(05-13-2019 11:18 PM)DustMyBroom Wrote:  

(05-13-2019 09:59 PM)eaglenjxn Wrote:  

(05-13-2019 10:30 AM)ODUDrunkard13 Wrote:  

(05-13-2019 09:15 AM)eaglenjxn Wrote:  I think this pretty much sums up our team:

-We are 15–17 against teams with an RPI of 162 or better’(FIU being the reason for that marker)
-17-0 against teams below that.

We are very good at beating bad teams but struggle against average competition.

Guessing that's not based on current RPI? Y'all swept ODU who is currently 68th.

Yes, this is based on current. So ODU is in that 15–17 record.

Y’all looked horrible that weekend in Hattiesburg—like well below 200 RPI bad. The Friday and Saturday games were painful. Walks, hit by pitches, and your lineup was overwhelmed by pretty mediocre pitching all weekend.

Same for LA Tech when we swept them. Tons of walks and poor defense. We went on the road and really didn’t play well at all and swept them pretty easily.

Based on those early series, I expected Tech to be bottom half of the conference and ODU to maybe be the worst.

Obviously, those series were uncharacteristic of each team or both improved as the year went on.

Don’t mind me...just felt like putting in bold the thing we never seem to do under Berry.

Or how about "do something once you get to a regional"
2010: 1-2 (3 seed and we beat the 4 seed)
2011: 0-2 (2 seed)
2012: no regional
2013: no regional
2014: no regional
2015: no regional
2016: 1-2 (2 seed and we beat the 3 seed)
2017: 2-2 (hosted regional, 1 seed, beat 3 seed and 4 seed but then lost back to back to 2 seed in championship game)
2018: 1-2 (2 seed and beat the 3 seed)

So in 5 regionals under Berry we've never beaten a 1 or 2 seed, and only once have we won more than once.

(05-14-2019 10:26 AM)usm99 Wrote:  

(05-13-2019 11:18 PM)DustMyBroom Wrote:  

(05-13-2019 09:59 PM)eaglenjxn Wrote:  

(05-13-2019 10:30 AM)ODUDrunkard13 Wrote:  

(05-13-2019 09:15 AM)eaglenjxn Wrote:  I think this pretty much sums up our team:

-We are 15–17 against teams with an RPI of 162 or better’(FIU being the reason for that marker)
-17-0 against teams below that.

We are very good at beating bad teams but struggle against average competition.

Guessing that's not based on current RPI? Y'all swept ODU who is currently 68th.

Yes, this is based on current. So ODU is in that 15–17 record.

Y’all looked horrible that weekend in Hattiesburg—like well below 200 RPI bad. The Friday and Saturday games were painful. Walks, hit by pitches, and your lineup was overwhelmed by pretty mediocre pitching all weekend.

Same for LA Tech when we swept them. Tons of walks and poor defense. We went on the road and really didn’t play well at all and swept them pretty easily.

Based on those early series, I expected Tech to be bottom half of the conference and ODU to maybe be the worst.

Obviously, those series were uncharacteristic of each team or both improved as the year went on.

Don’t mind me...just felt like putting in bold the thing we never seem to do under Berry.

Or how about "do something once you get to a regional"
2010: 1-2 (3 seed and we beat the 4 seed)
2011: 0-2 (2 seed)
2012: no regional
2013: no regional
2014: no regional
2015: no regional
2016: 1-2 (2 seed and we beat the 3 seed)
2017: 2-2 (hosted regional, 1 seed, beat 3 seed and 4 seed but then lost back to back to 2 seed in championship game)
2018: 1-2 (2 seed and beat the 3 seed)

So in 5 regionals under Berry we've never beaten a 1 or 2 seed, and only once have we won more than once.

This was very interesting, so I wanted to take a look at Mac too.

2010: 2-2 (2 seed in Gainesville)
2011: no regional
2012: no regional
2013: 3-2 (2 seed in Chapel Hill) *We lost in extra innings.
2014: no regional
2015: 2-2 (2 seed in Gainesville)
2016: 1-2 (2 seed in Coral Gables)
2017: no regional
2018: 3-2 (3 seed in Gainesville)

I'm a bit surprised at how well Mac has performed overall in regionals as our rosters are never well-suited for tournament-style play. We certainly don't perform as well in conference tournaments.

Huge game @Mississippi State for Louisiana Tech tonight. A win could boost their RPI to ~45. Good luck!

One thing Berry has done/continued to do is produce a consistent winning record

Consecutive 30 win seasons:
1 - FSU (55)
2 - Clemson (45)
3 - Cal St Fullerton (44)
4 - Ole Miss (23)
5 - UNC (22)
6 - South Carolina (22)
7 - Southern Miss (18)

South Carolina and Fullerton are in danger of adding to their streaks while the other 5 have reached 30 this year. South Carolina is at 26 wins on the season and should get 27 tonight but then they go to #5 Mississippi St this weekend. They are tied for last place in the SEC and only the top 12 (of 14) make the SEC tournament. Fullerton only has 22 wins and has 2 conference weekends left but the Big West doesn't do a conference tournament. With a RPI of 108 there is no chance of them reaching 30 as their final 2 opponents have RPIs of 186 and 228 so at best their record would be 28-25 with a RPI in the low 90s. They are 7 games out of 1st so they can't win the automatic bid.

(05-14-2019 11:34 AM)owlumni Wrote:  

(05-14-2019 10:26 AM)usm99 Wrote:  

(05-13-2019 11:18 PM)DustMyBroom Wrote:  

(05-13-2019 09:59 PM)eaglenjxn Wrote:  

(05-13-2019 10:30 AM)ODUDrunkard13 Wrote:  Guessing that's not based on current RPI? Y'all swept ODU who is currently 68th.

Yes, this is based on current. So ODU is in that 15–17 record.

Y’all looked horrible that weekend in Hattiesburg—like well below 200 RPI bad. The Friday and Saturday games were painful. Walks, hit by pitches, and your lineup was overwhelmed by pretty mediocre pitching all weekend.

Same for LA Tech when we swept them. Tons of walks and poor defense. We went on the road and really didn’t play well at all and swept them pretty easily.

Based on those early series, I expected Tech to be bottom half of the conference and ODU to maybe be the worst.

Obviously, those series were uncharacteristic of each team or both improved as the year went on.

Don’t mind me...just felt like putting in bold the thing we never seem to do under Berry.

Or how about "do something once you get to a regional"
2010: 1-2 (3 seed and we beat the 4 seed)
2011: 0-2 (2 seed)
2012: no regional
2013: no regional
2014: no regional
2015: no regional
2016: 1-2 (2 seed and we beat the 3 seed)
2017: 2-2 (hosted regional, 1 seed, beat 3 seed and 4 seed but then lost back to back to 2 seed in championship game)
2018: 1-2 (2 seed and beat the 3 seed)

So in 5 regionals under Berry we've never beaten a 1 or 2 seed, and only once have we won more than once.

This was very interesting, so I wanted to take a look at Mac too.

2010: 2-2 (2 seed in Gainesville)
2011: no regional
2012: no regional
2013: 3-2 (2 seed in Chapel Hill) *We lost in extra innings.
2014: no regional
2015: 2-2 (2 seed in Gainesville)
2016: 1-2 (2 seed in Coral Gables)
2017: no regional
2018: 3-2 (3 seed in Gainesville)

I'm a bit surprised at how well Mac has performed overall in regionals as our rosters are never well-suited for tournament-style play. We certainly don't perform as well in conference tournaments.

I usually think of FAU teams as having a deep pitching staff by C-USA standards but lacking elite arms. I could see y’all struggling that first game when #1 starters and top relievers match up but winning the second and third games with superior 2 and 3 starters and bullpen depth.

We are usually the opposite, having an elite ace and reliever (thus, doing well in the opener) but lacking the complimentary starters and bullpen depth (and struggling in games 2 and 3). This year, we kind of lack all of those.

(05-14-2019 02:55 PM)eaglenjxn Wrote:  

(05-14-2019 11:34 AM)owlumni Wrote:  

(05-14-2019 10:26 AM)usm99 Wrote:  

(05-13-2019 11:18 PM)DustMyBroom Wrote:  

(05-13-2019 09:59 PM)eaglenjxn Wrote:  Yes, this is based on current. So ODU is in that 15–17 record.

Y’all looked horrible that weekend in Hattiesburg—like well below 200 RPI bad. The Friday and Saturday games were painful. Walks, hit by pitches, and your lineup was overwhelmed by pretty mediocre pitching all weekend.

Same for LA Tech when we swept them. Tons of walks and poor defense. We went on the road and really didn’t play well at all and swept them pretty easily.

Based on those early series, I expected Tech to be bottom half of the conference and ODU to maybe be the worst.

Obviously, those series were uncharacteristic of each team or both improved as the year went on.

Don’t mind me...just felt like putting in bold the thing we never seem to do under Berry.

Or how about "do something once you get to a regional"
2010: 1-2 (3 seed and we beat the 4 seed)
2011: 0-2 (2 seed)
2012: no regional
2013: no regional
2014: no regional
2015: no regional
2016: 1-2 (2 seed and we beat the 3 seed)
2017: 2-2 (hosted regional, 1 seed, beat 3 seed and 4 seed but then lost back to back to 2 seed in championship game)
2018: 1-2 (2 seed and beat the 3 seed)

So in 5 regionals under Berry we've never beaten a 1 or 2 seed, and only once have we won more than once.

This was very interesting, so I wanted to take a look at Mac too.

2010: 2-2 (2 seed in Gainesville)
2011: no regional
2012: no regional
2013: 3-2 (2 seed in Chapel Hill) *We lost in extra innings.
2014: no regional
2015: 2-2 (2 seed in Gainesville)
2016: 1-2 (2 seed in Coral Gables)
2017: no regional
2018: 3-2 (3 seed in Gainesville)

I'm a bit surprised at how well Mac has performed overall in regionals as our rosters are never well-suited for tournament-style play. We certainly don't perform as well in conference tournaments.

I usually think of FAU teams as having a deep pitching staff by C-USA standards but lacking elite arms. I could see y’all struggling that first game when #1 starters and top relievers match up but winning the second and third games with superior 2 and 3 starters and bullpen depth.

We are usually the opposite, having an elite ace and reliever (thus, doing well in the opener) but lacking the complimentary starters and bullpen depth (and struggling in games 2 and 3). This year, we kind of lack all of those.

I think you summed it up perfectly. (And we actually did lose every first game of those regionals.)

(05-14-2019 03:54 PM)owlumni Wrote:  

(05-14-2019 02:55 PM)eaglenjxn Wrote:  

(05-14-2019 11:34 AM)owlumni Wrote:  

(05-14-2019 10:26 AM)usm99 Wrote:  

(05-13-2019 11:18 PM)DustMyBroom Wrote:  Don’t mind me...just felt like putting in bold the thing we never seem to do under Berry.

Or how about "do something once you get to a regional"
2010: 1-2 (3 seed and we beat the 4 seed)
2011: 0-2 (2 seed)
2012: no regional
2013: no regional
2014: no regional
2015: no regional
2016: 1-2 (2 seed and we beat the 3 seed)
2017: 2-2 (hosted regional, 1 seed, beat 3 seed and 4 seed but then lost back to back to 2 seed in championship game)
2018: 1-2 (2 seed and beat the 3 seed)

So in 5 regionals under Berry we've never beaten a 1 or 2 seed, and only once have we won more than once.

This was very interesting, so I wanted to take a look at Mac too.

2010: 2-2 (2 seed in Gainesville)
2011: no regional
2012: no regional
2013: 3-2 (2 seed in Chapel Hill) *We lost in extra innings.
2014: no regional
2015: 2-2 (2 seed in Gainesville)
2016: 1-2 (2 seed in Coral Gables)
2017: no regional
2018: 3-2 (3 seed in Gainesville)

I'm a bit surprised at how well Mac has performed overall in regionals as our rosters are never well-suited for tournament-style play. We certainly don't perform as well in conference tournaments.

I usually think of FAU teams as having a deep pitching staff by C-USA standards but lacking elite arms. I could see y’all struggling that first game when #1 starters and top relievers match up but winning the second and third games with superior 2 and 3 starters and bullpen depth.

We are usually the opposite, having an elite ace and reliever (thus, doing well in the opener) but lacking the complimentary starters and bullpen depth (and struggling in games 2 and 3). This year, we kind of lack all of those.

I think you summed it up perfectly. (And we actually did lose every first game of those regionals.)

Six more regional wins than us with the same number of regional appearances over the same number of years. We’ve been conference champions three years in a row.

Nobody ever seems to “emerge” or “solidify” their roster spot under Berry. Instead, we always seem to bounce between guys until we settle on whomever has the least glaring faults, then put up with those faults until we lose our regional. I get that college players get very limited time with their coaches, but can’t we spend just a little bit of that time working on improving the starters’ fundamentals?

Or maybe I should just accept that it’s our luck. We seem to like turning three DPs while pitching a great game, only to give up three unearned runs on two ugly errors while losing on a walk off wild pitch.

Rice beat UH tonight to win the "Silver Glove." Won the bookends, choked away the middle game.

A silver lining in this crappy season.

(05-14-2019 10:22 PM)ExcitedOwl18 Wrote:  Rice beat UH tonight to win the "Silver Glove." Won the bookends, choked away the middle game.

A silver lining in this crappy season.

Y’all could honestly win the conference tournament

And not because of the cliched “Look our for Rice!” reason but just because this conference is a straight up dumpster fire.

(05-14-2019 10:38 PM)eaglenjxn Wrote:  

(05-14-2019 10:22 PM)ExcitedOwl18 Wrote:  Rice beat UH tonight to win the "Silver Glove." Won the bookends, choked away the middle game.

A silver lining in this crappy season.

Y’all could honestly win the conference tournament

And not because of the cliched “Look our for Rice!” reason but just because this conference is a straight up dumpster fire.

I’m kind of nervous about FAU but otherwise I agree that there isn’t a clear favorite.

USM beat Troy 12-2.

Freshman Gabe Shepard threw 5 innings and K'd 9. Didn't give up a run and allowed just 3 hits and 2 walks. Was 93-95 and bumped a 96 occasionally. He's been on a pitch count because he's a TJ guy but they're starting to extend him. Very likely he's a weekend starter, probably on Fridays, in the future for us.

Wallner was warming up in the pen leading to rumors that he could start for us this weekend and in the C-USA tourney (and hopefully a regional).