green
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01-12-2020 06:08 PM |
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Kronke
Banned
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I Root For: Arsenal / StL
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RE: Odds-On
I’ve been watching it closely, and it seems the more likely bernie is to win the democratic primary, the more likely Trump becomes to win the general. Very telling for the “bernie would have beaten Trump” crowd.
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01-12-2020 06:42 PM |
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vandiver49
Heisman
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RE: Odds-On
Will the DNC use the 2016 playbook to crater his nomination or will a new strategy be employed?
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01-12-2020 07:30 PM |
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green
Hall of Famer
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01-12-2020 07:49 PM |
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Fo Shizzle
Pragmatic Classical Liberal
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RE: Odds-On
(01-12-2020 07:30 PM)vandiver49 Wrote: Will the DNC use the 2016 playbook to crater his nomination or will a new strategy be employed?
Regardless...the same result is very likely.
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01-12-2020 08:29 PM |
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Kronke
Banned
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I Root For: Arsenal / StL
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RE: Odds-On
(01-12-2020 07:30 PM)vandiver49 Wrote: Will the DNC use the 2016 playbook to crater his nomination or will a new strategy be employed?
He couldn’t even get 50% of the delegates against just hillary, so I don’t see how he can do it against a larger field. The math simply cuts against it. He has soft support just like everyone else, and now that soft support has more options.
There was also more magic around his campaign in 2016. That Simon & Garfunkel ad was objectively good. Now he just seems senile. In the debates, regardless of the question, he responds with the same 3, tired lines.
What will be the catalyst that jolts him from 20% to 50%? Iowa and New Hampshire? If he wins both, it will be by razor thin margins and then he will go into SC/Nevada with what, a 1-delegate lead? Biden wins both of those, and then goes into Super Tuesday as the frontrunner.
(This post was last modified: 01-12-2020 09:53 PM by Kronke.)
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01-12-2020 09:25 PM |
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