GaSoEagle
Heisman
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Joined: May 2013
Reputation: 89
I Root For: Ga Southern
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Updated bowl scenario (after Week 11)
With 3 weeks left still 3 Belt teams presently bowl eligible:
App 8-1
Louisiana 7-2
Ga St 6-3
At least 2 more spots open
Ga Southern: 5-4. 3 games left— home vs ULM at Ark St and home vs Ga St. Need 1 more win. Odds seem good to get bowl eligible
Ark St: 5-4. 3 games left— home vs Coastal Car and Ga Southern and at USA. Need 1 more win. Seems like a lock to get bowl eligible.
Coastal Carolina. 4-5. 3 games left. At Ark St home vs Texas St and at ULM. Need 2 more wins. Odds probably against.
ULM. 4-5. 3 games left. At Ga Southern home vs Coastal Carolina and at Louisiana.Need 2 wins. Maybe 50/50 chance
Troy. 4-5. 3 games left. At Texas St. at Louisiana home vs App. Need 2 more wins. Maybe 50/50chance
Texas St. 3-6. 3 games left.Home vs Troy at App and at Coastal. Need all 3 wins. Odds very low
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11-13-2019 08:20 PM |
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chiefsfan
No Seriously, they let me be a mod
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I Root For: ASU
Location:
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RE: Updated bowl scenario (after Week 11)
(11-13-2019 08:20 PM)GaSoEagle Wrote: With 3 weeks left still 3 Belt teams presently bowl eligible:
App 8-1
Louisiana 7-2
Ga St 6-3
At least 2 more spots open
Ga Southern: 5-4. 3 games left— home vs ULM at Ark St and home vs Ga St. Need 1 more win. Odds seem good to get bowl eligible
Ark St: 5-4. 3 games left— home vs Coastal Car and Ga Southern and at USA. Need 1 more win. Seems like a lock to get bowl eligible.
Coastal Carolina. 4-5. 3 games left. At Ark St home vs Texas St and at ULM. Need 2 more wins. Odds probably against.
ULM. 4-5. 3 games left. At Ga Southern home vs Coastal Carolina and at Louisiana.Need 2 wins. Maybe 50/50 chance
Troy. 4-5. 3 games left. At Texas St. at Louisiana home vs App. Need 2 more wins. Maybe 50/50chance
Texas St. 3-6. 3 games left.Home vs Troy at App and at Coastal. Need all 3 wins. Odds very low
You are giving Troy a 50/50 chance of beating App or UL? That's...generous.
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11-13-2019 11:58 PM |
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slycat
Heisman
Posts: 8,698
Joined: Apr 2012
Reputation: 568
I Root For: Texas State
Location: Manvel, TX
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RE: Updated bowl scenario (after Week 11)
Knowing our luck, TXST will win out, get to 6-6, and sit home for a third time.
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11-14-2019 09:34 AM |
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asucrutch23
Special Teams
Posts: 937
Joined: Dec 2010
Reputation: 73
I Root For: App State
Location: God's Country
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RE: Updated bowl scenario (after Week 11)
(11-13-2019 11:58 PM)chiefsfan Wrote: (11-13-2019 08:20 PM)GaSoEagle Wrote: With 3 weeks left still 3 Belt teams presently bowl eligible:
App 8-1
Louisiana 7-2
Ga St 6-3
At least 2 more spots open
Ga Southern: 5-4. 3 games left— home vs ULM at Ark St and home vs Ga St. Need 1 more win. Odds seem good to get bowl eligible
Ark St: 5-4. 3 games left— home vs Coastal Car and Ga Southern and at USA. Need 1 more win. Seems like a lock to get bowl eligible.
Coastal Carolina. 4-5. 3 games left. At Ark St home vs Texas St and at ULM. Need 2 more wins. Odds probably against.
ULM. 4-5. 3 games left. At Ga Southern home vs Coastal Carolina and at Louisiana.Need 2 wins. Maybe 50/50 chance
Troy. 4-5. 3 games left. At Texas St. at Louisiana home vs App. Need 2 more wins. Maybe 50/50chance
Texas St. 3-6. 3 games left.Home vs Troy at App and at Coastal. Need all 3 wins. Odds very low
You are giving Troy a 50/50 chance of beating App or UL? That's...generous.
Yeah, FPI gives Troy about a 34% chance to beat App or UL and a 67.2% chance to beat Texas State. It's a tough road for Troy to get there, but they can do it.
TeamRankings.com gives them an 18.4% chance of bowl eligibility.
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11-14-2019 09:39 AM |
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ericsaid
Heisman
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I Root For: App. State/ECU
Location: High Point, NC
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RE: Updated bowl scenario (after Week 11)
(11-14-2019 09:39 AM)asucrutch23 Wrote: (11-13-2019 11:58 PM)chiefsfan Wrote: (11-13-2019 08:20 PM)GaSoEagle Wrote: With 3 weeks left still 3 Belt teams presently bowl eligible:
App 8-1
Louisiana 7-2
Ga St 6-3
At least 2 more spots open
Ga Southern: 5-4. 3 games left— home vs ULM at Ark St and home vs Ga St. Need 1 more win. Odds seem good to get bowl eligible
Ark St: 5-4. 3 games left— home vs Coastal Car and Ga Southern and at USA. Need 1 more win. Seems like a lock to get bowl eligible.
Coastal Carolina. 4-5. 3 games left. At Ark St home vs Texas St and at ULM. Need 2 more wins. Odds probably against.
ULM. 4-5. 3 games left. At Ga Southern home vs Coastal Carolina and at Louisiana.Need 2 wins. Maybe 50/50 chance
Troy. 4-5. 3 games left. At Texas St. at Louisiana home vs App. Need 2 more wins. Maybe 50/50chance
Texas St. 3-6. 3 games left.Home vs Troy at App and at Coastal. Need all 3 wins. Odds very low
You are giving Troy a 50/50 chance of beating App or UL? That's...generous.
Yeah, FPI gives Troy about a 34% chance to beat App or UL and a 67.2% chance to beat Texas State. It's a tough road for Troy to get there, but they can do it.
TeamRankings.com gives them an 18.4% chance of bowl eligibility.
For visibility purposes, I think it would be good for the conference if both Louisana and App went undefeated the rest of the way. Louisiana wouldn't be ranked for the championship game but they would likely be in the middle of the receiving votes crowd should they get to 10-2.
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11-14-2019 11:37 AM |
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