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Could We Have A Year Without College Football?
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IWokeUpLikeThis Offline
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Post: #101
RE: Could We Have A Year Without College Football?
(02-25-2020 05:21 PM)JRsec Wrote:  The Corona Virus 19 might be the reason. It's in Italy now. People are contagious for about 21 days. It's almost March. Let's say the virus gets into some of the general population by late April to mid May. For it to become widespread according to the present models it would take about 2 months for the virus to start to peak. So we are talking mid July. We have a large country with many isolated rural areas. So the peak could last for another 2 months striking in mid September in a lot of regions.

Is it inconceivable that College Football could be postponed for a year due to health concerns? There would be no greater incubator for an infectious disease than packed stadia and handled food at tailgates.

I was wondering if anyone else had started to think about these things?

JRsec usurps DavidSt.

(unless DavidSt predicted this anywhere)
03-11-2020 09:57 PM
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Cyniclone Offline
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Post: #102
RE: Could We Have A Year Without College Football?
(03-11-2020 09:57 PM)IWokeUpLikeThis Wrote:  
(02-25-2020 05:21 PM)JRsec Wrote:  The Corona Virus 19 might be the reason. It's in Italy now. People are contagious for about 21 days. It's almost March. Let's say the virus gets into some of the general population by late April to mid May. For it to become widespread according to the present models it would take about 2 months for the virus to start to peak. So we are talking mid July. We have a large country with many isolated rural areas. So the peak could last for another 2 months striking in mid September in a lot of regions.

Is it inconceivable that College Football could be postponed for a year due to health concerns? There would be no greater incubator for an infectious disease than packed stadia and handled food at tailgates.

I was wondering if anyone else had started to think about these things?

JRsec usurps DavidSt.

(unless DavidSt predicted this anywhere)

He did have COVID-19 in the Atlantic Sun's spinoff conference I think ...
03-11-2020 10:09 PM
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Nittany_Bearcat Offline
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Post: #103
RE: Could We Have A Year Without College Football?
(02-25-2020 05:21 PM)JRsec Wrote:  The Corona Virus 19 might be the reason. It's in Italy now. People are contagious for about 21 days. It's almost March. Let's say the virus gets into some of the general population by late April to mid May. For it to become widespread according to the present models it would take about 2 months for the virus to start to peak. So we are talking mid July. We have a large country with many isolated rural areas. So the peak could last for another 2 months striking in mid September in a lot of regions.

Is it inconceivable that College Football could be postponed for a year due to health concerns? There would be no greater incubator for an infectious disease than packed stadia and handled food at tailgates.

I was wondering if anyone else had started to think about these things?

It's now March 11th - this post looks pretty prescient at this point.

One difference between your prediction is that "the virus has gotten into some of the general population" by mid-March. So we're probably talking an accelerated peak vs. mid-July.

I still think college football will be a go come Autumn. But I'd say the probability of a "yes" answer to your question is on the order of 5% now. Definitely up from 0%.
(This post was last modified: 03-11-2020 11:49 PM by Nittany_Bearcat.)
03-11-2020 11:47 PM
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Fighting Muskie Offline
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Post: #104
RE: Could We Have A Year Without College Football?
Let’s say that we are indeed still dealing with in Corona Virus in the fall. Would there be a horrible outcry if college football was postponed to say March 2021? In essence, we’d have a Spring season instead of the traditional fall.
03-12-2020 10:14 AM
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Post: #105
RE: Could We Have A Year Without College Football?
(02-27-2020 04:31 PM)colohank Wrote:  In the interest of public safety, I urge everyone to wash hands frequently and to stop eating bats, particularly uncooked or undercooked ones, until this scourge has been brought under control or eliminated. Bats are a known reservoir and vector for the novel Corona virus.

Wow, Colohank called it for real!!!

https://m.facebook.com/seth.holland.142?...ce=result#

Darn it, there goes my Bat-Fil-A idea. "Didn't invent the bat, just the bat sandwich."
(This post was last modified: 03-16-2020 06:44 PM by DawgNBama.)
03-16-2020 06:42 PM
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sierrajip Offline
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Post: #106
RE: Could We Have A Year Without College Football?
(02-29-2020 11:54 PM)sierrajip Wrote:  
(02-25-2020 11:09 PM)colohank Wrote:  "Only those are fit to live who do not fear to die; and none are fit to die who have shrunk from the joy of life and the duty of life. Life and death are parts of the same Great Adventure." T. Roosevelt, from an essay in The Atlantic he wrote in response to a letter of condolence he received when his youngest son Quentin was shot down over Europe in 1918.

I love history and the opinions that come from people that were quoted. I had not heard this quote but is so true. People need to get over their fears and live their lives over things that can't be controlled.

Have to change my opinion. My wife had COPD before she passed away, but could not see between the trees that , if she were here today, I would be singing a different tune about the way the nation is handling the situation. Stand corrected.
03-16-2020 07:08 PM
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Fighting Muskie Offline
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Post: #107
RE: Could We Have A Year Without College Football?
I think the COVID-19 might have been the working name for a DII call up mega conference David St was working on.
03-16-2020 07:28 PM
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TerryD Offline
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Post: #108
RE: Could We Have A Year Without College Football?
(03-16-2020 07:08 PM)sierrajip Wrote:  
(02-29-2020 11:54 PM)sierrajip Wrote:  
(02-25-2020 11:09 PM)colohank Wrote:  "Only those are fit to live who do not fear to die; and none are fit to die who have shrunk from the joy of life and the duty of life. Life and death are parts of the same Great Adventure." T. Roosevelt, from an essay in The Atlantic he wrote in response to a letter of condolence he received when his youngest son Quentin was shot down over Europe in 1918.

I love history and the opinions that come from people that were quoted. I had not heard this quote but is so true. People need to get over their fears and live their lives over things that can't be controlled.

Have to change my opinion. My wife had COPD before she passed away, but could not see between the trees that , if she were here today, I would be singing a different tune about the way the nation is handling the situation. Stand corrected.

TR was a corpse himself a year later.
03-17-2020 07:23 AM
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johnintx Offline
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Post: #109
RE: Could We Have A Year Without College Football?
(03-16-2020 07:28 PM)Fighting Muskie Wrote:  I think the COVID-19 might have been the working name for a DII call up mega conference David St was working on.

The Carolina-Ohio-Virginia-Indiana-Delaware 19 Conference.
03-17-2020 06:00 PM
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bullet Offline
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Post: #110
RE: Could We Have A Year Without College Football?
I wouldn't put it a much better than 50/50 now.

If this stretches into August, they will have no time to practice and prep the stadiums and hire the vendors.
03-18-2020 06:00 PM
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JRsec Offline
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Post: #111
RE: Could We Have A Year Without College Football?
(03-18-2020 06:00 PM)bullet Wrote:  I wouldn't put it a much better than 50/50 now.

If this stretches into August, they will have no time to practice and prep the stadiums and hire the vendors.

I based the timeline I gave on the rate of emergence in the few nations facing the crisis when I made the OP. Right now I say the peak will hit right about when I thought it would. There are 7 cases in Lee County now and likely to be many more thanks to one thoughtless family who let their recent graduate son go to a ski trip in Colorado only to come home with a virus that had not manifested itself yet and the they went out to Sunday dinner at a downtown restaurant and exposed a boat load more including the staff.

They now believe the virus can remain alive up to 72 hours on metal and plastic. It is unclear how many hours it can live on paper but it is believed at least 24 hours and perhaps more. For cardboard it seems to be 24 hours. So if you have supplies shipped in you're probably okay with the box but need to wipe the contents down.

We've been wiping down all groceries purchased before we put them up.

I don't give us a 50/50 chance at football. I count it dead on arrival and quite possibly next year's spring sports as well unless they work out a means to keep all athlete's quarantined to perform only for TV cameras and keep the officials, broadcasters and crew quarantined all season as well and transportation limited to cleaned aircraft and buses.

If we are fortunate we will have a football season in the Fall of 2021 unless we find a efficacious vaccine sooner.

Some governments on lockdown have told their businesses it may be 18 months before things are back to normal.

Right now I'd even say Football for 2021 may be dicey. I would give it about a 60% chance of happening and depending upon when the peak passes that number may be optimistic..
(This post was last modified: 03-18-2020 07:49 PM by JRsec.)
03-18-2020 07:16 PM
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Statefan Offline
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Post: #112
RE: Could We Have A Year Without College Football?
I don't think the ptb at Duke and Carolina expect a football season.
03-18-2020 07:41 PM
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RE: Could We Have A Year Without College Football?
I will not put any credence to this report, but this Nobel Prize winner, Israeli no less, believes that the end is nigh for this virus:

https://m.jpost.com/HEALTH-SCIENCE/Israe...621145/amp
03-18-2020 09:52 PM
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e-parade Offline
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Post: #114
RE: Could We Have A Year Without College Football?
(03-18-2020 09:52 PM)Rube Dali Wrote:  I will not put any credence to this report, but this Nobel Prize winner, Israeli no less, believes that the end is nigh for this virus:

https://m.jpost.com/HEALTH-SCIENCE/Israe...621145/amp

I mean yeah, it's slowing down in China because they, as authoritarian governments are able to do, forced people to stay in their homes and also forced everyone to get tested and quarantined when they left their homes.

Currently the rate of spread in the rest of the world is faster than it ever was in China with over 20,000 new cases in a single day. In most areas we're still drastically under testing compared to where we need to be. Even with China forcibly testing everyone and locking them down, the most in a single day they saw was just over 14,000.
03-18-2020 10:25 PM
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Cyniclone Offline
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RE: Could We Have A Year Without College Football?
03-19-2020 11:04 AM
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JRsec Offline
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RE: Could We Have A Year Without College Football?
One America News (OAN) has reported that in Australia scientists/doctors have combined an anti-viral used to treat AIDS with another anti-viral and that it appears to be a cure in that the patients receiving this combination of treatments have no remaining sign of the COVID19 virus in their systems.

They also reported that in Europe doctors have been taking the immune cells from the blood of the survivors and packing it into serum and then giving their patients transfusions that have also enabled them to successfully fight off the virus.

This is some good news folks!

But you won't hear it on the MSM because they need the crisis and the TDS heading into the election.

If either of these means, especially the first, continues to prove successful, we might yet recover by Fall. It might not be enough to save the 2020 season but there is hope, and it could certainly help to save sports in general for 2021.
03-19-2020 12:04 PM
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IWokeUpLikeThis Offline
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Post: #117
RE: Could We Have A Year Without College Football?
(03-19-2020 11:04 AM)Cyniclone Wrote:  

There are some megasteal airline deals out there (for example, Chicago-Raleigh $125 roundtrip) that I'm finding very tempting to tour games this season.

But in the back of my mind, the risk I'll be stuck holding the purse is stopping me from pulling the trigger.
03-19-2020 12:40 PM
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Post: #118
RE: Could We Have A Year Without College Football?
(03-19-2020 12:04 PM)JRsec Wrote:  One America News (OAN) has reported that in Australia scientists/doctors have combined an anti-viral used to treat AIDS with another anti-viral and that it appears to be a cure in that the patients receiving this combination of treatments have no remaining sign of the COVID19 virus in their systems.


Disclaimer: This is all bootleg second hand information, and if you actually are in this field by all means clarify or correct this:


If that anti-viral for AIDS is whatever is commonly called "PREP", that drug that makes it near impossible to get AIDS even when having unprotected sex with somebody who is positive, that has its own issues. I think a 30 day Rx for that is more than $2,000 USD? Unless you nationalize the drug I don't see how that's viable.
03-19-2020 12:44 PM
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IHAVETRIED Offline
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Post: #119
RE: Could We Have A Year Without College Football?
(03-19-2020 12:04 PM)JRsec Wrote:  One America News (OAN) has reported that in Australia scientists/doctors have combined an anti-viral used to treat AIDS with another anti-viral and that it appears to be a cure in that the patients receiving this combination of treatments have no remaining sign of the COVID19 virus in their systems.

They also reported that in Europe doctors have been taking the immune cells from the blood of the survivors and packing it into serum and then giving their patients transfusions that have also enabled them to successfully fight off the virus.

This is some good news folks!

But you won't hear it on the MSM because they need the crisis and the TDS heading into the election.

If either of these means, especially the first, continues to prove successful, we might yet recover by Fall. It might not be enough to save the 2020 season but there is hope, and it could certainly help to save sports in general for 2021.

01-ncaabbs
03-19-2020 12:44 PM
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IHAVETRIED Offline
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RE: Could We Have A Year Without College Football?
(03-18-2020 10:25 PM)e-parade Wrote:  
(03-18-2020 09:52 PM)Rube Dali Wrote:  I will not put any credence to this report, but this Nobel Prize winner, Israeli no less, believes that the end is nigh for this virus:

https://m.jpost.com/HEALTH-SCIENCE/Israe...621145/amp

I mean yeah, it's slowing down in China because they, as authoritarian governments are able to do, forced people to stay in their homes and also forced everyone to get tested and quarantined when they left their homes.

Currently the rate of spread in the rest of the world is faster than it ever was in China with over 20,000 new cases in a single day. In most areas we're still drastically under testing compared to where we need to be. Even with China forcibly testing everyone and locking them down, the most in a single day they saw was just over 14,000.
Well they created it, so they can stop it.
03-19-2020 12:46 PM
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