Stammers
Legend
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I Root For: Memphis
Location: Montreal, Canada
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Reasonable Expectations Based On Rankings
Obviously, recruiting isn't an exact science. To get a measure of how inexact, let's look how current recruits compare to past recruits. The player's freshman season has to be factored in; so we are looking at a very serviceable freshman in CDR averaging 8.3 ppg and 31% from outside, but not the AA who averaged 18 ppg and 41.3% from outside as a junior.
The key IMO is to look at the players as positionless. Don't look at the lists and say that we don't have a point guard or we have 5 big men, or whatever. Only how each recruit performed in their freshman or sophomore seasons, depending on which player they are mirrored with.
1 WISEMAN
2 Rose
5 Tyreke
15 PRECIOUS
9 Adonis
13 Barton
18 DWash
19 Shawne Williams
20 Joe Jackson
38 BOOGIE
35 Shaq
36 Dedric
36 Iverson
37 Spoon
38 Robinson
42 King
44 Kemp
52 DJ
46 Anderson
49 Angel Garcia
58 LQ
58 CDR
62 Tarik
64 Mack
106 DANDRIDGE
101 Dominic Magee
103 Markel
106 Antwann Jones
115 BAUGH
109 Chris Crawford
131 TYLER
141 Cooper
148 Damien Wilson
158 LOMAX
155 DJ
160 Dorsey
162 Jamal Johnson
16 Maurice
17 Rivers
19 Hawkins
BEST
2 Rose
19 Shawne or DWash
36 Dedric
46 Anderson
58 Tarik or CDR
103 Markel
115 Chris Crawford
141 Kareem Cooper
160 Dorsey
17 Jimario Rivers
WORST
5 Tyreke
9 Adonis
38 Robinson
49 Angel Garcia
64 Mack
101 Dominic Magee
109 Chris Crawford
148 Damien Wilson
162 Jamal Johnson
The results are scary. At our best, I think we would be a Final Four team. At worst, we would be on the bubble of making the NCAA Tournament.
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09-24-2019 03:55 PM |
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cmt
Heisman
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Reputation: 631
I Root For:
Location:
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RE: Reasonable Expectations Based On Rankings
(09-24-2019 03:55 PM)Stammers Wrote: Obviously, recruiting isn't an exact science. To get a measure of how inexact, let's look how current recruits compare to past recruits. The player's freshman season has to be factored in; so we are looking at a very serviceable freshman in CDR averaging 8.3 ppg and 31% from outside, but not the AA who averaged 18 ppg and 41.3% from outside as a junior.
The key IMO is to look at the players as positionless. Don't look at the lists and say that we don't have a point guard or we have 5 big men, or whatever. Only how each recruit performed in their freshman or sophomore seasons, depending on which player they are mirrored with.
1 WISEMAN
2 Rose
5 Tyreke
15 PRECIOUS
9 Adonis
13 Barton
18 DWash
19 Shawne Williams
20 Joe Jackson
38 BOOGIE
35 Shaq
36 Dedric
36 Iverson
37 Spoon
38 Robinson
42 King
44 Kemp
52 DJ
46 Anderson
49 Angel Garcia
58 LQ
58 CDR
62 Tarik
64 Mack
106 DANDRIDGE
101 Dominic Magee
103 Markel
106 Antwann Jones
115 BAUGH
109 Chris Crawford
131 TYLER
141 Cooper
148 Damien Wilson
158 LOMAX
155 DJ
160 Dorsey
162 Jamal Johnson
16 Maurice
17 Rivers
19 Hawkins
BEST
2 Rose
19 Shawne or DWash
36 Dedric
46 Anderson
58 Tarik or CDR
103 Markel
115 Chris Crawford
141 Kareem Cooper
160 Dorsey
17 Jimario Rivers
WORST
5 Tyreke
9 Adonis
38 Robinson
49 Angel Garcia
64 Mack
101 Dominic Magee
109 Chris Crawford
148 Damien Wilson
162 Jamal Johnson
The results are scary. At our best, I think we would be a Final Four team. At worst, we would be on the bubble of making the NCAA Tournament.
Why don't you add even more rankings by year. These guys are all on the team THIS year. We have never had this much talent on the same team.
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09-24-2019 04:19 PM |
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memtigbb
Hall of Famer
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Joined: Dec 2008
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I Root For: memphis
Location:
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RE: Reasonable Expectations Based On Rankings
Every year, no matter what my expectation is Sweet 16. It doesn't change for the bad years or the good years.
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09-24-2019 04:35 PM |
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bubbapt
Uh, what?
Posts: 12,894
Joined: Dec 2006
Reputation: 480
I Root For: Memphis
Location: St. Louis
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RE: Reasonable Expectations Based On Rankings
Worst case, the schedule turns out to be weak, and Memphis ends up an 8 seed.
There is no ceiling on the upside.
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09-24-2019 06:58 PM |
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uskjtc02
Heisman
Posts: 7,631
Joined: May 2008
Reputation: 596
I Root For: Memphis Tigers
Location: Tunica
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RE: Reasonable Expectations Based On Rankings
(09-24-2019 03:55 PM)Stammers Wrote: Obviously, recruiting isn't an exact science. To get a measure of how inexact, let's look how current recruits compare to past recruits. The player's freshman season has to be factored in; so we are looking at a very serviceable freshman in CDR averaging 8.3 ppg and 31% from outside, but not the AA who averaged 18 ppg and 41.3% from outside as a junior.
The key IMO is to look at the players as positionless. Don't look at the lists and say that we don't have a point guard or we have 5 big men, or whatever. Only how each recruit performed in their freshman or sophomore seasons, depending on which player they are mirrored with.
1 WISEMAN
2 Rose
5 Tyreke
15 PRECIOUS
9 Adonis
13 Barton
18 DWash
19 Shawne Williams
20 Joe Jackson
38 BOOGIE
35 Shaq
36 Dedric
36 Iverson
37 Spoon
38 Robinson
42 King
44 Kemp
52 DJ
46 Anderson
49 Angel Garcia
58 LQ
58 CDR
62 Tarik
64 Mack
106 DANDRIDGE
101 Dominic Magee
103 Markel
106 Antwann Jones
115 BAUGH
109 Chris Crawford
131 TYLER
141 Cooper
148 Damien Wilson
158 LOMAX
155 DJ
160 Dorsey
162 Jamal Johnson
16 Maurice
17 Rivers
19 Hawkins
BEST
2 Rose
19 Shawne or DWash
36 Dedric
46 Anderson
58 Tarik or CDR
103 Markel
115 Chris Crawford
141 Kareem Cooper
160 Dorsey
17 Jimario Rivers
WORST
5 Tyreke
9 Adonis
38 Robinson
49 Angel Garcia
64 Mack
101 Dominic Magee
109 Chris Crawford
148 Damien Wilson
162 Jamal Johnson
The results are scary. At our best, I think we would be a Final Four team. At worst, we would be on the bubble of making the NCAA Tournament.
No way we’re a bubble team.
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09-24-2019 10:44 PM |
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AlonsoWDC
Hall of Famer
Posts: 10,641
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Reputation: 935
I Root For: Memphis
Location: East Memphis
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RE: Reasonable Expectations Based On Rankings
I mean, he did say at worst.
A metric sh*t tonne of injuries could very well do that.
(This post was last modified: 09-24-2019 10:46 PM by AlonsoWDC.)
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09-24-2019 10:46 PM |
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