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Memphis Could Be a Bubble Team???
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macgar32 Online
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Post: #41
RE: Memphis Could Be a Bubble Team???
(01-10-2020 11:23 AM)HSUDynasty Wrote:  I hope we are a bubble team. Anyone saying "it was just a 9 point loss," didn't watch the game.

We got run off the floor.

Anyone saying that a 6 point game with 2 minutes left is being run off the court must think most games are mismatches.

Did we play well...Absolutely not.

For reference UConn was down 9 with 1 minute left in their game with WSU and took it to overtime...Were they run off the court as well.

Let's be honest here
01-13-2020 09:29 AM
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uskjtc02 Away
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Post: #42
RE: Memphis Could Be a Bubble Team???
We have so many unrealistic fans. Yes we should have beat Georgia. But our other 2 losses were bound to happen.
01-13-2020 01:10 PM
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MemphisTigerPawr Offline
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Post: #43
RE: Memphis Could Be a Bubble Team???
(01-13-2020 01:10 PM)uskjtc02 Wrote:  We have so many unrealistic fans. Yes we should have beat Georgia. But our other 2 losses were bound to happen.

We really missed DJ
01-13-2020 01:31 PM
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uskjtc02 Away
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Post: #44
RE: Memphis Could Be a Bubble Team???
(01-13-2020 01:31 PM)MemphisTigerPawr Wrote:  
(01-13-2020 01:10 PM)uskjtc02 Wrote:  We have so many unrealistic fans. Yes we should have beat Georgia. But our other 2 losses were bound to happen.

We really missed DJ

Yep
01-13-2020 01:32 PM
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Tigerdawg Offline
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Post: #45
RE: Memphis Could Be a Bubble Team???
(01-13-2020 01:32 PM)uskjtc02 Wrote:  
(01-13-2020 01:31 PM)MemphisTigerPawr Wrote:  
(01-13-2020 01:10 PM)uskjtc02 Wrote:  We have so many unrealistic fans. Yes we should have beat Georgia. But our other 2 losses were bound to happen.

We really missed DJ

Yep

Really missed him in the Georgia game. We win with him on the court at full strength. Then we have both him and Damion out/ineffective/sick against WSU. If they're both at full strength that game is a barn burner.

We're going to be ok. I expect that we'll lose some more games. Maybe even tonight. But, I don't think we're a bubble team by any stretch of the imagination. I can't see this team losing more that 3-4 more games, if that many.
01-16-2020 01:54 PM
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macgar32 Online
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Post: #46
RE: Memphis Could Be a Bubble Team???
(01-16-2020 01:54 PM)Tigerdawg Wrote:  
(01-13-2020 01:32 PM)uskjtc02 Wrote:  
(01-13-2020 01:31 PM)MemphisTigerPawr Wrote:  
(01-13-2020 01:10 PM)uskjtc02 Wrote:  We have so many unrealistic fans. Yes we should have beat Georgia. But our other 2 losses were bound to happen.

We really missed DJ

Yep

Really missed him in the Georgia game. We win with him on the court at full strength. Then we have both him and Damion out/ineffective/sick against WSU. If they're both at full strength that game is a barn burner.

We're going to be ok. I expect that we'll lose some more games. Maybe even tonight. But, I don't think we're a bubble team by any stretch of the imagination. I can't see this team losing more that 3-4 more games, if that many.

Right now I would say we are around a 10 seed...Which is bubble.

If we only lose 3-4 more games that likely moves us up to the 6-8 line. With the way the league is going there aren't going to be many more opportunities for category 1 wins...Which I don't think we have any at the moment.
01-16-2020 03:23 PM
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tigers0830 Online
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Post: #47
RE: Memphis Could Be a Bubble Team???
(01-16-2020 03:23 PM)macgar32 Wrote:  
(01-16-2020 01:54 PM)Tigerdawg Wrote:  
(01-13-2020 01:32 PM)uskjtc02 Wrote:  
(01-13-2020 01:31 PM)MemphisTigerPawr Wrote:  
(01-13-2020 01:10 PM)uskjtc02 Wrote:  We have so many unrealistic fans. Yes we should have beat Georgia. But our other 2 losses were bound to happen.

We really missed DJ

Yep

Really missed him in the Georgia game. We win with him on the court at full strength. Then we have both him and Damion out/ineffective/sick against WSU. If they're both at full strength that game is a barn burner.

We're going to be ok. I expect that we'll lose some more games. Maybe even tonight. But, I don't think we're a bubble team by any stretch of the imagination. I can't see this team losing more that 3-4 more games, if that many.

Right now I would say we are around a 10 seed...Which is bubble.

If we only lose 3-4 more games that likely moves us up to the 6-8 line. With the way the league is going there aren't going to be many more opportunities for category 1 wins...Which I don't think we have any at the moment.
We have 2 currently: UT and NC State. Have 3 more opportunities left currently: Wichita St, @Houston, @Cincy.
01-16-2020 03:28 PM
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Tiger87 Offline
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Post: #48
RE: Memphis Could Be a Bubble Team???
(01-16-2020 03:23 PM)macgar32 Wrote:  Right now I would say we are around a 10 seed...Which is bubble.

If we only lose 3-4 more games that likely moves us up to the 6-8 line. With the way the league is going there aren't going to be many more opportunities for category 1 wins...Which I don't think we have any at the moment.

I think if the tourney started today, a 10-seed is a pessimistic view.

NET 28 (7 seed)
AP 22 (6 seed)
KenPom 41 (11 seed)
Sagarin 26 (7 seed)
Jerry Palm 8 seed
Joe Lunardi 7 seed

As of today, we're 2-2 in Quadrant 1 games. Tonight is an important game for NCAA forecasts.
01-16-2020 05:31 PM
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macgar32 Online
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Post: #49
RE: Memphis Could Be a Bubble Team???
(01-16-2020 03:28 PM)tigers0830 Wrote:  
(01-16-2020 03:23 PM)macgar32 Wrote:  
(01-16-2020 01:54 PM)Tigerdawg Wrote:  
(01-13-2020 01:32 PM)uskjtc02 Wrote:  
(01-13-2020 01:31 PM)MemphisTigerPawr Wrote:  We really missed DJ

Yep

Really missed him in the Georgia game. We win with him on the court at full strength. Then we have both him and Damion out/ineffective/sick against WSU. If they're both at full strength that game is a barn burner.

We're going to be ok. I expect that we'll lose some more games. Maybe even tonight. But, I don't think we're a bubble team by any stretch of the imagination. I can't see this team losing more that 3-4 more games, if that many.

Right now I would say we are around a 10 seed...Which is bubble.

If we only lose 3-4 more games that likely moves us up to the 6-8 line. With the way the league is going there aren't going to be many more opportunities for category 1 wins...Which I don't think we have any at the moment.
We have 2 currently: UT and NC State. Have 3 more opportunities left currently: Wichita St, @Houston, @Cincy.

UT is 72 and NC State is 52...Both right there on the edge.
01-16-2020 05:48 PM
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tigers0830 Online
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Post: #50
RE: Memphis Could Be a Bubble Team???
(01-16-2020 05:48 PM)macgar32 Wrote:  
(01-16-2020 03:28 PM)tigers0830 Wrote:  
(01-16-2020 03:23 PM)macgar32 Wrote:  
(01-16-2020 01:54 PM)Tigerdawg Wrote:  
(01-13-2020 01:32 PM)uskjtc02 Wrote:  Yep

Really missed him in the Georgia game. We win with him on the court at full strength. Then we have both him and Damion out/ineffective/sick against WSU. If they're both at full strength that game is a barn burner.

We're going to be ok. I expect that we'll lose some more games. Maybe even tonight. But, I don't think we're a bubble team by any stretch of the imagination. I can't see this team losing more that 3-4 more games, if that many.

Right now I would say we are around a 10 seed...Which is bubble.

If we only lose 3-4 more games that likely moves us up to the 6-8 line. With the way the league is going there aren't going to be many more opportunities for category 1 wins...Which I don't think we have any at the moment.
We have 2 currently: UT and NC State. Have 3 more opportunities left currently: Wichita St, @Houston, @Cincy.

UT is 72 and NC State is 52...Both right there on the edge.
Both are quad 1 wins currently. UT needs to stay in the top 75. NC State is currently 45 in the NET need them to stay in the top 50.
01-16-2020 05:52 PM
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Tiger87 Offline
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Post: #51
RE: Memphis Could Be a Bubble Team???
Weird that we got basically no movement in KenPom after beating Cincy last night by a decently bigger margin than he predicted. We started the week at #40. Slipped to #41 after Wednesday games. Then back to #40 after last night.

He continues to significantly lag all other rankings when it comes to our value.
Yesterday 10:21 AM
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macgar32 Online
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Post: #52
RE: Memphis Could Be a Bubble Team???
(Yesterday 10:21 AM)Tiger87 Wrote:  Weird that we got basically no movement in KenPom after beating Cincy last night by a decently bigger margin than he predicted. We started the week at #40. Slipped to #41 after Wednesday games. Then back to #40 after last night.

He continues to significantly lag all other rankings when it comes to our value.

I don't think Kenpom is going to be a good measure of this team this year.

And that is not an issue with his formula...This team just doesn't have a bunch of killers...They get up and want to have fun instead of destroying their opponent.
Yesterday 04:53 PM
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bubbapt Offline
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Post: #53
RE: Memphis Could Be a Bubble Team???
(Yesterday 04:53 PM)macgar32 Wrote:  
(Yesterday 10:21 AM)Tiger87 Wrote:  Weird that we got basically no movement in KenPom after beating Cincy last night by a decently bigger margin than he predicted. We started the week at #40. Slipped to #41 after Wednesday games. Then back to #40 after last night.

He continues to significantly lag all other rankings when it comes to our value.

I don't think Kenpom is going to be a good measure of this team this year.

And that is not an issue with his formula...This team just doesn't have a bunch of killers...They get up and want to have fun instead of destroying their opponent.

Turnovers are killing the Tigers’ offensive efficiency.
Yesterday 04:59 PM
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macgar32 Online
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Post: #54
RE: Memphis Could Be a Bubble Team???
(Yesterday 04:59 PM)bubbapt Wrote:  
(Yesterday 04:53 PM)macgar32 Wrote:  
(Yesterday 10:21 AM)Tiger87 Wrote:  Weird that we got basically no movement in KenPom after beating Cincy last night by a decently bigger margin than he predicted. We started the week at #40. Slipped to #41 after Wednesday games. Then back to #40 after last night.

He continues to significantly lag all other rankings when it comes to our value.

I don't think Kenpom is going to be a good measure of this team this year.

And that is not an issue with his formula...This team just doesn't have a bunch of killers...They get up and want to have fun instead of destroying their opponent.

Turnovers are killing the Tigers’ offensive efficiency.

Agree completely...

We just aren't getting enough shots up.
Yesterday 05:01 PM
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