavy lineup and they are low on overall talent compared to every C-USA programs they will face. Unfortunately for UTEP fans, I just don't see any winnable conference games on the Miners schedule this season.

UTEP (0-8)
L- @ LA Tech
L- Southern Miss
L- @ Charlotte
L- North Texas
L- FIU
L- @ UTSA
L- UAB
L- @ Rice


Check back near the end of the week. I'll post #13 around Thursday or Friday.

They will beat FIU, that road trip is a bear.

We have won in El Paso before, by two TD, with RON TURNER. If we lose it will not be due to distance.

Great, FIU will lose this game.

Until the game is actually played, sure there is a chance UTEP could win. But, I highly doubt the Miners have any real chance of winning.

ESPN has given UTEP a 20.2% probability of winning their game against UTEP. https://www.espn.com/college-football/ga.../401207168

I didn't use ESPN's predictions in my formula, but it does somewhat reinforce my data. I actually think the odds of UTEP winning this game is much lower.
I feel like the odds should be more like 50/50 in the highlighted matchup. :)
07-28-2020 05:13 PM
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Post: #12
RE: 2020 Schedule Breakdowns: #14?
(07-28-2020 05:13 PM)Luckyshot Wrote:  
(07-28-2020 04:31 PM)Side Show Joe Wrote:  
(07-28-2020 01:51 PM)FAU Connoisseur! Wrote:  
(07-28-2020 01:38 PM)FIU4Ever Wrote:  
(07-28-2020 10:12 AM)FAU Connoisseur! Wrote:  They will beat FIU, that road trip is a bear.

We have won in El Paso before, by two TD, with RON TURNER. If we lose it will not be due to distance.

Great, FIU will lose this game.

Until the game is actually played, sure there is a chance UTEP could win. But, I highly doubt the Miners have any real chance of winning.

ESPN has given UTEP a 20.2% probability of winning their game against UTEP. https://www.espn.com/college-football/ga.../401207168

I didn't use ESPN's predictions in my formula, but it does somewhat reinforce my data. I actually think the odds of UTEP winning this game is much lower.
I feel like the odds should be more like 50/50 in the highlighted matchup. :)

They will find a way!
07-28-2020 05:17 PM
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Side Show Joe Offline
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Post: #13
RE: 2020 Schedule Breakdowns: #14?
(07-28-2020 05:13 PM)Luckyshot Wrote:  
(07-28-2020 04:31 PM)Side Show Joe Wrote:  
(07-28-2020 01:51 PM)FAU Connoisseur! Wrote:  
(07-28-2020 01:38 PM)FIU4Ever Wrote:  
(07-28-2020 10:12 AM)FAU Connoisseur! Wrote:  They will beat FIU, that road trip is a bear.

We have won in El Paso before, by two TD, with RON TURNER. If we lose it will not be due to distance.

Great, FIU will lose this game.

Until the game is actually played, sure there is a chance UTEP could win. But, I highly doubt the Miners have any real chance of winning.

ESPN has given UTEP a 20.2% probability of winning their game against UTEP. https://www.espn.com/college-football/ga.../401207168

I didn't use ESPN's predictions in my formula, but it does somewhat reinforce my data. I actually think the odds of UTEP winning this game is much lower.
I feel like the odds should be more like 50/50 in the highlighted matchup. :)

03-idea Thanks. Fixed it.
(This post was last modified: 07-28-2020 06:53 PM by Side Show Joe.)
07-28-2020 06:52 PM
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ghostofclt! Offline
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Post: #14
RE: 2020 Schedule Breakdowns: #14?
(07-28-2020 05:02 PM)ESE84 Wrote:  
(07-28-2020 10:12 AM)FAU Connoisseur! Wrote:  They will beat FIU, that road trip is a bear.

Playing at elevation 3910 feet can be trouble when a sea level program goes into a high altitude location with a decent team.

Unfortunately, Dimel has not fielded a decent team to date.


clt says more like a c level team!
07-28-2020 08:22 PM
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Post: #15
RE: 2020 Schedule Breakdowns: #14?
This is Dimel's 3rd season. If his redshirting, blueshirting and grayshirting has created some bigger and better fb players from his recruits then maybe the Miners will be a little tougher out thjis year. If some of the jc transfers turn out to be contributers instead of bench warmers, maybe the Miners will win a couple this year.

I think the 4 games that offer the best opportunity for a Miner win are:

NMSU
UNT
FIU
@UTSA

Not that I believe the Miners will win those 4 games but there is a reasonable chance in each of those contests. I can't imagine UTEP keeping Dimel for a 4th year if there is no demonstrated improvement unless the covid season is too painful financially and they simply can't afford to.
07-28-2020 11:46 PM
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FAU Connoisseur! Offline
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Post: #16
RE: 2020 Schedule Breakdowns: #14?
(07-28-2020 11:46 PM)MinerInWisconsin Wrote:  This is Dimel's 3rd season. If his redshirting, blueshirting and grayshirting has created some bigger and better fb players from his recruits then maybe the Miners will be a little tougher out thjis year. If some of the jc transfers turn out to be contributers instead of bench warmers, maybe the Miners will win a couple this year.

I think the 4 games that offer the best opportunity for a Miner win are:

NMSU
UNT
FIU
@UTSA

Not that I believe the Miners will win those 4 games but there is a reasonable chance in each of those contests. I can't imagine UTEP keeping Dimel for a 4th year if there is no demonstrated improvement unless the covid season is too painful financially and they simply can't afford to.

It starts at home.
07-29-2020 07:59 AM
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OptimisticOwl Offline
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Post: #17
RE: 2020 Schedule Breakdowns: #14?
(07-28-2020 06:52 PM)Side Show Joe Wrote:  
(07-28-2020 05:13 PM)Luckyshot Wrote:  
(07-28-2020 04:31 PM)Side Show Joe Wrote:  
(07-28-2020 01:51 PM)FAU Connoisseur! Wrote:  
(07-28-2020 01:38 PM)FIU4Ever Wrote:  We have won in El Paso before, by two TD, with RON TURNER. If we lose it will not be due to distance.

Great, FIU will lose this game.

Until the game is actually played, sure there is a chance UTEP could win. But, I highly doubt the Miners have any real chance of winning.

ESPN has given UTEP a 20.2% probability of winning their game against UTEP. https://www.espn.com/college-football/ga.../401207168

I didn't use ESPN's predictions in my formula, but it does somewhat reinforce my data. I actually think the odds of UTEP winning this game is much lower.
I feel like the odds should be more like 50/50 in the highlighted matchup. :)

03-idea Thanks. Fixed it.

speed kills
07-29-2020 08:05 AM
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TOPSTRAIGHT Offline
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Post: #18
RE: 2020 Schedule Breakdowns: #14?
Dimel. May depend on the size of the buyout--- any numbers?
07-29-2020 12:43 PM
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MinerInWisconsin Offline
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Post: #19
RE: 2020 Schedule Breakdowns: #14?
(07-29-2020 12:43 PM)TOPSTRAIGHT Wrote:  Dimel. May depend on the size of the buyout--- any numbers?

Local sports writers have said that it is $700,000 for each year remaining on the contract. This is year 3 so at the end of the season, 2 more years would be $1.4 million.
07-29-2020 12:49 PM
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TOPSTRAIGHT Offline
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Post: #20
RE: 2020 Schedule Breakdowns: #14?
That is a big chunk of change. I know AD's sometimes feel there is pressure during negotiations on the amount of these buyouts but it seems like they should just "hold their ground" OR hire someone else who will take better terms. G5's as a rule can't afford these kind of deals and are stuck in bad situations. Coaching hires are hit and miss anyway. Why add to that risk by saddling your school with these numbers? And yes--- WKU has been guilty also. If they want the job bad enough they should take a smaller buyout UNTIL they show some wins-- THEN we can talk during a contract renegotiation.
07-29-2020 01:27 PM
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