Currently, American schools average outscoring an average team by 8.85 points per 100 possessions (per KenPom).

How does this compare to years past?

2014 = +10.08 / 4 bids (with Louisville & Rutgers. Without ECU, Tulane, Tulsa and Wichita St)
2015 = +3.43 / 2 bids (without Wichita St)
2016 = +8.15 / 4 bids (without Wichita St)
2017 = +5.90 / 3 bids (without Wichita St)
2018 = +5.59 / 3 bids
2019 = + 8.57 / 4 bids
2020 = +8.85 / ??? bids

Notice how bids seem to track overall conference strength.

Currently on pace for the second best year in league history. But only 3 bids projected at Bracketmatrix, and none seeded for the Sweet 16.

http://www.bracketmatrix.com

Good stuff. Hopefully a 4th will emerge

Interesting stat.

(01-21-2020 10:24 PM)MemphisTigerFreak Wrote:  Good stuff. Hopefully a 4th will emerge

Tonight's UC - Temple game may decide who the most likely 4th team is.

I think it's likely one of those two. UC probably with the better shot, but not by much. Lot of work to be done for both.

(01-22-2020 09:37 AM)stxrunner Wrote:  

(01-21-2020 10:24 PM)MemphisTigerFreak Wrote:  Good stuff. Hopefully a 4th will emerge

Tonight's UC - Temple game may decide who the most likely 4th team is.

I think it's likely one of those two. UC probably with the better shot, but not by much. Lot of work to be done for both.

Hopefully both find a way.

(01-22-2020 09:37 AM)stxrunner Wrote:  

(01-21-2020 10:24 PM)MemphisTigerFreak Wrote:  Good stuff. Hopefully a 4th will emerge

Tonight's UC - Temple game may decide who the most likely 4th team is.

I think it's likely one of those two. UC probably with the better shot, but not by much. Lot of work to be done for both.

KenPom has it a 65-64 game UC winning, 51% to UC. So yea .. toss up.

According to Barttorvik's Teamcast, the record that puts bubble teams in is...

Cincinnati: 19-11 (12-6)
SMU: 22-8 (12-6)
Temple: 20-11 (10-8)
Tulsa: 21-10 (13-5)
UConn: 20-11 (11-7)

Think Temple is possible since they didn't blow up their non-conference that hard.

They have a road game against Penn that could improve the conference metrics if they perform well.

(01-22-2020 12:25 PM)FadedCrown Wrote:  According to Barttorvik's Teamcast, the record that puts bubble teams in is...

Cincinnati: 19-11 (12-6)
SMU: 22-8 (12-6)
Temple: 20-11 (10-8)
Tulsa: 21-10 (13-5)
UConn: 20-11 (11-7)

Think Temple is possible since they didn't blow up their non-conference that hard.

They have a road game against Penn that could improve the conference metrics if they perform well.

They still have Villanova as well. Those two games need to be Ws and then avoid losses to the bottom of the AAC and Temple will be in. Now can they do it? Cincy seems more likely at this moment. SMU is a long shot in control of it's own destiny. UConn has just enough good wins that if they can get a 11-7 or 12-6 record with a couple of the right wins they can sneak in. Tulsa needs to emulate UCF from last year and win the good games, especially at home and steal one good win on the road. Grab a couple conference tourney wins and they could get in.

Temple and Cincy are a 50/50 shot to me and the odds decline as we go down the list. Temple looks shakey though while Cincinnati seems to be picking up steam.

The rest need a lot of work.

Cincinnati needs 13 conference wins.