(04-12-2020 12:47 AM)JRsec Wrote: Look guys I'm more conservative than most on this board and at least as conservative as the vast majority of posters who are conservatives. I have a dear friend who is inside Big Pharma in a big way and that person is more conservative than I am.
You don't want to end the social distancing until they have a treatment that can force this virus into seclusion. I say that because there are more than a few reports now that the virus is returning in patients who thought they were over it and cleared to return home. What makes this matter concerning is that nobody is sure if they are still contagious.
It has successfully passed from humans to dogs and cats, and at least 1 tiger at the New York zoo. But again nobody is sure if the animals can transmit it back. We know both dogs and cats which are in close proximity to a positive patient with in home quarantine can pass it to other family members who rub the fur that the patient rubbed. But as far as the animal breathing and transmitting the virus nobody knows yet and my wife does work for veterinary facilities in the lab.
Everyone's best bet for staying healthy is quarantine. For those of us past the critical age, and with other issues doing so is critical. And for the society as a whole if we want to avoid a reemergence of the virus in as deadly of a way as its first round the best bet is isolation.
The nations that have practiced it do better than those who don't.
But here's the rub, if the virus remerges without another exposure it means that it may be able to hide behind the membrane protecting the brain. Heretofore Herpes Zoster and HIV are two examples of viruses able to do this. If this is the case we will have to develop treatments that keep the virus in hiding in the brain because no anti-viral can penetrate that membrane to kill it. This means without suppression it may reemerge as often as it can.
With the Herpes Zoster virus, or Simplex 1 which causes fever blisters instead of Shingles, the medications seek make the virus run its cycle quickly since neither is deadly.
With the HIV treatments the goal is to keep the virus hiding and inactive, but there is no cure. And the reason there is no cure is that if you have something that can enter the brain the anti-viral would likely be as lethal as the virus, or more so.
This isn't the damned flu. It is fundamentally different. So right now even though I lost well over 140,000 in stock values, I can't disagree with the recommendations.
Germany is about to go back to work. Let's watch them and see how it goes about 3 weeks after they return. Maybe then we'll have some hard data with which to make a solid recommendation and for Trump some political cover. That puts us back to work a month earlier than the July 4th date being tossed around, but does so with some quantifiable information coming out of Deutschland.
We're in shutdown for 18 more days, at least, so it's not like people are jumping back in the pool yet. I agree with the shutdown, but soon, we have to figure out how to start back smartly, in phases.
Something Fauci said last night struck me. He said his job is to prevent even one person from dying. The economy is collateral damage. Sorry, that can't work for much longer. We have to be smarter, and balance the two. Where we have flareups, tighten up, but right now, we are headed to Great Depression territory. Fast.
As for cats and dogs, 4 tigers and 3 lions were infected at the Bronx zoo (I saw a TV documentary just published by the Bronx Zoo), the first tiger by a human, the others by the first tiger.
He said, and confirmed by another vet epidemiologist, that only the big cats caught it, and they are all recovering. He says the lab work they did shows it can't be transmitted back to humans.
He said as far as dogs and cats, they are likely fine, and there is no evidence you can make them sick, but it doesn't hurt to take precautions (like don't lick their tongues, lol). He said as far as they can tell for now, it really isn't an issue.