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Memphis #21 in Initial CFP Poll
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fsquid Offline
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Post: #21
RE: Memphis #21 in Initial CFP Poll
Someone on the tweet thing posted a comparison of Cincy and WFU and Cincy beats them on every strength metric.
11-06-2019 09:01 AM
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RCM1029 Away
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Post: #22
RE: Memphis #21 in Initial CFP Poll
Minnesota is an interesting case. They could've easily lost their first four games against South Dakota State, Fresno, Georgia Southern, and Purdue. They won each of those by a TD or less, including a 2OT 3-point win over Fresno. The best team they've beaten is Georgia Southern, who is #40 according to Realtime RPI.

I'm expecting Penn State to beat Minnesota by 2 touchdowns or more on Saturday. If that happens, will Minnesota tumble like SMU did? Or will they only slip slightly because PSU is #4 in the CFP ranking? My guess is the latter since they play in one of the two true "power" conferences (B1G and SEC).
11-06-2019 09:18 AM
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RekeHavoc Offline
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Post: #23
RE: Memphis #21 in Initial CFP Poll
We might as well go ahead and prepare ourselves now to be raped by the officiating when we play Cincy.
11-06-2019 10:13 AM
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shere khan Offline
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Post: #24
RE: Memphis #21 in Initial CFP Poll
(11-06-2019 08:52 AM)Atlanta Wrote:  
(11-05-2019 09:43 PM)bluecrew Wrote:  I just don't get putting Boise ahead of SMU.

Or Wake Forest who has played NOBODY. Even Minn has played NOBODY but gets the auto rank for being in the B1G. Neither of these schools should be ranked above any of the AAC schools ranked.

And BTW, Memphis should be above Cincy simply because we have beat 2 ranked schools & have a middle SEC win.

10th is not the middle of 14
11-06-2019 10:23 AM
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rc0213 Offline
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Post: #25
RE: Memphis #21 in Initial CFP Poll
We need to win out, even the conference championship.

It's going to be a tough goal, because AAC is very tough conference, as we all now.

As Coach Norvell likes to say, "1-0" is all we are thinking.

One game at a time...

GTG!!!
11-06-2019 10:25 AM
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Tiger87 Online
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Post: #26
RE: Memphis #21 in Initial CFP Poll
As expected. Gotta keep the G5 low in the initial poll in case the preferred P5 teams lose games down the stretch.

They are sending a clear message that whoever wins out in the G5 gets the Cotton. Boise is undeserving but they are right there in the middle of all the AAC schools. Boise has beaten nobody, and has no one left. Cincy, Memphis, Navy, SMU will all have to beat at least 2 currently ranked teams in order to win out.

There are 3 teams outside the top 6 who have beaten 2 top 25 CFP ranked teams: #12 Baylor, #14 Michigan, #21 Memphis.
There are 2 teams who are 2-0 versus top 25 teams, but also have 1 loss to a team outside the top 25: #6 Georgia, #21 Memphis.
There are 2 teams ranked ahead of us who have zero top 25 wins and also have 1 "bad" loss: #8 Utah, #19 Wake Forest.
#23 Oklahoma St is 1-1 versus top 25, and has two "bad" losses. They are the only team with > 1 bad loss. They are ahead of Navy and SMU, who have zero bad losses.

Their love for Boise is silly, but the love for Utah is ridiculous. Utah has not played any top 25 teams, and they have 1 bad loss. Their average SOS (using 3 rankings) is #81. They are ranked #8.
(This post was last modified: 11-06-2019 10:29 AM by Tiger87.)
11-06-2019 10:26 AM
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shere khan Offline
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Post: #27
RE: Memphis #21 in Initial CFP Poll
So y'all are saying a secret committee has fake rankings based on media markets and bias?

Get outa here.. who'd a thunk it.

03-lmfao
11-06-2019 10:29 AM
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ShilohTiger Offline
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Post: #28
RE: Memphis #21 in Initial CFP Poll
(11-06-2019 10:26 AM)Tiger87 Wrote:  As expected. Gotta keep the G5 low in the initial poll in case the preferred P5 teams lose games down the stretch.

They are sending a clear message that whoever wins out in the G5 gets the Cotton. Boise is undeserving but they are right there in the middle of all the AAC schools. Boise has beaten nobody, and has no one left. Cincy, Memphis, Navy, SMU will all have to beat at least 2 currently ranked teams in order to win out.

There are 3 teams outside the top 6 who have beaten 2 top 25 CFP ranked teams: #12 Baylor, #14 Michigan, #21 Memphis.
There are 2 teams who are 2-0 versus top 25 teams, but also have 1 loss to a team outside the top 25: #6 Georgia, #21 Memphis.
There are 2 teams ranked ahead of us who have zero top 25 wins and also have 1 "bad" loss: #8 Utah, #19 Wake Forest.
#23 Oklahoma St is 1-1 versus top 25, and has two "bad" losses. They are the only team with > 1 bad loss. They are ahead of Navy and SMU, who have zero bad losses.

Their love for Boise is silly, but the love for Utah is ridiculous. Utah has not played any top 25 teams, and they have 1 bad loss. Their average SOS (using 3 rankings) is #81. They are ranked #8.

Good analysis. The talking heads will spend a hundred hours announcing the first CFP poll and never mention any of this....it’s like a train wreck where all the first responders go to the first class cars to check on perceived slights and bumps while the 2nd class car has full on decapitations and nobody’s paying attention....
11-06-2019 11:06 AM
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RekeHavoc Offline
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Post: #29
RE: Memphis #21 in Initial CFP Poll
You guys are forgetting about the "eye test." lol
11-06-2019 12:05 PM
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JCraft Offline
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Post: #30
RE: Memphis #21 in Initial CFP Poll
If we win out that "Secret Committee" will have a top 10 Memphis team in the Cotton Bowl, plain & simple!
11-06-2019 12:09 PM
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aardWolf Online
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Post: #31
RE: Memphis #21 in Initial CFP Poll
(11-06-2019 12:05 PM)RekeHavoc Wrote:  You guys are forgetting about the "eye test." lol

AKA the "does it say P5 next to the school name" test
11-06-2019 12:13 PM
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newtiger Offline
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Post: #32
RE: Memphis #21 in Initial CFP Poll
(11-05-2019 10:49 PM)Herff Tiger Wrote:  
(11-05-2019 10:13 PM)BigTigerMike Wrote:  
(11-05-2019 09:43 PM)bluecrew Wrote:  I just don't get putting Boise ahead of SMU.

Boise hasn’t played anybody. They beat Florida St but they are a bad team this year and other than them Boise beat a decent Air Force. That’s it

SMU:
37-30 @ Ark St
49-27 North Texas
47-17 Texas State
41-38 @ TCU, yeah good win, but has that rivalry factor
48-21 @ South Florida
43-37 3OT Tulsa, should have lost 2 or 3 times on missed FGs
45-21 Temple, "ok" win, maybe call it "good"
34-31 @ Houston
then the big L

Boise could say SMU hasn't played anybody except a down TCU and a decent Temple.

If rivalrys don't count then the LSU-BAMA game is a wash?
11-06-2019 12:16 PM
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BandwagonJumper Away
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Post: #33
RE: Memphis #21 in Initial CFP Poll

11-06-2019 12:26 PM
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Tiger87 Online
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Post: #34
RE: Memphis #21 in Initial CFP Poll
(11-06-2019 12:09 PM)JCraft Wrote:  If we win out that "Secret Committee" will have a top 10 Memphis team in the Cotton Bowl, plain & simple!

No way we would be top 10.
11-06-2019 12:27 PM
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gotigers1 Offline
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Post: #35
RE: Memphis #21 in Initial CFP Poll
(11-05-2019 09:42 PM)aardWolf Wrote:  News article incorrectly mentions Boise as an AAC school

I saw that too.....I mean that's just 200% laziness
11-06-2019 01:49 PM
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Seabee TIger Fan Offline
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Post: #36
RE: Memphis #21 in Initial CFP Poll
Interesting that all the G5schools were ranked in the bottom 5, with a 3 loss OSU in the mix. Feels like an afterthought
11-06-2019 10:01 PM
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macgar32 Offline
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Post: #37
RE: Memphis #21 in Initial CFP Poll
I would guess we move up at least 3 spots in the poll as of right now.
11-09-2019 07:26 PM
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bobby jo Offline
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Post: #38
RE: Memphis #21 in Initial CFP Poll
The biased officiating against Memphis will now be taken to a whole new level....prepare for battle and brace for impact Tiger nation!!!
11-09-2019 07:40 PM
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mem-x Offline
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Post: #39
RE: Memphis #21 in Initial CFP Poll
(11-06-2019 10:13 AM)RekeHavoc Wrote:  We might as well go ahead and prepare ourselves now to be raped by the officiating when we play Cincy.

THIS ^^^^^

03-puke
11-09-2019 07:51 PM
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Claw Offline
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Post: #40
RE: Memphis #21 in Initial CFP Poll
(11-09-2019 07:51 PM)mem-x Wrote:  
(11-06-2019 10:13 AM)RekeHavoc Wrote:  We might as well go ahead and prepare ourselves now to be raped by the officiating when we play Cincy.

THIS ^^^^^

03-puke

I disagree. I think we will be the team they are pushing this time.
11-09-2019 08:17 PM
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