RE: General ACC Talk
Clemson got inside and won with 1 second left. That gave Duke control of their own destiny for the regular season title, which they blew with a loss at Virginia, who blocked a layup with 3.7 seconds left while up 51-50. Florida State and Louisville are tied for first, and Florida State swept Louisville.
Clemson is 15-13 and 73rd in the NET. If they win out until the ACC Final, I probably won't think they deserve an at-large bid. The ACC is ranked sixth in the Conference NET and Conference RPI, which is very bad by its standards, and Clemson's NET is eighth in the ACC.
Virginia is 51st in the NET, so they would be a bubble team if you selected teams exactly by the NET, but they're in good shape. They have won six in a row and nine of ten. If they win at Miami (14-14, NET 108th), they might be able to lose at Louisville and their first ACC Tournament game and still get in. Virginia can even think about a regular season title. Florida State and Louisville are 14-4, and Duke and Virginia are 13-5. If Virginia beats Louisville, they will be at least tied with Louisville, and have a head-to-head split. Virginia split with Florida State and won their only game against Duke. Florida State goes to Notre Dame (18-11, NET 57th, 14-3 at home) and should win hosting Boston College. If Florida State lose to Notre Dame and Virginia wins both, Virginia will be in somewhere from outright champion to a four-way tie for first. If Virginia beats Louisville and there is a four-way tie, the head-to-head would be:
UVA: 3-2 (1-1 vs. FSU, 1-1 vs. L, 1-0 vs. D)
FSU: 3-2 (1-1 vs. UVA, 2-0 vs. L, 0-1 vs. D)
L: 2-3 (1-1 vs. UVA, 0-2 vs. FSU, 1-0 vs. D)
D: 1-2 (0-1 vs. UVA, 1-0 vs. FSU, 0-1 vs. L)
There's a five-way tie for fifth at 9-9, so it's not worth thinking about how a tiebreaker between UVA and FSU for the next team(s) would go.
Four of the top nine in the polls lost yesterday, and it looked like it could be five when San Diego State trailed by 9 at halftime at Nevada. San Diego State went down 13 before winning 83-76. Baylor lost at TCU. Teams from outside the top seven conferences could get three 1 seeds. That could happen if Gonzaga, San Diego State, and Dayton win out, and Baylor loses another game to a team other than Kansas or maybe with a loss to Kansas. If Duke wins out, they might get a 1 seed because of their reputation over San Diego State or Dayton who is better this season.
East Tennessee State could finish with a better NET than the regular season champions of the Pac-12 (if it's UCLA), ACC (if it's UVA), and AAC (if it's Tulsa) and be left out. Yale has a better NET than the first place teams of the Pac-12 and AAC.
Edit: NC State fell out of ESPN's bracket. If they lose at Duke tonight, they may not get another chance at a good win. They end hosting Wake Forest.
(This post was last modified: 03-02-2020 10:58 AM by EvanJ.)
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