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Trump +1 in WI, Biden +5 in latest polls
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solohawks Offline
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Post: #1
Trump +1 in WI, Biden +5 in latest polls
With everything that has been thrown at Trump the past 3 months, to have a poll show him +1 in WI and within striking distance in Biden's home state is nuts

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls..._election/
06-29-2020 07:16 PM
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tennis2k4 Offline
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Post: #2
RE: Trump +1 in WI, Biden +5 in latest polls
Thrown at Trump or reasonable criticisms?
06-29-2020 07:22 PM
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solohawks Offline
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RE: Trump +1 in WI, Biden +5 in latest polls
(06-29-2020 07:22 PM)tennis2k4 Wrote:  Thrown at Trump or reasonable criticisms?
Honestly its irrelevant. I think we can both agree the past 3 months have been terrible for him. So for him to have a poll showing up in WI is quite telling
06-29-2020 07:31 PM
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WalkThePlank Offline
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Post: #4
RE: Trump +1 in WI, Biden +5 in latest polls
No crosstabs?
06-29-2020 07:53 PM
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JMUDunk Offline
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Post: #5
Trump +1 in WI, Biden +5 in latest polls
(06-29-2020 07:22 PM)tennis2k4 Wrote:  Thrown at Trump or reasonable criticisms?


Uhhhhh, so what’s been “reasonable”?

Serious ??? , what’s actually been a reasonable criticism?

Thx
06-29-2020 10:24 PM
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JDTulane Offline
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Post: #6
RE: Trump +1 in WI, Biden +5 in latest polls
Long article about them and their polling practices now and for 2016 and 2018. Worth a peruse:
link

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06-29-2020 10:46 PM
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JDTulane Offline
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RE: Trump +1 in WI, Biden +5 in latest polls
(06-29-2020 07:31 PM)solohawks Wrote:  
(06-29-2020 07:22 PM)tennis2k4 Wrote:  Thrown at Trump or reasonable criticisms?
Honestly its irrelevant. I think we can both agree the past 3 months have been terrible for him. So for him to have a poll showing up in WI is quite telling

A single poll with a 3% MOE. An outlier at the moment but definitely one the Biden team will notice. Shows most battleground states are indeed still battleground states.
06-29-2020 10:48 PM
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usmbacker Offline
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Post: #8
RE: Trump +1 in WI, Biden +5 in latest polls
No way, haven't your heard, Trump is considering dropping out of the race because his polls are so bad.
06-29-2020 10:53 PM
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Attackcoog Offline
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Post: #9
RE: Trump +1 in WI, Biden +5 in latest polls
When polls have Biden tied with Trump with a chance to win Texas, I know for a fact the polls are hopelessly screwed up. They arent accurately measuring anything even close to realistic here in Texas. Biden is a stridently anti-oil industry New Green Deal guy who will be completely destroyed in Texas. He might win every other state in the union, and he still wouldnt win Texas for that reason alone.
(This post was last modified: 06-30-2020 08:05 AM by Attackcoog.)
06-30-2020 02:11 AM
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CardinalJim Offline
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Post: #10
RE: Trump +1 in WI, Biden +5 in latest polls
In our area, Biden isn’t winning Kentucky, West Virginia, Tennessee or Indiana. I doubt he wins Ohio.

Biden will win Illinois. Those morons would vote for a pile of feces as long as it had a D beside the name.
06-30-2020 04:23 AM
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gdunn Offline
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Post: #11
RE: Trump +1 in WI, Biden +5 in latest polls
I don't think Biden takes PA either.
06-30-2020 06:27 AM
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Redwingtom Offline
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Post: #12
RE: Trump +1 in WI, Biden +5 in latest polls
(06-29-2020 07:16 PM)solohawks Wrote:  With everything that has been thrown at Trump the past 3 months, to have a poll show him +1 in WI and within striking distance in Biden's home state is nuts

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls..._election/

I think the WI poll is an outlier. Additionally, it was made up of old people. 35% were 65 and over, and 33% were over 50 and under 65.
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1F24BlPx...aJQHj/view

The 538 average of polls has Biden up 8.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pol...wisconsin/
06-30-2020 06:48 AM
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Bronco'14 Offline
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Post: #13
RE: Trump +1 in WI, Biden +5 in latest polls
Yep, Biden's winning easy. He's leading the polls at an unprecedented rate. It's basically over. He can just sit back & relax.

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06-30-2020 07:21 AM
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solohawks Offline
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RE: Trump +1 in WI, Biden +5 in latest polls
(06-29-2020 10:46 PM)JDTulane Wrote:  Long article about them and their polling practices now and for 2016 and 2018. Worth a peruse:
link

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Great article thank you for sharing

Apparently this polling group who did the Trump+1 in WI poll was the only group who predicted he would break the. Blue Wall
06-30-2020 07:27 AM
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GrayBeard Offline
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Post: #15
RE: Trump +1 in WI, Biden +5 in latest polls
(06-30-2020 06:48 AM)Redwingtom Wrote:  
(06-29-2020 07:16 PM)solohawks Wrote:  With everything that has been thrown at Trump the past 3 months, to have a poll show him +1 in WI and within striking distance in Biden's home state is nuts

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls..._election/

I think the WI poll is an outlier. Additionally, it was made up of old people. 35% were 65 and over, and 33% were over 50 and under 65.
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1F24BlPx...aJQHj/view

The 538 average of polls has Biden up 8.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pol...wisconsin/

All the polls were outliers 4 years ago.
06-30-2020 07:37 AM
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JMUDunk Offline
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Post: #16
Trump +1 in WI, Biden +5 in latest polls
It’s an eerie repeat of ‘16.

Stay away, don’t bother to campaign, ride the inevitability of MUH POLLS!!!

Good plan then still not our President Cank, even better plan now Sloe.

Stay in the basement and keep counting the hundreds of millions dead from the Pooh flu.

Those who don’t learn history... lol
06-30-2020 08:06 AM
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Attackcoog Offline
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Post: #17
RE: Trump +1 in WI, Biden +5 in latest polls
Almost a perfect reply of 2016. Democrat candidate leading in polls and not visiting key swing states.
06-30-2020 08:07 AM
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GrayBeard Offline
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Post: #18
RE: Trump +1 in WI, Biden +5 in latest polls
(06-30-2020 08:06 AM)JMUDunk Wrote:  It’s an eerie repeat of ‘16.

Stay away, don’t bother to campaign, ride the inevitability of MUH POLLS!!!

Good plan then still not our President Cank, even better plan now Sloe.

Stay in the basement and keep counting the hundreds of millions dead from the Pooh flu.

Those who don’t learn history... lol

Biden's best campaign strategy is to stay out of the public's eye and be quiet.
06-30-2020 08:15 AM
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JMUDunk Offline
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Post: #19
Trump +1 in WI, Biden +5 in latest polls
Well, he did do a zoom (or something) townhall the other day.

Widely reported that a stunning 68 people checked in.

Polls, polls, polls.

Enthusiasm gap? The Drumpf +~40


But Muh 8%!
06-30-2020 08:16 AM
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Eldonabe Offline
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Post: #20
RE: Trump +1 in WI, Biden +5 in latest polls
You know what 8% of 0.0000012% of the country's population is (which is roughly the percent of people this poll represents is) - NOTHING!
06-30-2020 08:19 AM
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