Lunardi/ bracketology

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Stammers Offline

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Post: #41

RE: Lunardi/ bracketology

(02-24-2020 11:40 AM)Tiger87 Wrote: To me, it's pretty simple. We have to win 5 more games before The Selection Show. That would put us at 13 total AAC wins (including the conference tourney), and 24 overall. Every AAC team that has done this has gotten into the tourney.

Win out the regular season, we're possibly in - but might need to win the first tourney game.
3-1 down the stretch, need to win 2 games in AAC tourney.
2-2, need to win 3 games - which probably means just making the CCG because we would likely be out of the top 4.
1-3, have to win the CCG.

Magic number is 5.

Temple 56, Arizona State 63 and St. John's 73 all made it in last year. NC State 33 and Clemson 35 didn't make it. NC State had an RPI of 97, which shows that it is still (rightfully) being used as a metric. St. John's had a NET of 73, an 8-10 record in conference and was 21-12.

It isn't that simple at all, but 4 should be the magic number. That would mean 11-7 in conference, and at worst 23-10 overall. I do agree that 24-10 gets us a better seed; we wouldn't be last 4 in if we get 5 wins.

02-24-2020 12:35 PM

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