Many posters have already made good points here - I'll shout out to Foreverandever but he's not alone. So I only need to make a few points.
(06-14-2020 09:38 AM)Erictelevision Wrote: But has that success translated into NC or NY5 bowls? Not really, so I think (especially for Navy and Army) the Patriot League (with peer institutions) could make sense.
In five years in the AAC, Navy thrice has been in the NY6 conversation Thanksgiving weekend or after. If your metric for FBS-worthiness is relevance to the six bowls involved in the CFP, then Navy is ahead of about 50 non-contract-bowl-conference teams, all the non-ND independents, and a lot of contract-bowl-conference teams, maybe half or so.
(06-14-2020 09:46 AM)goofus Wrote: I think the main issue with the service academies is not with their football record but with their ability to field men's and women's teams for other other sports.
Plus the football teams seem to be limited in the type of offense they can play, since they all play run oriented option offenses. The option works because defenses rarely see it, but once you join a FBS conference, other coaches get used to it and it becomes less effective.
All are reasons that is doubtful they will ever join a P5 conference as an all sports member.
First off how long does it take for conference coaches to get used to the offense? In Paul Johnson's 11th and final year at Georgia Tech, the Jackets finished second in their division, the seventh time in eleven years finishing 1st or 2nd in the division. Oh, and led the nation in rushing yards per game. In Navy's fifth year in the AAC, finished 7-1, tied for first in the West - oh, and led the nation in rushing yards per game. We're clearly still waiting for that in the American...
On another point, Navy would absolutely prefer a football-only invitation if a contract-bowl-conference came calling. Hmmm...that's what pretty much exactly what happened in 2011 and 2012. Navy agreed to a football-only membership in a BCS auto-qualifying conference. Navy did that because it was the path to continued presence in the top level of college football in these times of great change. Now Navy is completely onboard with the AAC Strategic Plan and P6, but if the conference gets completely blown up or something, Navy will again choose a path to continue presence in the top level of college football. Anyone who says that he thinks Navy would not be interested in joining one of the contract-bowl-conferences -- if the strategic environment made it a requirement, of course -- is ignorant.
What about "the ability to field men's and women's teams for other sports?" Did you know Navy competes in 33 varsity intercollegiate sports? Hmmm...Navy Women's Lacrosse was in the Final Four a couple years ago. Men's lax is trying to get back to power status (lost the national championship game in 2004 and then lost some mojo) and optimistic. Wrestling almost always has nationally ranked individuals, and All-Americans after Nationals. Swimming and Diving on both men's and women's sides has our share of national qualifiers. T&F, X-country less often. Baseball has acquitted itself okay in CWS Regionals when representing the Patriot League (as has Army baseball).
Maybe you're actually just talking about men's and women's basketball? Yeah, David Robinson is not walking through that door. It is nice that we hired our MBB head coach away from Penn State, though. Neither team has gone to the tournament lately from our one-bid league. But the women have notched a WNIT win or two, ha ha.
Of course we'd prefer football only. And before that gets scoffed at, I believe the BigXII said football-only was on the table in the 2016 expansion sham.