RE: Official Game Thread: @ Wofford
Wofford #154 in Kenpom, 16-13, 7-8 in conference
Wofford has taken some of the shine off the Richardson Center by losing 3 in a row to middle of the pack opponents Chattanooga, Mercer and Western Carolina at home. Those 4 teams are in a midconference dog fight to avoid being the one forced to start SoCon tournament play on Friday together with VMI, The Citadel and Samford, having to play 4 games in a row to have a shot at the SoCon title. Wofford put themselves in a tough spot with those losses. But the Terriers showed Saturday against Furman that they haven’t lost their bite.
As I posted on another thread: the Terriers play their best against the best (Furman, UNCG and ETSU), beating BOTH Furman and UNCG in the Richardson Center, and coming within an overtime loss (UNCG), a last second bucket (Furman) and 2 points (ETSU) of sweeping the season against the SoCon’s best. Expect a team that doesn’t quit and will go down to the wire and close out the game tough.
Senior Nathan Hoover’s scoring has gone up from 13.6 to 17.4 in conference games, as has his shooting percentage, which was a miserable .275 in conference, but has gone up to .324. Those numbers are of course even higher in recent games.
6-9 225 Rs-Jr Chevez Goodwin has also seen a big increase from 9.2 ppg to 14.1, and his FG% has shot up to .703, (no three's). Again the recent game numbers are even better as he has become a real scoring threat inside for the first time in his career.
Storm Murphy and Tray Hollowell have dropped a bit, 14.8 to 10.4 and 9.4 to 6.4 respectively.
Last time the Bucs held the Terrier starting 5 (Murphy, Hoover, Goodwin, Hollowell and Stumpe) to a mere 17 points. But low scoring reserve Rs-Freshmen 6-5 Messiah Jones and 6-7 Isaiah Bigelow lit us up for 26, nearly triple their average and 54% of Wofford’s total points. They have more athleticism and size than Wofford teams usually bring off the bench and scored effectively inside.
The Bucs benefited by having Jeromy get 9 points and 8 rebounds last time. [EDIT - Johnson City Press says he'll be back for this one!] But Lucas has been averaging a steady 12.2 points and 7.0 rebounds in the last dozen games, not the 2 points that he had the last Wofford game. Joe Hugely didn't play at all last time. Bo and Tray average 27 points a game combined, not the 12 they combined for in the first Wofford game. The Bucs have done well improving their scoring the second time around against conference foes, averaging 8.3 points better, including 19 better against UNCG and 18 better against Furman.
Kenpom says Bucs by 3, with Wofford having a 39% probability of pulling the upset. But they said we’d win by 10 last time. Not by 1!
The Bucs need to play like a team that has earned an NCAA berth and demands the respect of a decent seed.
Back Court:
#10 6-4 185 Sr Nathan Hoover 34.9 min, 17.4 ppg, .324 from 3 (2.8 makes), 3.4 rebs, 1.3 assts, 1.1 t.o.’s, 0.9 stls
#5 5-11 180 Jr Storm Murphy 32.3 min, 10.4 ppg, .333 from 3 (1.4 makes), 3.1 rebs, 3.9 assts, 2.2 t.o.'s, 0.9 stls
#21 6-2 185 Jr Tray Hollowell 19.5 min, 6.4 ppg, .313 from 3 (1.6 makes), 1.9 rebs, 1.4 assts, 1.3 t.o.'s, 0.3 stls
#4 6-7 185 Rs-Fr Isaiah Bigelow 14.9 minutes, 4.8 ppg, .318 from 3 (0.9 makes), 3.1 rebs, 0.4 assts, 0.6 t.o.’s
#11 6-1 175 So Ryan Larson 18.9 min, 3.1 ppg, .318 from 3 (0.9 makes), 2.2 rebs, 1.4 assists, 1.3 t.o.'s, and1.1 stls
#31 6-1 190 Sr Donavan Theme-Love 13.7 min, 1.8 ppg, .278 from 3 (0.3 makes), 1.7 rebs, 1.3 assts, 1.0 t.o., 0.6 stls
# 6- FR Zion Richardson 7.0 min., 0.7 ppg, only one 3, 0.9 rebs, 0.3 assists
Front Court:
#1 6-9 225 Tr- Jr - Chevez Goodwin, 23.4 minutes, 14.1 ppg on 0 3’s, 6.6 rebs, 0.9 blocks, 1.6 t.o.’s.
#15 6-5 215 Sr Trevor Stumpe, 25.7 minutes, 7.0 ppg, .333 from 3 (1.4 makes), 4.1 reb, 1.5 assts, 0.9 t.o.’s, 0.9 steals
#25 6-6 215 Rs-Fr Messiah Jones 16.3 minutes, 6.5 ppg, no 3’s, 4.1 rebs, , 0.4 assists, 1.4 t.o.’s, 1.0 blocks, 0.4 steals
#20 7-1 230 So David Appelgren 6 games, 2.3 minutes, 0.3 ppg, 0.2 rebs
(This post was last modified: 02-24-2020 11:28 PM by swvabucsfan.)
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