quo vadis
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RE: College Football Playoff Rankings - 5 November 2019
(11-06-2019 09:32 AM)stever20 Wrote: (11-06-2019 09:27 AM)quo vadis Wrote: (11-06-2019 09:12 AM)stever20 Wrote: (11-06-2019 08:06 AM)quo vadis Wrote: (11-05-2019 09:47 PM)TampaTom Wrote: The remain schedules for the five teams from the AAC and MWC are as follows...
Cincinnati - UConn, @USF, Temple, @#19 Memphis
Memphis - @Houston, @USF, #17 Cincinnati
Boise State - Wyoming, New Mexico, @Utah State, @Colorado State
Navy - @#15 Notre Dame, #23 SMU, @Houston, ARMY
SMU - East Carolina, @#25 Navy, Tulane
The AAC final stretch is absolutely 'made-for-TV'. You are staring down the barrel at a potential Top 15 matchup between Memphis and Cincinnati in the regular season, potentially repeating itself. If those teams win out prior to that game, it is basically theirs.
Navy will make an interesting case. Memphis cannot lose another game, and a win over a ranked SMU team would catapult Navy. They can afford to lose to Notre Dame.
Boise State cannot lose another game, unless the others drop the ball as well. But there is enough strength in the last few games to solidly wedge an AAC team into the NY6 spot.
Agree on most here - but Navy cannot afford to lose to Notre Dame. Two losses will be a killer. Of course if they win, that would vault them forward hugely.
Good news for Notre Dame, too, in their effort to rise into the top 12 and a possible Cotton Bowl berth. They need teams ahead of them to lose of course, but this will give the Irish a chance to beat a ranked team.
ND going to need some help. not too much though really.... They really need to root for SEC to get 2 teams in playoffs though or else...
SEC in great shape to have 4 teams in the CFP/Access bowls.. Alabama/LSU are locks. Georgia really good shot. Florida has easy schedule left and no chance to go to Atlanta just about(would take 2 Georgia losses). Could have Alabama/LSU in playoff, Georgia in Sugar, and Florida in Orange. OR- LSU in playoff, Alabama in Sugar, Georgia in Orange, and Florida in Cotton.
Yes, four SEC teams in the NY6, like last year, is very likely. Would take some unexpected upsets, like LSU not just losing to Alabama, but then to Texas A/M as well, or Florida losing to Missouri, for teams to fall out.
Because as you say, the teams that are likely to lose a game are so high ranked they will go anyway, whereas the tenuous ones, like Florida, are unlikely to lose anymore.
Even if LSU lost 2x, they're still in.
Florida would have to lose to Missouri really for the SEC to not get 4 teams in.
As someone who is partial to LSU because I live in Baton Rouge and my child went there, I would like to think so, but .... I think not. It's easy to think of LSU as an NY6 lock right now, when the only debate about them is whether they should be #1 or not, but two losses can change perceptions quickly.
Of course, the nature of the losses will matter too. If LSU loses 20-17 to Alabama, that's one thing. Lose 30-0 and that's another. The former keeps them alive for a playoff spot, the latter knocks them out, and would make another loss possibly fatal for the NY6.
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