Quote:Robbery is up almost 30% in New York City since the first of the year. Is this a statistical blip, a trend — or a New Year’s bail-reform gift from Albany, robbery now largely being a revolving-door offense in the Empire State?

Time will tell, but consider this as well: According to the latest NYPD stats, the number of shooting victims in the city is up 31% since New Year’s Day — so at the very least Gotham appears to be off to a rocky 2020 compared to last year.

Which should not surprise: Not only does government usually get more of what it encourages, when it comes to crime, it also gets more of what it fails to discourage.

Sad to say, New York falls down on both counts.

Albany’s bail-reform initiative got off to an ominously comical start. When the feds had to take custody of alleged serial bank-robber Gerod Woodberry because local judges had to keep turning him loose — well, what else was there to do but laugh?

But consider this: Robbery in the third degree became a revolving-door offense Jan. 1, and this was followed by a dramatic, 29% spike in reported robberies, according to the most recent — albeit very short-term — CompStat numbers.

This crime isn’t nearly as amusing as a haplessly compulsive bank heister — robbery-third involves the threat of physical force and was devastatingly common in the ’80s — but its current threat to the city’s streets is clear enough.

Shootings, thank goodness, aren’t yet revolving-door offenses but nevertheless also were up sharply, according to CompStat — with a 22% hike in incidents and that 31% increase in victims. A Thursday shootout in Upper Manhattan — one dead, two wounded — suggests the spike is no fluke.

It’s also no surprise. As a matter of policy, City Hall has backed away from the quality-of-life enforcement that historically encouraged criminals to leave their weapons at home — stop-and-frisk, for example, has virtually ended and hardly anybody is busted for fare-beating any more.

So, more guns — more gunfire. Easy peasy.

Equally intuitive is why New York is evolving into a soft-on-crime world — even if nobody wants to talk about it.

It really is simple: Politicians pander, and you can learn a lot by watching to whom they pander. Right about now that would be people who — wittingly or otherwise — are intent on making New York less safe.

These are basically the folks who embrace a common, albeit perverse, interpretation of affirmative action — arguing that energetic law enforcement is illegitimate because it tends to have disproportionate racial, ethnic or class consequences.

This is not all that’s going on, of course, but it is the principal motivator of Albany’s revolving door “reforms”; it underlies the virtual abandonment of quality-of-life law enforcement in New York City; it’s the reason Schools Chancellor Richard Carranza refuses to address school violence — angering both parents and the United Federation of Teachers — and it has prompted the federal government to threaten a crackdown on so-called “sanctuary city” policies now so warmly embraced by City Hall and Albany.

Specifically, Gerod Woodberry’s alleged bank robberies; Thursday’s shootings at 135th Street and Riverside Drive; Carranza’s contemptuous walkout from a school-violence town hall meeting and the rape-murder of a 92-year-old Queens woman allegedly by an illegal immigrant set free by city officials in defiance of federal authorities are of a piece — and they did not happen in a vacuum.

They occurred in the context of a strengthening, extremely disturbing official acceptance of behavior that would not remotely have been tolerated before Bill de Blasio became mayor. And it’s not just de Blasio; the City Council, Gov. Andrew Cuomo and the state Legislature are actively promoting the decline.

What’s missing in all this, of course, is that far more often than not the victims of New York’s growing soft-on-crime sensibilities belong to the same racial, ethnic and class categories as their victimizers. On this irony does the disparate-impact argument fail.

Amazingly, only the feds are looking out for the innocent.

“It is unbelievable that I have to come here and plead with the city of New York to cooperate with us to help keep this city safe,” said acting Immigration and Customs Enforcement Director Matthew Albence last week, following the Queens rape-murder.

Indeed it is.

Certainly nobody else — not de Blasio, not Cuomo and not city and state lawmakers — is arguing on behalf of the real victims.

It’s the new normal, and don’t expect it to change.

Link

Soon NYC crime will be back to the lawless 70's and 80's rates.

Repeat offenders are the biggest problem. This is just inviting them to do more.

(01-26-2020 07:35 PM)bullet Wrote:  Repeat offenders are the biggest problem. This is just inviting them to do more.

Shhh! Hush! Darwinian principles are at work. It's natural selection. Those two dumb to disrupt violence and put criminals away should suffer the consequences of their actions.

As you pointed out in another thread the red states are getting redder and mostly because those fleeing blue states know the cause of social ills. California is in a shambles where crime and sanctuary cities go hand in hand and the disease and filth of the homeless issue is literally backing up on them. And yet on the eve of the next election those who remain in these states will overwhelming vote for more of the same in spite of the fact that degree to which it doesn't work is in their face daily. China is locking down its public because of the virus and this afternoon Left Coast officials said that they would not screen or quarantine people based on their race, sex, gender orientation, yada yada yada, and would not force the exposed to be quarantined. Imbeciles! It's a disease, not discrimination. People this stupid and ineffectual should not be preserved because they encourage harm to the rest of us.

Communism and/or anarchy cannot flourish in a civil society, one in which lawlessness is punished and criminals are held accountable so that they aren't free to inflict their harm onto law abiding citizens. This is an orchestrated movement to accomplish exactly what we are seeing in cities like New York, San Francisco and LA. If the goal isn't chaos we wouldn't be seeing it surge and even flourish as it has in these cities and in other major urban centers around the country. The Purge writ large comes to mind.

Some of this is the public's limited memory. They don't remember that 15-20 years ago strict policies turned NYC into a safe place instead of one of the murder capitols of the US. Many Democrats don't remember just 30 years ago when socialism spectacularly failed after a nearly 50 year cold war. Its like the sticker in the oil country after the 86 bust, "Lord give me another oil boom and I promise not to piss this one away." Irrational exuberance in the oil patch lead to a lot of losses as they didn't remember the slump 20 years before.

We'll have another real estate crash like 2008 in 20-30 years when people forget.

(01-26-2020 08:49 PM)bullet Wrote:  Some of this is the public's limited memory. They don't remember that 15-20 years ago strict policies turned NYC into a safe place instead of one of the murder capitols of the US. Many Democrats don't remember just 30 years ago when socialism spectacularly failed after a nearly 50 year cold war. Its like the sticker in the oil country after the 86 bust, "Lord give me another oil boom and I promise not to piss this one away." Irrational exuberance in the oil patch lead to a lot of losses as they didn't remember the slump 20 years before.

We'll have another real estate crash like 2008 in 20-30 years when people forget.

If true then it is willful forgetfulness. One doesn't need to remember the bad NYC of the 70's and 80's when there are movies and documentaries detailing such things. One doesn't need to remember socialism when you can't find a history book detailing the systems success. It pains me to no end to contemplate that McCarthy might have been right.

(01-26-2020 09:11 PM)vandiver49 Wrote:  

(01-26-2020 08:49 PM)bullet Wrote:  Some of this is the public's limited memory. They don't remember that 15-20 years ago strict policies turned NYC into a safe place instead of one of the murder capitols of the US. Many Democrats don't remember just 30 years ago when socialism spectacularly failed after a nearly 50 year cold war. Its like the sticker in the oil country after the 86 bust, "Lord give me another oil boom and I promise not to piss this one away." Irrational exuberance in the oil patch lead to a lot of losses as they didn't remember the slump 20 years before.

We'll have another real estate crash like 2008 in 20-30 years when people forget.

If true then it is willful forgetfulness. One doesn't need to remember the bad NYC of the 70's and 80's when there are movies and documentaries detailing such things. One doesn't need to remember socialism when you can't find a history book detailing the systems success. It pains me to no end to contemplate that McCarthy might have been right.

It was Khruschev who was right, not McCarthy. Khruschev said "We will bury you" and and the intimation was we won't have to fire a shot. It's what happens when you lose your sense of national identity and break down into miniature cults of victimization and then you gear everything, including education, to travel at the pace of the slowest.

We are disintegrating into appalling ignorance and ineptitude and codling the lazy and stupid. It happens when success becomes a right rather than a reward and when the super wealthy rob the public of their right to access success via innovation. Planned obsolescence in industry has become a metaphor for our way of life.

It's truly a "confederacy of dunces."

And this is no accidental ignorance, but a very planned one. All McCarthy did was to prove that in any witch hunt you burn a few witches and then burn too many innocents. We were right to be fearful of burning the innocent. We were dead wrong to believe there were no witches. And we let our zeal for doing what is right to be twisted by the left into doing nothing. And the sons of ******* have been beating us over the head with it ever since. Harry Dexter White was a communist mole. Alger Hiss was a communist agent. And there were many other fellow travelers along with them. Many in the bureaucracy of the State Department who were never ferreted out. We stink with those now who are not for the ideals of this nation. We trot around the globe to handle the foreign enemies of this nation and haven't pursued the domestic enemies in 70 years. It's not a lost memory. After McCarthy we ignorantly believed that as long as we leveled the playing field of success with nominal socialistic programs we would be safe. But the precedent of these programs has only laid the groundwork for entitlements. And that is the vehicle by which we've arrived at this juncture in our history. Most of this board is too young to remember, or too disinterested to dig for the truth of it. Those involved with our military and our government and public education don't want to know any differently. The former military want to believe their sacrifice was for the best and that our government can be trusted so they refuse to see what is before their eyes and acknowledge its level of failure. The bureaucrats only serve a system that benefits them so they work in their self interest and don't want anything that investigates their actual performances and motives and which could potentially remove them from their cushy jobs. And teachers are the dregs of the university system and had the broadest part of their education in the process of education and not in their subject fields. And they too protect turf.

So it's no damned accident! But it is an inept collusion of various forces that have don't it.

^

ignatius j reilly approves this post.

(01-26-2020 11:49 PM)shere khan Wrote:  ^

ignatius j reilly approves this post.

Now we need to roll up our sleeves, embrace our idealism, and try hard not to commit suicide!

(01-27-2020 12:17 AM)JRsec Wrote:  

(01-26-2020 11:49 PM)shere khan Wrote:  ^

ignatius j reilly approves this post.

Now we need to roll up our sleeves, embrace our idealism, and try hard not to commit suicide!

Or make a good cheese dip.

But if we go to the original source, although I'm not quite convinced, this may describe our orange emperor.

"When a true genius appears in the world, you may know him by this sign, that the dunces are all in confederacy against him".- Jonathan swift.

Not sure about the genius part, completely convinced about the dunces.

(01-27-2020 12:23 AM)shere khan Wrote:  

(01-27-2020 12:17 AM)JRsec Wrote:  

(01-26-2020 11:49 PM)shere khan Wrote:  ^

ignatius j reilly approves this post.

Now we need to roll up our sleeves, embrace our idealism, and try hard not to commit suicide!

Or make a good cheese dip.

But if we go to the original source, although I'm not quite convinced, this may describe our orange emperor.

"When a true genius appears in the world, you may know him by this sign, that the dunces are all in confederacy against him".- Jonathan swift.

Not sure about the genius part, completely convinced about the dunces.

1 can of Bush's Black Beans, 2 avocados, 1 cup Paces Medium Hot Salsa, 1 tblsp Cayenne Pepper, 4 dashes of Worcestershire sauce, 1 dash of Chipotle Chile Pepper, and 16 ounces of blended Mexican cheeses. Lemon juice to taste. Blend it well chill and serve. Use corn chips. Tasty! My wife says it's so addictive it ought to be called Crack Dip! I'm ambivalent about the name. But I have 3 versions of it but like this one the best.

Trump's genius is in his simplicity and clarity of thought. He is not dissuaded by bull crap excuses, nor deterred by opposition. That's genius enough to navigate a swamp. And yes, there is a massive confederacy of dunces gathered against him. Some are against him out of stupidity, some out of fear of losing their corruptive and prosperous influence, and some out of sheer malice.

Love Swift too! Lilliputians are bureaucrats.