DawgNBama
the Rush Limbaugh of CSNBBS
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RE: Realignment after the NIL and PFP apocalypse.
(10-03-2019 01:47 PM)JRsec Wrote: (10-03-2019 01:30 PM)ChrisLords Wrote: (10-03-2019 01:19 PM)JRsec Wrote: Full Pay for Play Group:
ACC:
Clemson
Florida State
Georgia Tech
Louisville
Miami
North Carolina
N.C. State
Notre Dame
Virginia
Virginia Tech
SEC:
Alabama
Arkansas
Auburn
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
Louisiana State
Mississippi
Mississippi State
Missouri
South Carolina
Tennessee
Big 10:
Illinois
Iowa
Maryland
Michigan
Michigan State
Minnesota
Nebraska
Northwestern
Ohio State
Penn State
Rutgers
Wisconsin
Big 12:
Iowa State
Kansas
Kansas State
Oklahoma
Oklahoma State
Texas
Texas Tech
West Virginia
PAC:
Arizona
Arizona State
California
UCLA
Colorado
Oregon
Oregon State
Stanford
USC
Utah
Washington
Washington State
Privates:
Air Force
Army
Baylor
Boston College
Duke
Navy
Pittsburgh (quasi private)
Stanford
Syracuse
Texas Christian
Vanderbilt
Wake Forest
These would be your starting base conferences. I believe the privates would separate out for all sports but football and basketball because their sports mix and their individual needs and emphasis would be quite different from the states. They would want inclusion in the two money sports, but would probably like to concentrate their Title IX in different ways. Most of those would probably still play baseball against the State schools.
I don't see any current P5 state schools opting to drop out because it simply provides them way too much exposure for prospective students to take that kind of hit.
The question then becomes how might they reorganize?
Reorganizing the whole structure to fit the playoffs would be workable at this point: So maybe the SEC and Big 10 absorb the ACC schools that are state schools:
The Big 10 might add: Virginia, North Carolina, and Georgia Tech for markets in a move to 16.
The SEC would look to add Virginia Tech, North Carolina State, Clemson, Florida State and possibly West Virginia and Louisville
The PAC picks up Iowa State, Missouri, Kansas, Kansas State, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Texas, Texas Tech
Now these moves aren't made for any other reason than Structure and including those within the P5 that want to stay there.
B1G:
Georgia Tech, Maryland, North Carolina, Virginia
Northwestern, Penn State, Iowa State (gets golden ticket only because Indiana and Purdue reclassified) Rutgers
Illinois, Michigan, Michigan State, Ohio State
Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, Wisconsin
SEC:
Kentucky, Louisville, N.C. State, Tennessee, Virginia Tech, West Virginia
Auburn, Clemson, Florida, Florida State, Georgia, South Carolina
Alabama, Arkansas, Louisiana State, Mississippi, Mississippi State, Texas A&M
PAC:
USC, Stanford, Kansas, Kansas State, Missouri, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State
Arizona, Arizona State, Colorado, Texas, Texas Tech, Utah
California, UCLA, Oregon, Oregon State, Washington, Washington State
Private:
Air Force, Stanford, Texas Christian
Army, Indiana, Purdue, Pittsburgh, Syracuse
Boston College, Duke, Navy, Wake Forest
Baylor,, Notre Dame, Vanderbilt
I hadn't factored in a possible split between publics and privates. Miami is a traditional football power, even though they haven't competed for a national championship in close to 20 years, but they don't have the financial resources of most football powers. They would probably prefer an NIL amateur league as opposed to a full pay for play league.
The Privates is really a collection of schools with different financial arrangements like the service academies. The purpose of forming it would be flexibility for schools which have to account for things differently for tax purposes, or may not be able to offer the breadth of sports the publics would. I think even Miami would want to remain at high exposure, but if they didn't B.Y.U. and Tulane would love the opportunity.
What I would envision with this is that the 4 champs and 4 at large would form the new CFP. That makes the regular season meaningful for all 4 conferences, and keeps hopes alive for other strong programs. It would meet the needs of the conferences and networks a bit better than what we have now and the Private conference doesn't lack brand recognition with N.D., USC, Stanford, Duke, Miami, etc.
When the model changes accounting and scope of programming will be bigger issues, but I think all who possibly can will want to remain for the exposure.
There are many who will gripe and moan about pay for play right now in hopes of preventing it. But when it happens and they are confronted with the fact that their schools are known because of their upper tier sports exposure they will find reasons to accommodate the new situation to keep that exposure.
With regards to the private schools, I think you have to look at them on a case by case basis. Notre Dame, USC, Stanford, BYU, and Miami won't come right out and say it, but they could easily afford to pay their players. Duke possibly could be in this group, but I think that they would prefer JR's privates group. Same thing with Wake Forest, Vandy, and BC. Northwestern is another interesting case; let's just say after seeing their indoor practice facility, I think that they could pay their players. Indiana and Purdue, even though being state schools, might prefer JR's private group also because they focus more on basketball than football, although I could be wrong. Kentucky, oddly enough, I don't see as being that way.
Regardless, what is going to be really interesting is to see how the G5 and the rest of Division I view this. Do the G5 go full pay to play as well, or do they shy away from the challenge? How will the Big East, A10, MVC, etc. view this? Do they work out some type of a deal to remain in the big tournament with the big state schools, or do they opt to do something else??
(This post was last modified: 10-04-2019 07:03 AM by DawgNBama.)
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Realignment after the NIL and PFP apocalypse.
