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Reasonable Expectations Based On Rankings
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Stammers Offline
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Post: #1
Reasonable Expectations Based On Rankings
Obviously, recruiting isn't an exact science. To get a measure of how inexact, let's look how current recruits compare to past recruits. The player's freshman season has to be factored in; so we are looking at a very serviceable freshman in CDR averaging 8.3 ppg and 31% from outside, but not the AA who averaged 18 ppg and 41.3% from outside as a junior.

The key IMO is to look at the players as positionless. Don't look at the lists and say that we don't have a point guard or we have 5 big men, or whatever. Only how each recruit performed in their freshman or sophomore seasons, depending on which player they are mirrored with.

1 WISEMAN
2 Rose
5 Tyreke

15 PRECIOUS
9 Adonis
13 Barton
18 DWash
19 Shawne Williams
20 Joe Jackson

38 BOOGIE
35 Shaq
36 Dedric
36 Iverson
37 Spoon
38 Robinson
42 King
44 Kemp

52 DJ
46 Anderson
49 Angel Garcia

58 LQ
58 CDR
62 Tarik
64 Mack

106 DANDRIDGE
101 Dominic Magee
103 Markel
106 Antwann Jones

115 BAUGH
109 Chris Crawford

131 TYLER
141 Cooper
148 Damien Wilson

158 LOMAX
155 DJ
160 Dorsey
162 Jamal Johnson

16 Maurice
17 Rivers
19 Hawkins

BEST
2 Rose
19 Shawne or DWash
36 Dedric
46 Anderson
58 Tarik or CDR
103 Markel
115 Chris Crawford
141 Kareem Cooper
160 Dorsey
17 Jimario Rivers

WORST
5 Tyreke
9 Adonis
38 Robinson
49 Angel Garcia
64 Mack
101 Dominic Magee
109 Chris Crawford
148 Damien Wilson
162 Jamal Johnson

The results are scary. At our best, I think we would be a Final Four team. At worst, we would be on the bubble of making the NCAA Tournament.
09-24-2019 03:55 PM
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cmt Offline
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Post: #2
RE: Reasonable Expectations Based On Rankings
(09-24-2019 03:55 PM)Stammers Wrote:  Obviously, recruiting isn't an exact science. To get a measure of how inexact, let's look how current recruits compare to past recruits. The player's freshman season has to be factored in; so we are looking at a very serviceable freshman in CDR averaging 8.3 ppg and 31% from outside, but not the AA who averaged 18 ppg and 41.3% from outside as a junior.

The key IMO is to look at the players as positionless. Don't look at the lists and say that we don't have a point guard or we have 5 big men, or whatever. Only how each recruit performed in their freshman or sophomore seasons, depending on which player they are mirrored with.

1 WISEMAN
2 Rose
5 Tyreke

15 PRECIOUS
9 Adonis
13 Barton
18 DWash
19 Shawne Williams
20 Joe Jackson

38 BOOGIE
35 Shaq
36 Dedric
36 Iverson
37 Spoon
38 Robinson
42 King
44 Kemp

52 DJ
46 Anderson
49 Angel Garcia

58 LQ
58 CDR
62 Tarik
64 Mack

106 DANDRIDGE
101 Dominic Magee
103 Markel
106 Antwann Jones

115 BAUGH
109 Chris Crawford

131 TYLER
141 Cooper
148 Damien Wilson

158 LOMAX
155 DJ
160 Dorsey
162 Jamal Johnson

16 Maurice
17 Rivers
19 Hawkins

BEST
2 Rose
19 Shawne or DWash
36 Dedric
46 Anderson
58 Tarik or CDR
103 Markel
115 Chris Crawford
141 Kareem Cooper
160 Dorsey
17 Jimario Rivers

WORST
5 Tyreke
9 Adonis
38 Robinson
49 Angel Garcia
64 Mack
101 Dominic Magee
109 Chris Crawford
148 Damien Wilson
162 Jamal Johnson

The results are scary. At our best, I think we would be a Final Four team. At worst, we would be on the bubble of making the NCAA Tournament.

Why don't you add even more rankings by year. These guys are all on the team THIS year. We have never had this much talent on the same team.
09-24-2019 04:19 PM
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memtigbb Offline
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Post: #3
RE: Reasonable Expectations Based On Rankings
Every year, no matter what my expectation is Sweet 16. It doesn't change for the bad years or the good years.
09-24-2019 04:35 PM
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bubbapt Offline
Uh, what?
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Post: #4
RE: Reasonable Expectations Based On Rankings
Worst case, the schedule turns out to be weak, and Memphis ends up an 8 seed.

There is no ceiling on the upside.
09-24-2019 06:58 PM
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uskjtc02 Away
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Post: #5
RE: Reasonable Expectations Based On Rankings
(09-24-2019 03:55 PM)Stammers Wrote:  Obviously, recruiting isn't an exact science. To get a measure of how inexact, let's look how current recruits compare to past recruits. The player's freshman season has to be factored in; so we are looking at a very serviceable freshman in CDR averaging 8.3 ppg and 31% from outside, but not the AA who averaged 18 ppg and 41.3% from outside as a junior.

The key IMO is to look at the players as positionless. Don't look at the lists and say that we don't have a point guard or we have 5 big men, or whatever. Only how each recruit performed in their freshman or sophomore seasons, depending on which player they are mirrored with.

1 WISEMAN
2 Rose
5 Tyreke

15 PRECIOUS
9 Adonis
13 Barton
18 DWash
19 Shawne Williams
20 Joe Jackson

38 BOOGIE
35 Shaq
36 Dedric
36 Iverson
37 Spoon
38 Robinson
42 King
44 Kemp

52 DJ
46 Anderson
49 Angel Garcia

58 LQ
58 CDR
62 Tarik
64 Mack

106 DANDRIDGE
101 Dominic Magee
103 Markel
106 Antwann Jones

115 BAUGH
109 Chris Crawford

131 TYLER
141 Cooper
148 Damien Wilson

158 LOMAX
155 DJ
160 Dorsey
162 Jamal Johnson

16 Maurice
17 Rivers
19 Hawkins

BEST
2 Rose
19 Shawne or DWash
36 Dedric
46 Anderson
58 Tarik or CDR
103 Markel
115 Chris Crawford
141 Kareem Cooper
160 Dorsey
17 Jimario Rivers

WORST
5 Tyreke
9 Adonis
38 Robinson
49 Angel Garcia
64 Mack
101 Dominic Magee
109 Chris Crawford
148 Damien Wilson
162 Jamal Johnson

The results are scary. At our best, I think we would be a Final Four team. At worst, we would be on the bubble of making the NCAA Tournament.

No way we’re a bubble team. 01-wingedeagle
09-24-2019 10:44 PM
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AlonsoWDC Offline
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Post: #6
RE: Reasonable Expectations Based On Rankings
I mean, he did say at worst.

A metric sh*t tonne of injuries could very well do that.
(This post was last modified: 09-24-2019 10:46 PM by AlonsoWDC.)
09-24-2019 10:46 PM
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