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Coronavirus-realistic fear or hyped?
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Aimless1 Online
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Post: #221
RE: Coronavirus-realistic fear or hyped?
[Image: 7ADC76AE-23D3-44BF-9C1F-3BFB1CB23902.jpe...8c5aa.jpeg]
Yesterday 03:15 PM
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Bronco'14 Offline
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Post: #222
RE: Coronavirus-realistic fear or hyped?
(Yesterday 03:15 PM)Aimless1 Wrote:  [Image: 7ADC76AE-23D3-44BF-9C1F-3BFB1CB23902.jpe...8c5aa.jpeg]

I'd be curious to see breakdown by state.
Today 08:13 AM
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Boca Rocket Offline
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Post: #223
RE: Coronavirus-realistic fear or hyped?
(Today 08:13 AM)Bronco14 Wrote:  
(Yesterday 03:15 PM)Aimless1 Wrote:  [Image: 7ADC76AE-23D3-44BF-9C1F-3BFB1CB23902.jpe...8c5aa.jpeg]

I'd be curious to see breakdown by state.

Approximate Populations:
US 331,000,000
Italy 60,000,000
South Korea 51,000,000

Deaths per 1,000,000 pop:
South Korea 3
US 5
Italy 151

First case reported:US 1/20/20
US 1/20/20
South Korea 1/19/20
Italy 1/29/20
(This post was last modified: Today 09:40 AM by Boca Rocket.)
Today 09:31 AM
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Aimless1 Online
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Post: #224
RE: Coronavirus-realistic fear or hyped?
Sobering stats worldwide:

621080 coronavirus cases reported

28662 deaths

137363 recovered

17% death rate of those who contract the disease

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
(This post was last modified: Today 10:03 AM by Aimless1.)
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ess Offline
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Post: #225
RE: Coronavirus-realistic fear or hyped?
(Today 10:02 AM)Aimless1 Wrote:  Sobering stats worldwide:

621080 coronavirus cases reported

28662 deaths

17% death rate of those who contract the disease

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

Based on your quoted stats

28,662/621,080 is approximately a 4.6% death rate.

It looks to me like the 17% may be of hospitalized (not sure what "recovered/discharged" means) patients?
(This post was last modified: Today 10:56 AM by ess.)
Today 10:55 AM
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Aimless1 Online
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Post: #226
RE: Coronavirus-realistic fear or hyped?
Add the number of deaths to number recovered = total number of cases with an outcome
28662 deaths divided by $166025 cases with an outcome = 17% mortality rate if you contract the disease
Today 01:46 PM
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wmubroncopilot Offline
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Post: #227
RE: Coronavirus-realistic fear or hyped?
(Today 01:46 PM)Aimless1 Wrote:  Add the number of deaths to number recovered = total number of cases with an outcome
28662 deaths divided by $166025 cases with an outcome = 17% mortality rate if you contract the disease

At the risk of sounding morbid, it takes longer to recover (and confirm a recovery) than to die.

Countries farther along in the process are nowhere near 17%.

Plus as shown on that site, 95% of current cases are mild or moderate.

Final numbers will be bad, but not anywhere close to 17%.

This thing is bad enough without sensationalizing the numbers.
Today 02:05 PM
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RunningGame Offline
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Post: #228
RE: Coronavirus-realistic fear or hyped?
Really, follow the Diamond Princess numbers. About a 1% fatality rate among an older general population with excellent medical care. 20% of passengers got it in tight quarters with social distancing.

I think we’ll be fine in a few weeks, hopefully back to work with spot individual and city quarantines as needed thanks to greater testing. I don’t think we’ll reach the 66 million cases and 660k deaths the cruise ship number indicates in 2020 or 2021.
Today 03:07 PM
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Nacho Offline
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Post: #229
RE: Coronavirus-realistic fear or hyped?
I think we will START getting back to a general sense of normalcy around July 1.
Today 03:41 PM
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flushtheherd Online
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Post: #230
RE: Coronavirus-realistic fear or hyped?
I honestly think that by end of April things will have leveled off and some sense of new normal will begin. We are much further along than we may have thought. We’ve been likely spreading this in the US since January.

I hope they can increase testing options that are more available and quicker turn around.
Today 03:46 PM
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MajorHoople Offline
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Post: #231
RE: Coronavirus-realistic fear or hyped?
It may be irresponsible-lead to a second outbreak to "reopen" the country until there is a cure or at least a viable vaccine for this virus.
Today 03:53 PM
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bostonbronco Offline
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Post: #232
RE: Coronavirus-realistic fear or hyped?
Interesting: https://www.aol.com/article/news/2020/03.../23964182/

But not sure if that is still the case. Recently heard that some supplies have been sent to the state of Michigan.

Be safe, my friends.
(This post was last modified: Today 04:08 PM by bostonbronco.)
Today 04:07 PM
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