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UAB likely favored to win CUSA West Title
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blazerjay Offline
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Post: #21
RE: UAB likely favored to win CUSA West Title
(11-25-2019 10:51 AM)BlazerMatt Wrote:  The Southern Miss game kicks off 30 minutes before ours on NFL Network. Our game kicks off at 3:00 on Stadium. Does anyone know if it is the Stadium channel/stream or is it locked to facebook like many of the stadium streams are?

Channel 68 has it listed on their over-the-air schedule on their website.
11-25-2019 11:21 AM
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BlazerDave Offline
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Post: #22
RE: UAB likely favored to win CUSA West Title
(11-25-2019 10:51 AM)BlazerMatt Wrote:  The Southern Miss game kicks off 30 minutes before ours on NFL Network. Our game kicks off at 3:00 on Stadium. Does anyone know if it is the Stadium channel/stream or is it locked to facebook like many of the stadium streams are?

It will air on the Stadium channel 193 on Charter Spectrum.
11-25-2019 11:23 AM
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blazers9911 Offline
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Post: #23
RE: UAB likely favored to win CUSA West Title
(11-25-2019 12:04 AM)hooverblazer Wrote:  
(11-24-2019 10:46 PM)LairDweller Wrote:  We’re 1.5 point underdogs at the moment.

If all the favorites win, looks like LT wins the division

Already flipped to UAB favored by 2.

I still show UAB at +1.5
11-25-2019 11:42 AM
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C-Finder Offline
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Post: #24
RE: UAB likely favored to win CUSA West Title
(11-25-2019 11:21 AM)blazerjay Wrote:  
(11-25-2019 10:51 AM)BlazerMatt Wrote:  The Southern Miss game kicks off 30 minutes before ours on NFL Network. Our game kicks off at 3:00 on Stadium. Does anyone know if it is the Stadium channel/stream or is it locked to facebook like many of the stadium streams are?

Channel 68 has it listed on their over-the-air schedule on their website.

WABM 68?
11-25-2019 11:44 AM
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blazerjay Offline
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Post: #25
RE: UAB likely favored to win CUSA West Title
(11-25-2019 11:44 AM)C-Finder Wrote:  
(11-25-2019 11:21 AM)blazerjay Wrote:  
(11-25-2019 10:51 AM)BlazerMatt Wrote:  The Southern Miss game kicks off 30 minutes before ours on NFL Network. Our game kicks off at 3:00 on Stadium. Does anyone know if it is the Stadium channel/stream or is it locked to facebook like many of the stadium streams are?

Channel 68 has it listed on their over-the-air schedule on their website.

WABM 68?

That would be the one.
11-25-2019 12:32 PM
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C-Finder Offline
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Post: #26
RE: UAB likely favored to win CUSA West Title
(11-25-2019 12:32 PM)blazerjay Wrote:  
(11-25-2019 11:44 AM)C-Finder Wrote:  
(11-25-2019 11:21 AM)blazerjay Wrote:  
(11-25-2019 10:51 AM)BlazerMatt Wrote:  The Southern Miss game kicks off 30 minutes before ours on NFL Network. Our game kicks off at 3:00 on Stadium. Does anyone know if it is the Stadium channel/stream or is it locked to facebook like many of the stadium streams are?

Channel 68 has it listed on their over-the-air schedule on their website.

WABM 68?

That would be the one.

Great!
(This post was last modified: 11-25-2019 01:36 PM by C-Finder.)
11-25-2019 01:31 PM
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LairDweller Offline
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Post: #27
RE: UAB likely favored to win CUSA West Title
(11-25-2019 11:42 AM)blazers9911 Wrote:  
(11-25-2019 12:04 AM)hooverblazer Wrote:  
(11-24-2019 10:46 PM)LairDweller Wrote:  We’re 1.5 point underdogs at the moment.

If all the favorites win, looks like LT wins the division

Already flipped to UAB favored by 2.

I still show UAB at +1.5

I can’t find any place that has UAB favored. I didn’t have time to look when it was mentioned last night, but I see most places opened at +1.5, and are still there
11-25-2019 02:07 PM
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uabfanman Offline
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Post: #28
RE: UAB likely favored to win CUSA West Title
I'm pretty sure only one scenario with the UAB/USM/LATech games will put us in the championship. UAB and LA Tech need to win, and USM needs to lose. Fortunately, we'll get in if each of the favorites win. That said, 5 out of 6 (83%) of the scenarios leave us on the outside of the bubble. With that in mind, I'd be curious to see a model of the probability of each team's chances.

Also, while it won't directly impact us, Marshall hosts FIU at 11 AM, 3.5 hours before the USM @ FAU game. A Marshall win will require FAU to win to get in the championship game. FAU should know around kickoff what they need to do. This may change how they approach the game, if they have game time decision injuries. I haven't gone through all the scenarios to see if and how they can still host the championship with a loss (and Marshall loss). Hopefully they need a win to host, regardless of the other results.
11-25-2019 02:12 PM
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blazers9911 Offline
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Post: #29
RE: UAB likely favored to win CUSA West Title
(11-25-2019 02:07 PM)LairDweller Wrote:  
(11-25-2019 11:42 AM)blazers9911 Wrote:  
(11-25-2019 12:04 AM)hooverblazer Wrote:  
(11-24-2019 10:46 PM)LairDweller Wrote:  We’re 1.5 point underdogs at the moment.

If all the favorites win, looks like LT wins the division

Already flipped to UAB favored by 2.

I still show UAB at +1.5

I can’t find any place that has UAB favored. I didn’t have time to look when it was mentioned last night, but I see most places opened at +1.5, and are still there

Exact same scenario for me. I looked in multiple locations as well.
11-25-2019 02:29 PM
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HiddenDragon Offline
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Post: #30
RE: UAB likely favored to win CUSA West Title
(11-23-2019 09:19 PM)Blazer85 Wrote:  Going into the final week of the regular season, UAB should be statistically favored to win the CUSA West.

I say this because UAB will likely be statistically favored to beat UNT and FAU will be favored to beat USM.

Although we will be holding our breath on that final day of the regular season CUSA action, we are the ones likely to actually be favored to win the West.

I meant to ask you what do you mean by being "statiscally favored" to beat UNT?
11-25-2019 03:40 PM
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C-Finder Offline
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Post: #31
UAB v. NT on 68!
(11-25-2019 01:31 PM)C-Finder Wrote:  
(11-25-2019 12:32 PM)blazerjay Wrote:  
(11-25-2019 11:44 AM)C-Finder Wrote:  
(11-25-2019 11:21 AM)blazerjay Wrote:  
(11-25-2019 10:51 AM)BlazerMatt Wrote:  The Southern Miss game kicks off 30 minutes before ours on NFL Network. Our game kicks off at 3:00 on Stadium. Does anyone know if it is the Stadium channel/stream or is it locked to facebook like many of the stadium streams are?

Channel 68 has it listed on their over-the-air schedule on their website.

WABM 68?

That would be the one.

Great!

It's on a local channel folks are familiar with and can find with a digital antenna!
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11-25-2019 08:05 PM
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blazr Away
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Post: #32
RE: UAB likely favored to win CUSA West Title
(11-25-2019 02:12 PM)uabfanman Wrote:  I'm pretty sure only one scenario with the UAB/USM/LATech games will put us in the championship. UAB and LA Tech need to win, and USM needs to lose. Fortunately, we'll get in if each of the favorites win. That said, 5 out of 6 (83%) of the scenarios leave us on the outside of the bubble. With that in mind, I'd be curious to see a model of the probability of each team's chances.

Also, while it won't directly impact us, Marshall hosts FIU at 11 AM, 3.5 hours before the USM @ FAU game. A Marshall win will require FAU to win to get in the championship game. FAU should know around kickoff what they need to do. This may change how they approach the game, if they have game time decision injuries. I haven't gone through all the scenarios to see if and how they can still host the championship with a loss (and Marshall loss). Hopefully they need a win to host, regardless of the other results.

If we beat UNT & USM loses to FAU then we are in the Champ Game. Doesn't matter what LaTech does. In fact, we'll be outright West Champs in that scenario since we own h2h vs LaTech. We really screwed Tech Saturday...which is just fine by me.
11-25-2019 09:35 PM
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WesternBlazer Offline
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Post: #33
RE: UAB likely favored to win CUSA West Title
http://www.conferenceusa.com/news/2019/1...arios.aspx

C-USA has changed tie breaker scenarios the last week of the season.
If Louisiana Tech, Southern Miss and UAB each win their final regular season game and finish 6-2, the tie would not be broken through the first seven tie-breakers and it would go down to average computer ranking (Anderson and Hester, Billingsley, Colley Matrix, Massey, Sagarin and Wolfe), with the highest ranked team earning a spot in the Championship.
(This post was last modified: 11-25-2019 10:28 PM by WesternBlazer.)
11-25-2019 10:28 PM
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C-Finder Offline
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Post: #34
RE: UAB likely favored to win CUSA West Title
(11-25-2019 10:28 PM)WesternBlazer Wrote:  http://www.conferenceusa.com/news/2019/1...arios.aspx

C-USA has changed tie breaker scenarios the last week of the season.
If Louisiana Tech, Southern Miss and UAB each win their final regular season game and finish 6-2, the tie would not be broken through the first seven tie-breakers and it would go down to average computer ranking (Anderson and Hester, Billingsley, Colley Matrix, Massey, Sagarin and Wolfe), with the highest ranked team earning a spot in the Championship.

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11-25-2019 10:31 PM
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Blazer85 Offline
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Post: #35
RE: UAB likely favored to win CUSA West Title
(11-25-2019 10:28 PM)WesternBlazer Wrote:  http://www.conferenceusa.com/news/2019/1...arios.aspx

C-USA has changed tie breaker scenarios the last week of the season.
If Louisiana Tech, Southern Miss and UAB each win their final regular season game and finish 6-2, the tie would not be broken through the first seven tie-breakers and it would go down to average computer ranking (Anderson and Hester, Billingsley, Colley Matrix, Massey, Sagarin and Wolfe), with the highest ranked team earning a spot in the Championship.

Timing will be questioned but I think this is a more fair/reasonable tiebreaker than who hasn’t been in the championship for the longest amount of time.

Anyone know the composite averages of the teams at this time?
11-25-2019 10:59 PM
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uabfanman Offline
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Post: #36
RE: UAB likely favored to win CUSA West Title
(11-25-2019 09:35 PM)blazr Wrote:  
(11-25-2019 02:12 PM)uabfanman Wrote:  I'm pretty sure only one scenario with the UAB/USM/LATech games will put us in the championship. UAB and LA Tech need to win, and USM needs to lose. Fortunately, we'll get in if each of the favorites win. That said, 5 out of 6 (83%) of the scenarios leave us on the outside of the bubble. With that in mind, I'd be curious to see a model of the probability of each team's chances.

Also, while it won't directly impact us, Marshall hosts FIU at 11 AM, 3.5 hours before the USM @ FAU game. A Marshall win will require FAU to win to get in the championship game. FAU should know around kickoff what they need to do. This may change how they approach the game, if they have game time decision injuries. I haven't gone through all the scenarios to see if and how they can still host the championship with a loss (and Marshall loss). Hopefully they need a win to host, regardless of the other results.

If we beat UNT & USM loses to FAU then we are in the Champ Game. Doesn't matter what LaTech does. In fact, we'll be outright West Champs in that scenario since we own h2h vs LaTech. We really screwed Tech Saturday...which is just fine by me.

Thanks, you're right.
11-26-2019 12:17 AM
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BlazinBham Offline
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Post: #37
RE: UAB likely favored to win CUSA West Title
(11-25-2019 10:59 PM)Blazer85 Wrote:  
(11-25-2019 10:28 PM)WesternBlazer Wrote:  http://www.conferenceusa.com/news/2019/1...arios.aspx

C-USA has changed tie breaker scenarios the last week of the season.
If Louisiana Tech, Southern Miss and UAB each win their final regular season game and finish 6-2, the tie would not be broken through the first seven tie-breakers and it would go down to average computer ranking (Anderson and Hester, Billingsley, Colley Matrix, Massey, Sagarin and Wolfe), with the highest ranked team earning a spot in the Championship.

Timing will be questioned but I think this is a more fair/reasonable tiebreaker than who hasn’t been in the championship for the longest amount of time.

Anyone know the composite averages of the teams at this time?

I saw a graph from someone on twitter, who posted the average rating from each of those.

Was USM, LT then UAB
50s, 60s, 70s.

SOSs pretty much is to blame for that order.
11-26-2019 05:57 AM
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Marathon Blazer Offline
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Post: #38
RE: UAB likely favored to win CUSA West Title
(11-26-2019 05:57 AM)BlazinBham Wrote:  
(11-25-2019 10:59 PM)Blazer85 Wrote:  
(11-25-2019 10:28 PM)WesternBlazer Wrote:  http://www.conferenceusa.com/news/2019/1...arios.aspx

C-USA has changed tie breaker scenarios the last week of the season.
If Louisiana Tech, Southern Miss and UAB each win their final regular season game and finish 6-2, the tie would not be broken through the first seven tie-breakers and it would go down to average computer ranking (Anderson and Hester, Billingsley, Colley Matrix, Massey, Sagarin and Wolfe), with the highest ranked team earning a spot in the Championship.

Timing will be questioned but I think this is a more fair/reasonable tiebreaker than who hasn’t been in the championship for the longest amount of time.

Anyone know the composite averages of the teams at this time?

I saw a graph from someone on twitter, who posted the average rating from each of those.

Was USM, LT then UAB
50s, 60s, 70s.

SOSs pretty much is to blame for that order.

I think it’s a wash this year, but I do like changing that rule for the future. We would lose both scenarios. USM wins both scenarios. A USM win this weekend over FAU would move them up more than a La Tech win over UTSA.
11-26-2019 08:18 AM
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BlazinBham Offline
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Post: #39
RE: UAB likely favored to win CUSA West Title
(11-26-2019 05:57 AM)BlazinBham Wrote:  
(11-25-2019 10:59 PM)Blazer85 Wrote:  
(11-25-2019 10:28 PM)WesternBlazer Wrote:  http://www.conferenceusa.com/news/2019/1...arios.aspx

C-USA has changed tie breaker scenarios the last week of the season.
If Louisiana Tech, Southern Miss and UAB each win their final regular season game and finish 6-2, the tie would not be broken through the first seven tie-breakers and it would go down to average computer ranking (Anderson and Hester, Billingsley, Colley Matrix, Massey, Sagarin and Wolfe), with the highest ranked team earning a spot in the Championship.

Timing will be questioned but I think this is a more fair/reasonable tiebreaker than who hasn’t been in the championship for the longest amount of time.

Anyone know the composite averages of the teams at this time?

I saw a graph from someone on twitter, who posted the average rating from each of those.

Was USM, LT then UAB
50s, 60s, 70s.

SOSs pretty much is to blame for that order.

Ignore this, it’s wrong. As if you didn’t already know.
11-26-2019 08:24 AM
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DragonClaw Offline
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Post: #40
RE: UAB likely favored to win CUSA West Title
Where is the So Miss vs FAU game? I hope So Miss is on the road.
11-26-2019 09:58 AM
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