Here is a neat link to the coronavirus info fron Johns Hopkins:
https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/...7b48e9ecf6
I've been following this site religiously since Jan 22nd or so, when cases numbered 280.
When you look at a time lapse of the first 25 days, it is fundamentally clear how bad the Chinese response was. The virus had literally spread to every corner of China in the the first 20 days.
In the 'pandemic' game, there seem to be two games played: one as 'stop it in its infancy'; and the other as 'lets hold the tide at a national border'.
Because this was China, any foreign effort as to the first is fooked. As was this. There are interesting reports that the original vector was the state-run infectious disease center located mere blocks from the infamous market.
Regardless, the first doctors that made public their concerns have seemingly disappeared from view in China -- they were essentially silenced in the first critical phases of the outbreak. So, for all the supposed faults of the Trump, Pence, and the CDC, the utter failure at the first phase lays squarely on the Chinese medical system *and* on the government/medical industry entanglement in that country. As begets any authoritarian system, whether it is cloaked as a branch of the economy or not.
The second phase is containment in a national sense. In this, the actions of Trump/Pence are squarely in the crosshairs. I had heard (but unverified) that the Trump administration, in the early days of this when it became the obvious the degree of the fk up within the Chinese government on its response, pressured the airlines to cut traffic to the seriously affected area of Hubei.
And he then funneled all airline traffic to 11 airports on Feb 3, right as the Chinese seemingly lost control when the infected count nearly tripled between Jan 31 and Feb 2. In addition he put into place a mandatory 14 day quarantine for travelers from Hubei at the same time.
All of the stuff in play seemed to slow the infected count --- until the Italy outbreak and and Iran news.
Out of everything, the Iran news is the worst.
I think the Iran outbreak is the tip of the iceberg in that country, and that probably a whole slew of the Mideast is going to go hot soon. Kind of a combination of bad governments, bad reporting, 3rd world healthcare, and a ton of movement by those in the Mideast across the that area.
If Iran doesnt stabilize soon, the next test will be how fast Trump replicates the travel rules re: China and Hubei on the Middle East and Iran.
But the war was really lost by the Hubei count of 1,000 --- at that point there were reported cases in every Chinese province and those cases ran to nearly 350. The geography and refusal of the Chinese authorities to act decisively (instead of the initial quashing) kind of sealed a global experience in stone.