(03-02-2020 09:53 AM)Tiger1983 Wrote:  The good news for Memphis and other schools outside the bubble is no team in the AAC is unbeatable. The bad news it is very difficult to win four games in a row in four days.

I know it's unlikely this happens considering how Memphis has played lately, but I genuinely think if you guys were to win your next 2, then go 1-1 in the conference tourney you would get an at large bid

(03-02-2020 09:53 AM)Tiger1983 Wrote:  The good news for Memphis and other schools outside the bubble is no team in the AAC is unbeatable. The bad news it is very difficult to win four games in a row in four days.

Especially when another one bites the dust.

It is my understanding the Tigers have an 8% chance of beating both WSU and Houston. I am not betting the house.

Everything is up for grabs still aside from tulane being locked in as the 12 seed. Houston, Tulsa, and Cincinnati will be the 1-3 seeds but the order is still undetermined. Wichita looks like a good bet to be the 4 as long as they can win tonight or Sunday, in fact they’ll clinch the 4 seed with a win @memphis tonight. There is still potential for a four way tie for 4th place. Seeds 8-11 still very much undecided as well.

One game to go...

8) USF
9) Temple 1) Tulsa

5) Wichita State
12) Tulane 4) Memphis


7) UConn
10) UCF 2) Houston

6) SMU
11) ECU 3) Cincinnati

Just pen UC in for the 1 seed and be done with all of these hijinx.

(03-05-2020 11:35 PM)BcatMatt13 Wrote:  One game to go...

8) USF
9) Temple 1) Tulsa

5) Wichita State
12) Tulane 4) Memphis


7) UConn
10) UCF 2) Houston

6) SMU
11) ECU 3) Cincinnati

How is Memphis the 4 right now? Cuz of their Houston win?

(03-05-2020 11:52 PM)ShockerFever Wrote:  

(03-05-2020 11:35 PM)BcatMatt13 Wrote:  One game to go...

8) USF
9) Temple 1) Tulsa

5) Wichita State
12) Tulane 4) Memphis


7) UConn
10) UCF 2) Houston

6) SMU
11) ECU 3) Cincinnati

How is Memphis the 4 right now? Cuz of their Houston win?

Yup. Though they have Houston @Houston on Sunday... So that's a tall task for any team. So the 4 seed likely comes down to whether WSU can beat Tulsa at home

Sent from my SM-N975U1 using Tapatalk

(03-06-2020 12:01 AM)Stickboy46 Wrote:  

(03-05-2020 11:52 PM)ShockerFever Wrote:  

(03-05-2020 11:35 PM)BcatMatt13 Wrote:  One game to go...

8) USF
9) Temple 1) Tulsa

5) Wichita State
12) Tulane 4) Memphis


7) UConn
10) UCF 2) Houston

6) SMU
11) ECU 3) Cincinnati

How is Memphis the 4 right now? Cuz of their Houston win?

Yup. Though they have Houston @Houston on Sunday... So that's a tall task for any team. So the 4 seed likely comes down to whether WSU can beat Tulsa at home

Sent from my SM-N975U1 using Tapatalk

I think Memphis could fall to the 7 seed if we lose to Houston, which is likely.

(03-06-2020 01:02 AM)TripleA Wrote:  

(03-06-2020 12:01 AM)Stickboy46 Wrote:  

(03-05-2020 11:52 PM)ShockerFever Wrote:  

(03-05-2020 11:35 PM)BcatMatt13 Wrote:  One game to go...

8) USF
9) Temple 1) Tulsa

5) Wichita State
12) Tulane 4) Memphis


7) UConn
10) UCF 2) Houston

6) SMU
11) ECU 3) Cincinnati

How is Memphis the 4 right now? Cuz of their Houston win?

Yup. Though they have Houston @Houston on Sunday... So that's a tall task for any team. So the 4 seed likely comes down to whether WSU can beat Tulsa at home

Sent from my SM-N975U1 using Tapatalk

I think Memphis could fall to the 7 seed if we lose to Houston, which is likely.

There could still be a 4 way tie for 4th if Memphis and Wichita both lose and SMU and UConn both win.

(03-06-2020 05:47 AM)BcatMatt13 Wrote:  

(03-06-2020 01:02 AM)TripleA Wrote:  

(03-06-2020 12:01 AM)Stickboy46 Wrote:  

(03-05-2020 11:52 PM)ShockerFever Wrote:  

(03-05-2020 11:35 PM)BcatMatt13 Wrote:  One game to go...

8) USF
9) Temple 1) Tulsa

5) Wichita State
12) Tulane 4) Memphis


7) UConn
10) UCF 2) Houston

6) SMU
11) ECU 3) Cincinnati

How is Memphis the 4 right now? Cuz of their Houston win?

Yup. Though they have Houston @Houston on Sunday... So that's a tall task for any team. So the 4 seed likely comes down to whether WSU can beat Tulsa at home

Sent from my SM-N975U1 using Tapatalk

I think Memphis could fall to the 7 seed if we lose to Houston, which is likely.

There could still be a 4 way tie for 4th if Memphis and Wichita both lose and SMU and UConn both win.

I haven't done the tiebreaker math yet, but if that happens, we are 2-4 head to head with that group. The 3 teams above us (Tulsa, UH, UC), we are so far 2-2, with at Houston left to play.

So tiebreakers don't look good for us. We have to figure out a way to win at Houston, lol.

Here's a good breakdown by the WSU beat writer. https://www.kansas.com/sports/college/wi...52001.html

Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk

Check this out. AACT Seed Calculator.

bball.notnothing.net/aac.php?sport=mbb

Pretty cool. The un-played games have the favorite in red. Hit submit, and you can see the final seeds, assuming all the favorites in red win the remaining games.

You can also change any of the predicted results in red, then hit submit again, and see how it affects the seeding.

For example, right now, if Memphis beats UH, we are the 4 seed. Lose and we could be the 5 to 7 seed, depending on other results.

(03-06-2020 10:08 AM)TripleA Wrote:  Check this out. AACT Seed Calculator.

bball.notnothing.net/aac.php?sport=mbb

Pretty cool. The un-played games have the favorite in red. Hit submit, and you can see the final seeds, assuming all the favorites in red win the remaining games.

You can also change any of the predicted results in red, then hit submit again, and see how it affects the seeding.

For example, right now, if Memphis beats UH, we are the 4 seed. Lose and we could be the 5 to 7 seed, depending on other results.

From messing with that site, for the 4 seed between WSU and Memphis, it's WSU has it all scenarios but 2.

1. Memphis Beats Houston
2. Memphis loses to Houston, WSU Loses to Tulsa, SMU loses to USF and UCONN loses to Tulane.

(03-06-2020 10:49 AM)Stickboy46 Wrote:  

(03-06-2020 10:08 AM)TripleA Wrote:  Check this out. AACT Seed Calculator.

bball.notnothing.net/aac.php?sport=mbb

Pretty cool. The un-played games have the favorite in red. Hit submit, and you can see the final seeds, assuming all the favorites in red win the remaining games.

You can also change any of the predicted results in red, then hit submit again, and see how it affects the seeding.

For example, right now, if Memphis beats UH, we are the 4 seed. Lose and we could be the 5 to 7 seed, depending on other results.

From messing with that site, for the 4 seed between WSU and Memphis, it's WSU has it all scenarios but 2.

1. Memphis Beats Houston
2. Memphis loses to Houston, WSU Loses to Tulsa, SMU loses to USF and UCONN loses to Tulane.

Please don't lose to Tulsa a second time.

(03-06-2020 10:49 AM)Stickboy46 Wrote:  

(03-06-2020 10:08 AM)TripleA Wrote:  Check this out. AACT Seed Calculator.

bball.notnothing.net/aac.php?sport=mbb

Pretty cool. The un-played games have the favorite in red. Hit submit, and you can see the final seeds, assuming all the favorites in red win the remaining games.

You can also change any of the predicted results in red, then hit submit again, and see how it affects the seeding.

For example, right now, if Memphis beats UH, we are the 4 seed. Lose and we could be the 5 to 7 seed, depending on other results.

From messing with that site, for the 4 seed between WSU and Memphis, it's WSU has it all scenarios but 2.

1. Memphis Beats Houston
2. Memphis loses to Houston, WSU Loses to Tulsa, SMU loses to USF and UCONN loses to Tulane.

I didn't realize there was a way Memphis could lose to UH and still get the 4 seed. I thought we had to beat Houston, period.

Actually, the best draw situation for Memphis is to lose to UH, and have Tulsa beat Wichita. We would wind up the 5 seed, but avoid UH and UC until the final.

I think UCF will end up as the 8 or 9 seed. Temple is not likely to win @Cincy, and USF could also lost at home to SMU. Our last game is ECU at home.

Here is everyone’s records in the AAC tournament along with their highest finish.

Cincinnati: 9-4 (Championship x2)
Connecticut: 11-5 (Championship)
ECU: 2-5 (Quarters)
Houston: 6-6 (Runner-Up)
Memphis: 6-6 (Runner-Up)
SMU: 8-3 (Championship x2)
Temple: 3-6 (Semis)
Tulane: 2-5 (Semis)
Tulsa: 3-5 (Semis)
UCF: 3-6 (Semis)
USF: 1-6 (Quarters)
Wichita St.: 3-2 (Semis)

For the record Louisville is 3-0* and Rutgers went 1-1.

(03-06-2020 11:02 AM)TripleA Wrote:  

(03-06-2020 10:49 AM)Stickboy46 Wrote:  

(03-06-2020 10:08 AM)TripleA Wrote:  Check this out. AACT Seed Calculator.

bball.notnothing.net/aac.php?sport=mbb

Pretty cool. The un-played games have the favorite in red. Hit submit, and you can see the final seeds, assuming all the favorites in red win the remaining games.

You can also change any of the predicted results in red, then hit submit again, and see how it affects the seeding.

For example, right now, if Memphis beats UH, we are the 4 seed. Lose and we could be the 5 to 7 seed, depending on other results.

From messing with that site, for the 4 seed between WSU and Memphis, it's WSU has it all scenarios but 2.

1. Memphis Beats Houston
2. Memphis loses to Houston, WSU Loses to Tulsa, SMU loses to USF and UCONN loses to Tulane.

I didn't realize there was a way Memphis could lose to UH and still get the 4 seed. I thought we had to beat Houston, period.

Actually, the best draw situation for Memphis is to lose to UH, and have Tulsa beat Wichita. We would wind up the 5 seed, but avoid UH and UC until the final.

Ironically for WSU, the best AAC tourney path would be Lose to Tulsa, Houston beats Memphis, UCONN and SMU both win. Would put WSU at the 4 with Houston, Cincy, UCONN, Memphis, and Temple all on the other side.

WSU would have the winner of Tulane/SMU, then Winner of Tulsa, USF, UCF to get to the championship. Based on how WSU has struggled vs Houston, Cincy, Memphis and Temple the last few years .. that's our best scenario. BUT would also likely kill at-large chances by losing to Tulsa at home.