usmbacker
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WaPo:Trump begins reelection year more competitive against Democrats
For WaPo to do this story, he has to be winning really big. Thank you Dems for your dumb azz impeachment.
Quote:With just over nine months until Election Day, Americans see Trump as a slight favorite for reelection, with 49 percent expecting him to win and 43 percent predicting that his Democratic challenger will prevail. But those expectations are highly partisan, with 87 percent of Republicans saying they believe Trump will win reelection while a somewhat smaller 78 percent majority of Democrats say they believe their party’s nominee will win.
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The improvement in his job approval rating in this poll — to 44 percent, an increase of six percentage points since fall — coincides with the Senate impeachment trial, which has further polarized the country. Whether it represents a lasting shift in Trump’s favor has obvious political implications, given the stakes in the election year.
Linki
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01-27-2020 03:26 PM |
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RE: WaPo:Trump begins reelection year more competitive against Democrats
Interesting AJC (Atlanta paper) article about their Georgia poll. Their polls skew left. But what is interesting is they have questions others don't report on.
For example, 44% said they would vote for Trump and 47% would vote against them. 47% had a favorable opinion and 50% had an unfavorable opinion.
Yet his opponents were worse. Biden 35% favorable-57% unfavorable, Warren 31% favorable, 55% unfavorable, Sanders 36% favorable, 58% unfavorable and the boy mayor 22% favorable, 49% unfavorable.
And with the parties, the Republicans were 45% favorable, 47% unfavorable. The Democrats were 39% favorable, 54% unfavorable.
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01-27-2020 04:04 PM |
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TripleA
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RE: WaPo:Trump begins reelection year more competitive against Democrats
Polls are interesting, but very few are executed without bias. Since I am a statistics major with an interest in numbers and such, I have looked into a number of polls, out of curiosity, and discovered that most have some fatal flaw.
For example, I found a handful of polls that used something like 85% potential Dem voters to choose between Trump and a Dem opponent.
Thus, I put no faith in any poll on either side. Hard to find truly unbiased ones. Just like it's impossible to find unbiased news reporting these days.
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01-27-2020 04:14 PM |
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