Update
LSU and OSU need to lose out in order to miss the playoff. Clemson needs to win out to make the playoff. With Penn State's loss, Georgia finally moves into playoff position.
Minnesota AND Wisconsin are next, should they win out, but the chances of that happening are 1 and 10% respectively, especially now that Ohio State is guaranteed to be the East representative. Michigan too dropped after the Penn State loss to Ohio State, because their potential head-to-head victory over Ohio State only comes in handy when the Buckeyes had a comparable 2 losses.
Oklahoma still has the edge over Alabama, but the gap is closing. After Georgia, these 2 teams are the most likely to accompany LSU, Clemson, and Ohio State to the playoff. Baylor and Cincinnati (not sure what the computer knows which we don't, other than it has no "P5" bias) round out the list of teams with a decent shot at making the playoff.
The Pac-12 has dropped out for good following Oregon's loss. The theoretical if highly unlikely chance that Georgia loses to GT yet beats LSU is now on the board, and Penn State's near-certain victory over Rutgers forms the final backstop for playoff hopefuls. A 1-loss Clemson, Georgia losing to LSU, and even a 10-2 Florida Gator team make appearances at least once in the 10,000 simulations.
Playoff% of record: (chance of record) +%change from last week
100% C0: Clemson (89%) +1%
100% C0: Ohio St (74%) = 0%
100% C0: LSU (53%) =0%
100% L1: LSU (31%) =+3%
100% C1: Ohio St (13%) =0%
100% L1: Ohio St (10%) =0%
100% C1: LSU (9%) =0%
99% C0: Georgia (36%) +10%
75% C0: Minnesota (1%) -19%
67% C0: Wisconsin (10%) -3%
49% C0: Oklahoma (51%) -10%
32% a0: Alabama (72%) +13%
32% C0: Cincy (27%) +1%
27% C0: Baylor (31%) -20%
15% C1: Georgia (<1%) new
15% a0: Michigan (15%) -32%
3% a0: Penn State (99%) new
<1% L1: Georgia (62%), C1: Clemson (5%), L1: Clemson (5%), a0: Florida (91%)
5 Most Common Playoff Fields: (not in rank order)
27.43% Georgia & LSU & Clemson & Ohio St
19.37% LSU & Clemson & Ohio St & Oklahoma
15.34% Alabama & LSU & Clemson & Ohio St
6.96% LSU & Clemson & Ohio St & Cincy
6.22% LSU & Clemson & Ohio St & Baylor