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Elon (Saturday, Jan 26, 4 PM)
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Elon (Saturday, Jan 26, 4 PM)
Posting this now because I will be leaving for NYC tomorrow thru Sunday. Meaning someone else will be on the PA Mic for both games this week!


Projected Starting 5 (CAA Stats Only)

PG Nathan Priddy (6-2 so.): 6.7 ppg, 3.0 apg, 3.3 rpg, 1.5 A/TO
SG Steven Santa Ana (6-4 sr.): 16.0 ppg, 6.3 rpg, 2.4 apg, .846 FT %
G Kris Wooten (6-3 fr.): 5.4 ppg, 1.0 apg, 1.6 rpg, 0.4 spg
PF Chuck Hannah (6-6 fr.): 5.0 ppg, 2.9 rpg, .556 FG %, 0.4 bpg
C Tyler Seibring (6-9 sr.): 18.6 ppg, 5.4 rpg, .419 3-pt %, 0.4 bpg

Key Bench Players

G Sheldon Eberhardt (6-5 sr.): 10.3 ppg, 2.6 apg, 0.9 spg, 24.0 mpg
F Federico Poser (6-8 fr.): 3.6 ppg, 1.4 apg, 1.7 rpg, 14.3 mpg

Injured: Out for Season

G Dainan Swoope (6-0 sr.): NO CAA STATS (started 5 non-conference games)

The Road So Far

Record vs. D-I: 4-14
CAA Record: 2-5 (t-8th)
NET: # 309
RPI: # 303
KenPom Overall Efficiency: # 328
KenPom Offense: # 290
KenPom Defense: # 329
Best Win: @ William & Mary
Worst Losses: neutral vs. UC Riverside (4-13), vs. Towson

Team Strengths

* Free Throw Shooting: The Phoenix haven't made many trips to the charity stripe; their 92 attempts in CAA play ranks only ahead of Towson's 87. But they've at least made the most of their opportunities when they get there, shooting at a .793 clip to rank 2nd in the league. 3 key players (Priddy, Hannah, Eberhardt) are perfect so far in CAA play, combining to sink all 14 of their combined attempts. Santa Ana (.846) and Seibring (.829) are also elite in this category among their league peers, ranking 6th and 7th in the league, respectively. If Elon could only build more late leads, this ability to knock down free throws would help them a lot more than it has.

Team Weaknesses

* Rebounding: Elon are last in the league in rebounding margin, at -4.9. This tends to happen when your scoring margin is -7.0 and you shoot just .434 from the field (8th), but its clear this is still an area of weakness for the Phoenix. This is made evident by their 31.6 offensive rebounds, which ranks 9th. Running a 4-guard lineup is part of it, but teams can and have rebounding well despite that. Their biggest problem is not having a true 5. Seibring is a stretch 5, and at 225 lbs throughout his career has never proven to be comfortable battling on the blocks for boards. Nor is the freshman Hannah helping in the department much either. That leaves 6-4 Santa Ana, who has led the team in rebounding this season. He is also the only Elon player in the Top 15 in rebounding in league play.

* Ballhandling/Point Guard Play: Or lack thereof, as it were. As a team, the Phoenix rank 9th in the league in Assist/Turnover Ratio, and lack of a capable point guard has been the biggest reason for this area of weakness. Priddy and Eberhardt have done their best to fill the void left in the backcourt by Dainan Swoope, who was lost for season 5 games into the 2018-19 campaign. But Priddy is not experienced enough, while the senior Eberhardt evidently hasn't earned the trust of Matt Matheny to enter the starting lineup regularly just yet.

* Turnovers: Alluded to in the previous paragraph, turnovers have been a big issue for Elon. They rank 9th in turnover margin (-2.71), saved only by our Seahawks (-3.00) from being last in the category. And it's not at all a close gap between the Phoenix and # 8 William & Mary (-1.14). Point guard duo Priddy and Eberhardt have combined for 31 turnovers in the first 7 games of league play. Meanwhile, Santa Ana leads the team in the category (20), but this is likely more of a byproduct of having the ball in his hands more than any other player and perhaps trying to do too much on occasion. In any case, the Phoenix are turning the ball over way too much, and aren't doing anything to force mistakes out of the opposition, averaging just 3.1 steals per games as a team (9th).
01-23-2019 12:47 PM
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solohawks Offline
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RE: Elon (Saturday, Jan 26, 4 PM)
Must win game if we want to keep out of play in game range

Gotta think the team is feeling confident after tonight
01-24-2019 10:52 PM
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Seahawk Nation 08 Online
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RE: Elon (Saturday, Jan 26, 4 PM)
Elon fell to Charleston tonight, 72-53.
01-24-2019 11:07 PM
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HAWKING Offline
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RE: Elon (Saturday, Jan 26, 4 PM)
(01-23-2019 12:47 PM)Seahawk Nation 08 Wrote:  Posting this now because I will be leaving for NYC tomorrow thru Sunday. Meaning someone else will be on the PA Mic for both games this week!


Projected Starting 5 (CAA Stats Only)

PG Nathan Priddy (6-2 so.): 6.7 ppg, 3.0 apg, 3.3 rpg, 1.5 A/TO
SG Steven Santa Ana (6-4 sr.): 16.0 ppg, 6.3 rpg, 2.4 apg, .846 FT %
G Kris Wooten (6-3 fr.): 5.4 ppg, 1.0 apg, 1.6 rpg, 0.4 spg
PF Chuck Hannah (6-6 fr.): 5.0 ppg, 2.9 rpg, .556 FG %, 0.4 bpg
C Tyler Seibring (6-9 sr.): 18.6 ppg, 5.4 rpg, .419 3-pt %, 0.4 bpg

Key Bench Players

G Sheldon Eberhardt (6-5 sr.): 10.3 ppg, 2.6 apg, 0.9 spg, 24.0 mpg
F Federico Poser (6-8 fr.): 3.6 ppg, 1.4 apg, 1.7 rpg, 14.3 mpg

Injured: Out for Season

G Dainan Swoope (6-0 sr.): NO CAA STATS (started 5 non-conference games)

The Road So Far

Record vs. D-I: 4-14
CAA Record: 2-5 (t-8th)
NET: # 309
RPI: # 303
KenPom Overall Efficiency: # 328
KenPom Offense: # 290
KenPom Defense: # 329
Best Win: @ William & Mary
Worst Losses: neutral vs. UC Riverside (4-13), vs. Towson

Team Strengths

* Free Throw Shooting: The Phoenix haven't made many trips to the charity stripe; their 92 attempts in CAA play ranks only ahead of Towson's 87. But they've at least made the most of their opportunities when they get there, shooting at a .793 clip to rank 2nd in the league. 3 key players (Priddy, Hannah, Eberhardt) are perfect so far in CAA play, combining to sink all 14 of their combined attempts. Santa Ana (.846) and Seibring (.829) are also elite in this category among their league peers, ranking 6th and 7th in the league, respectively. If Elon could only build more late leads, this ability to knock down free throws would help them a lot more than it has.

Team Weaknesses

* Rebounding: Elon are last in the league in rebounding margin, at -4.9. This tends to happen when your scoring margin is -7.0 and you shoot just .434 from the field (8th), but its clear this is still an area of weakness for the Phoenix. This is made evident by their 31.6 offensive rebounds, which ranks 9th. Running a 4-guard lineup is part of it, but teams can and have rebounding well despite that. Their biggest problem is not having a true 5. Seibring is a stretch 5, and at 225 lbs throughout his career has never proven to be comfortable battling on the blocks for boards. Nor is the freshman Hannah helping in the department much either. That leaves 6-4 Santa Ana, who has led the team in rebounding this season. He is also the only Elon player in the Top 15 in rebounding in league play.

* Ballhandling/Point Guard Play: Or lack thereof, as it were. As a team, the Phoenix rank 9th in the league in Assist/Turnover Ratio, and lack of a capable point guard has been the biggest reason for this area of weakness. Priddy and Eberhardt have done their best to fill the void left in the backcourt by Dainan Swoope, who was lost for season 5 games into the 2018-19 campaign. But Priddy is not experienced enough, while the senior Eberhardt evidently hasn't earned the trust of Matt Matheny to enter the starting lineup regularly just yet.

* Turnovers: Alluded to in the previous paragraph, turnovers have been a big issue for Elon. They rank 9th in turnover margin (-2.71), saved only by our Seahawks (-3.00) from being last in the category. And it's not at all a close gap between the Phoenix and # 8 William & Mary (-1.14). Point guard duo Priddy and Eberhardt have combined for 31 turnovers in the first 7 games of league play. Meanwhile, Santa Ana leads the team in the category (20), but this is likely more of a byproduct of having the ball in his hands more than any other player and perhaps trying to do too much on occasion. In any case, the Phoenix are turning the ball over way too much, and aren't doing anything to force mistakes out of the opposition, averaging just 3.1 steals per games as a team (9th).
Thank you for consistently posting an excellent Scout. It's a big help to everyone on the Discussion Board. Would love to collaborate if you are up for it. DM me.
01-25-2019 03:54 AM
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Proff Offline
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Elon (Saturday, Jan 26, 4 PM)
We are 9.5 favorites with (according to ESPN) 83.7% chance of winning.

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01-25-2019 06:12 PM
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EvanJ Offline
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RE: Elon (Saturday, Jan 26, 4 PM)
(01-23-2019 12:47 PM)Seahawk Nation 08 Wrote:  * Free Throw Shooting: The Phoenix haven't made many trips to the charity stripe; their 92 attempts in CAA play ranks only ahead of Towson's 87. But they've at least made the most of their opportunities when they get there, shooting at a .793 clip to rank 2nd in the league.
https://static.caasports.com/custompages...nfonly.htm says Hofstra leads at .793 and they're 3rd at .760.
01-25-2019 10:09 PM
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Seahawk Nation 08 Online
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RE: Elon (Saturday, Jan 26, 4 PM)
(01-25-2019 10:09 PM)EvanJ Wrote:  
(01-23-2019 12:47 PM)Seahawk Nation 08 Wrote:  * Free Throw Shooting: The Phoenix haven't made many trips to the charity stripe; their 92 attempts in CAA play ranks only ahead of Towson's 87. But they've at least made the most of their opportunities when they get there, shooting at a .793 clip to rank 2nd in the league.
https://static.caasports.com/custompages...nfonly.htm says Hofstra leads at .793 and they're 3rd at .760.

Yep, I wrote this up before the Thursday games, so the numbers are slightly out of date.
01-25-2019 10:48 PM
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RE: Elon (Saturday, Jan 26, 4 PM)
-7.5
O/U 151
01-26-2019 08:06 AM
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EvanJ Offline
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RE: Elon (Saturday, Jan 26, 4 PM)
(01-25-2019 10:48 PM)Seahawk Nation 08 Wrote:  
(01-25-2019 10:09 PM)EvanJ Wrote:  
(01-23-2019 12:47 PM)Seahawk Nation 08 Wrote:  * Free Throw Shooting: The Phoenix haven't made many trips to the charity stripe; their 92 attempts in CAA play ranks only ahead of Towson's 87. But they've at least made the most of their opportunities when they get there, shooting at a .793 clip to rank 2nd in the league.
https://static.caasports.com/custompages...nfonly.htm says Hofstra leads at .793 and they're 3rd at .760.

Yep, I wrote this up before the Thursday games, so the numbers are slightly out of date.
OK.
What are you doing in NYC? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IZeZPMnmhhE is a video where two couples broke into the unused Conference Room at the Marriott Marquis. One couple took a nap, and the other couple left and locked them in. The couple woke up and got out a side door. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D1R7gLrjXkE is by the other couple.

http://realtimerpi.com/cgi-bin/rpi/scout...date=01-26 predicts a blowout of 89-68. It gives you an 85.7 percent chance at winning, which doesn't make sense because if it expects you to win by 21 your probability of winning should be higher.

http://sevenovertimes.com/gamepreviews.p...6_350_2210 expects you to win 79-71.
(This post was last modified: 01-26-2019 09:22 AM by EvanJ.)
01-26-2019 09:15 AM
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Proff Offline
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Elon (Saturday, Jan 26, 4 PM)
Line is us by 7.5 with the over/under at 150.5.

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01-26-2019 09:18 AM
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Seahawk Nation 08 Online
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RE: Elon (Saturday, Jan 26, 4 PM)
(01-26-2019 09:15 AM)EvanJ Wrote:  
(01-25-2019 10:48 PM)Seahawk Nation 08 Wrote:  
(01-25-2019 10:09 PM)EvanJ Wrote:  
(01-23-2019 12:47 PM)Seahawk Nation 08 Wrote:  * Free Throw Shooting: The Phoenix haven't made many trips to the charity stripe; their 92 attempts in CAA play ranks only ahead of Towson's 87. But they've at least made the most of their opportunities when they get there, shooting at a .793 clip to rank 2nd in the league.
https://static.caasports.com/custompages...nfonly.htm says Hofstra leads at .793 and they're 3rd at .760.

Yep, I wrote this up before the Thursday games, so the numbers are slightly out of date.
OK.
What are you doing in NYC? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IZeZPMnmhhE is a video where two couples broke into the unused Conference Room at the Marriott Marquis. One couple took a nap, and the other couple left and locked them in. The couple woke up and got out a side door. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D1R7gLrjXkE is by the other couple.

http://realtimerpi.com/cgi-bin/rpi/scout...date=01-26 predicts a blowout of 89-68. It gives you an 85.7 percent chance at winning, which doesn't make sense because if it expects you to win by 21 your probability of winning should be higher.

http://sevenovertimes.com/gamepreviews.p...6_350_2210 expects you to win 79-71.

We’re here for the Baseball Writer’s dinner! I promise you we were not those couples, haha.
01-26-2019 09:54 AM
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Seahawkhoops Offline
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RE: Elon (Saturday, Jan 26, 4 PM)
This team is so damn frustrating. Couldn’t have possibly had a worse start
01-26-2019 04:22 PM
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70shawk Offline
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RE: Elon (Saturday, Jan 26, 4 PM)
(01-26-2019 04:22 PM)Seahawkhoops Wrote:  This team is so damn frustrating. Couldn’t have possibly had a worse start

No rhythm at all..
01-26-2019 04:29 PM
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SEA33HAWK Offline
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RE: Elon (Saturday, Jan 26, 4 PM)
We're getting better open shots than they are. And our shots look like bricks from h3ll.
01-26-2019 04:33 PM
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82hawk Offline
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RE: Elon (Saturday, Jan 26, 4 PM)
Shooting WAY to many 3's. Why?
01-26-2019 04:46 PM
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Seahawkhoops Offline
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RE: Elon (Saturday, Jan 26, 4 PM)
Aside from our ***** not going in giving up 43 in half one to freaking Elon is concerning
01-26-2019 04:59 PM
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Seahawkhoops Offline
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RE: Elon (Saturday, Jan 26, 4 PM)
If we don’t start guarding threes I’m going to lose my fn ****!!
01-26-2019 05:10 PM
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RE: Elon (Saturday, Jan 26, 4 PM)
Typical for the CB era, one step forward 2 back.. perimeter D absolutely terrible again and we let a bottom dweller hang 90 on us, AT HOME. Sorry fellas and I know everyone is a homer here but he can’t coach a lick. Not a lick. His recruiting isn’t bad but we have seen a year and a half of largely garbage. So disappointed for what we have become
01-26-2019 06:13 PM
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Gary Miller Offline
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RE: Elon (Saturday, Jan 26, 4 PM)
Our defensive woes make us vulnerable to any team we play, puts way to much pressure on our offense. Guys got in their own heads in the first half. Unfortunately, if our defense doesn’t get better this team isn’t going anywhere.
01-26-2019 06:15 PM
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Seahawk2010 Offline
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RE: Elon (Saturday, Jan 26, 4 PM)
(01-26-2019 06:13 PM)Seahawkhoops Wrote:  Typical for the CB era, one step forward 2 back.. perimeter D absolutely terrible again and we let a bottom dweller hang 90 on us, AT HOME. Sorry fellas and I know everyone is a homer here but he can’t coach a lick. Not a lick. His recruiting isn’t bad but we have seen a year and a half of largely garbage. So disappointed for what we have become

I’m not going to say he can’t coach at all and win here. But it’s become pretty clear he can’t coach defense period. If we were an average defensive team we would be in the top 4 in the CAA this year. He needs to shake up the staff and bring in an assistant to give him some guidance.
01-26-2019 06:28 PM
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