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OT- Corona Virus- Where do we go from here?
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EverRespect Offline
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Post: #21
RE: OT- Corona Virus- Where do we go from here?
(03-13-2020 07:06 AM)Gilesfan Wrote:  Am I crazy that Im somewhat surprised the. Umbers are still relatively low? I was expecting more at this point but I think the next 5-10 days will tell a lot.

I realized these closures had to happen when Italy did not take preventative measures and got slammed. Meanwhile, I think it was South Korea that did and they have kept the numbers down.

Either it is contained or the numbers will explode in the next week. We'll find out soon enough. Community spread seems to be limited to 3 clusters at this point (Boston, NY, Seattle). Other cases have all been imports.
03-13-2020 08:49 AM
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Gilesfan Offline
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Post: #22
RE: OT- Corona Virus- Where do we go from here?
(03-13-2020 07:13 AM)ODUDrunkard13 Wrote:  
(03-13-2020 07:06 AM)Gilesfan Wrote:  Am I crazy that Im somewhat surprised the. Umbers are still relatively low? I was expecting more at this point but I think the next 5-10 days will tell a lot.

I realized these closures had to happen when Italy did not take preventative measures and got slammed. Meanwhile, I think it was South Korea that did and they have kept the numbers down.

You want to know why the numbers are so low, look at how many tests the CDC have actually been reviewed. It was only like 7k yesterday.

But even with the test, the number of positive results are seemingly low. Just for one single example, the 58 people around the Jazz that have been closely together all year and only 2 positives. I realize in 3-4 days they may retest and have some positives come back.

But, the number of positive tests that have come back is really low. (surprising to me)
03-13-2020 09:15 AM
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EverRespect Offline
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Post: #23
RE: OT- Corona Virus- Where do we go from here?
(03-13-2020 09:15 AM)Gilesfan Wrote:  
(03-13-2020 07:13 AM)ODUDrunkard13 Wrote:  
(03-13-2020 07:06 AM)Gilesfan Wrote:  Am I crazy that Im somewhat surprised the. Umbers are still relatively low? I was expecting more at this point but I think the next 5-10 days will tell a lot.

I realized these closures had to happen when Italy did not take preventative measures and got slammed. Meanwhile, I think it was South Korea that did and they have kept the numbers down.

You want to know why the numbers are so low, look at how many tests the CDC have actually been reviewed. It was only like 7k yesterday.

But even with the test, the number of positive results are seemingly low. Just for one single example, the 58 people around the Jazz that have been closely together all year and only 2 positives. I realize in 3-4 days they may retest and have some positives come back.

But, the number of positive tests that have come back is really low. (surprising to me)

The lack of apparent community spread outside of the 3 clusters to this point is encouraging. Especially in Florida, Texas, and California. Maybe the warm weather is helping. Either that or these isolated clusters are a result of biological attacks. Interesting that there are relatively few cases in Canada, the US, and Brazil, yet Tredeau, Trump, and Bolsonaro have all been in exposed to the virus. But it doesn't seem like anyone in the Chinese leadership is having problems.
03-13-2020 10:18 AM
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ODU2K1 Offline
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Post: #24
RE: OT- Corona Virus- Where do we go from here?
(03-13-2020 06:40 AM)bit_9 Wrote:  This is a good stress test of our country. I always see the positive and for such a mild contagion, relative to something like the black plague, this is a good wake up call. There are a lot of firms that haven't been working towards work place flexibility and mobility and they're going to get hit the hardest when an entire branch or region cant have butts in seats.

Yep. We did a BCP test at the office Wednesday. Everyone had mandatory work from home. I was in the office to take the names of anyone that tried to sneak in and get their laptop. Nobody came in. Thursday is a big work from home day for us and we made everyone come in to announce that we will be doing company-wide work from home through the 22nd and it will be reevaluated on a week by week basis from there. As we are a New York-based company I fully expect that to be extended at least another week if not longer.
03-13-2020 10:44 AM
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bit_9 Offline
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Post: #25
RE: OT- Corona Virus- Where do we go from here?
(03-13-2020 10:44 AM)ODU2K1 Wrote:  
(03-13-2020 06:40 AM)bit_9 Wrote:  This is a good stress test of our country. I always see the positive and for such a mild contagion, relative to something like the black plague, this is a good wake up call. There are a lot of firms that haven't been working towards work place flexibility and mobility and they're going to get hit the hardest when an entire branch or region cant have butts in seats.

Yep. We did a BCP test at the office Wednesday. Everyone had mandatory work from home. I was in the office to take the names of anyone that tried to sneak in and get their laptop. Nobody came in. Thursday is a big work from home day for us and we made everyone come in to announce that we will be doing company-wide work from home through the 22nd and it will be reevaluated on a week by week basis from there. As we are a New York-based company I fully expect that to be extended at least another week if not longer.

Interesting. We're VB based but have offices in Raleigh, Charlotte, Asheville, Richmond, Roanoke, Vienna, and Macon with a half doze or so scattered around the US that work from home.

I discussed with our President and CINO doing a office by office stress test but we've been doing flexible working for a while now and about 80% of the firm can work remote already in some capacity (virtual desktop, published apps, remote desktop, or laptop) so there isn't much to test. The biggest issue will be collaboration and productivity.

But, I hope there is some real data to come out of this that can be used to improve the US infrastructure and it's response to mass wide-spread shut downs. It'll really highlight areas of improvement.
03-13-2020 11:37 AM
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Grommet Offline
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Post: #26
RE: OT- Corona Virus- Where do we go from here?
I wholly believe it'll get worse before it gets better, but this isn't The Walking Dead. Still, it's concerning for the older folks among us...i saw a chart showing a 15% mortality rate for those infected aged 75+, 8% for 65-75, etc with diminishing rates for younger populations. And we are still 10 -14 days out from Italy's current situation per another chart overlaying the linear progression in each country from their own Day Zero...every country aligned, save So. Korea.

*going from memory, allow for errors in figures
03-13-2020 11:52 AM
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Cyniclone Offline
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Post: #27
RE: OT- Corona Virus- Where do we go from here?
(03-13-2020 10:44 AM)ODU2K1 Wrote:  
(03-13-2020 06:40 AM)bit_9 Wrote:  This is a good stress test of our country. I always see the positive and for such a mild contagion, relative to something like the black plague, this is a good wake up call. There are a lot of firms that haven't been working towards work place flexibility and mobility and they're going to get hit the hardest when an entire branch or region cant have butts in seats.

Yep. We did a BCP test at the office Wednesday. Everyone had mandatory work from home. I was in the office to take the names of anyone that tried to sneak in and get their laptop. Nobody came in. Thursday is a big work from home day for us and we made everyone come in to announce that we will be doing company-wide work from home through the 22nd and it will be reevaluated on a week by week basis from there. As we are a New York-based company I fully expect that to be extended at least another week if not longer.

Our stress test was Wednesday and there was drama at the end but nothing that couldn't be ironed out. My job might be the one in the company most conducive to telework; even when on-site the vast majority of my communications are done through email. In fact, I was planning with my boss's approval to transition to full-time teleworking in the coming weeks, so this just speeds up the process.

What'll be interesting is to gauge the effect of a long-term period of telework on city planning. The trend in recent years has been toward a more permissive attitude towards telework, and if most white-collar workers are doing it for weeks, possibly months, in a spell, it might amplify the effect. Which is turn what might have been a long-term thought exercise for city planners into a shorter-term real-world task: What do you do with downtown office space and industrial parks when more and more people are teleworking? And how does that affect housing considerations? Are one-bedroom and studios going to be less desirable even for single losers like me because we'll still want a dedicated space to clock in?

Or the whole thing blows over in a few weeks and everything returns to normal. But I tend to doubt it.
03-13-2020 12:51 PM
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BigBlueMonarch Offline
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Post: #28
RE: OT- Corona Virus- Where do we go from here?
Have a decent source that says the President is going to suspend domestic air and rail/bus travel and declare a National State of Emergency.
(This post was last modified: 03-13-2020 12:54 PM by BigBlueMonarch.)
03-13-2020 12:53 PM
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BigBlueMonarch Offline
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Post: #29
RE: OT- Corona Virus- Where do we go from here?
NCAA just canceled in-person recruitment and instituted a dead period for recruiting
03-13-2020 12:59 PM
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ODU_NYG Offline
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Post: #30
RE: OT- Corona Virus- Where do we go from here?
I work for the federal gov, and while we haven't been told anything official yet, I firmly believe that today will be my last day working in DC for a while.
03-13-2020 01:09 PM
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Grommet Offline
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Post: #31
RE: OT- Corona Virus- Where do we go from here?
Northam just closed all k-12 schools for minimum 2 weeks.
03-13-2020 01:47 PM
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ODUCoach Offline
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Post: #32
RE: OT- Corona Virus- Where do we go from here?
Guess I'm gonna take the kids to Great Wolf Lodge for a few days.
03-13-2020 02:02 PM
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BigBlueMonarch Offline
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Post: #33
RE: OT- Corona Virus- Where do we go from here?
So much for my sources...travel ban meh

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03-13-2020 04:56 PM
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ODUDJ96 Offline
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Post: #34
RE: OT- Corona Virus- Where do we go from here?
Don’t know about anyone else, but I’m going into withdrawals with the absence of games in March. This may be too much to bear.
03-13-2020 07:53 PM
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EverRespect Offline
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Post: #35
OT- Corona Virus- Where do we go from here?
Went out for dinner and Margaritas tonight. OBX in the morning for the rest of the weekend. This virus can go to hell.

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03-13-2020 08:14 PM
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Petey Hodge Offline
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Post: #36
RE: OT- Corona Virus- Where do we go from here?
What do you think the NCAA will do when this is all over?
Will the USA Today and AP Coaches Poll confer that #1 Gonzaga is the 2019/2020 National Champion? (like NCAA Football in the old days)

Will they do a Vegas8-style weekend tourney with the top teams?

Your thoughts.

(from Fortress Seattle, Petey H)
03-14-2020 12:12 AM
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Grommet Offline
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Post: #37
RE: OT- Corona Virus- Where do we go from here?
One of the folks in the Jamestown cluster has died.
03-14-2020 05:36 PM
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DaBigBlue Offline
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Post: #38
RE: OT- Corona Virus- Where do we go from here?
I'm so glad I don't own a sports bar. What will they do? Why are the local news networks still having a sports show? It looks like Japan is trying to go ahead with the Summer Olympics.
03-14-2020 05:51 PM
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odu09 Offline
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Post: #39
RE: OT- Corona Virus- Where do we go from here?
(03-14-2020 12:12 AM)Petey Hodge Wrote:  What do you think the NCAA will do when this is all over?
Will the USA Today and AP Coaches Poll confer that #1 Gonzaga is the 2019/2020 National Champion? (like NCAA Football in the old days)

Will they do a Vegas8-style weekend tourney with the top teams?

Your thoughts.

(from Fortress Seattle, Petey H)

Glad to hear you are alive and well, Petey. I would think if they would award it to anyone it would be Kansas. I personally hope they just do an abbreviated (if not full) tournament in April/May.
03-15-2020 05:29 AM
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Grommet Offline
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Post: #40
RE: OT- Corona Virus- Where do we go from here?
(03-15-2020 05:29 AM)odu09 Wrote:  
(03-14-2020 12:12 AM)Petey Hodge Wrote:  What do you think the NCAA will do when this is all over?
Will the USA Today and AP Coaches Poll confer that #1 Gonzaga is the 2019/2020 National Champion? (like NCAA Football in the old days)

Will they do a Vegas8-style weekend tourney with the top teams?

Your thoughts.

(from Fortress Seattle, Petey H)

Glad to hear you are alive and well, Petey. I would think if they would award it to anyone it would be Kansas. I personally hope they just do an abbreviated (if not full) tournament in April/May.

This may be a possibility...I saw a report that the NCAA was considering a 16-team tournament before cancelling the works.
03-15-2020 08:19 AM
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