(01-21-2019 12:08 AM)Hokie Mark Wrote: (01-20-2019 10:31 PM)JRsec Wrote: ...I would like to think that the SEC has a shot at Texas and Kansas as a pair because of the value that combination would bring. I subsequently think that FOX may have insisted on Oklahoma (to the B1G).
...But if Texas wants to protect Tech it is possible that [the SEC] might wind up with Texas and Tech while Oklahoma and Kansas head to the Big 10, and West Virginia and Notre Dame go in with the ACC.
JR, you know I basically agree with this and I hope it happens just as you laid out here... one question though: to dissolve the Big XII GoR takes 8 votes if I'm not mistaken, but this is only 5... would the SEC, B1G and ACC all grow to 17 in order to take one more each? (If so, that definitely spells the end of divisions!) If so, who else would they take?
Just my thoughts, but I don't think 17 would be an option.
I think the networks would try to get creative with the contract.
Let's say the remainders of the Big 12 were TCU, Baylor, Oklahoma State, Kansas State, and Iowa State. Let's also say they used the Big 12 branding to acquire a few G5s with promise.
I'd choose Houston, Memphis, UCF, USF, Cincinnati, UConn, and BYU.
Now, you've got a pretty solid 12. They could guarantee the current rate to the original 5 until the end of their contract. Offer a prorated amount to the incoming 7. I would think that'd make everybody happy.
The remnants of the Big 12 will hate the departure of Texas and Oklahoma, but they have to see the writing on the wall. There's no way those 2 are sticking around for another contract which means the gravy train is coming to an end one way or the other.
With this arrangement, they still get paid what they've been promised and they get exit fees to boost the bottom line. They still get a reasonably solid Big 12 to be a part of that should be paid fairly decent in the next round.
If they hold out until the contract is up then Texas and Oklahoma are leaving anyway and the networks have no motivation to help them find stable footing.