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I just worked on the probabilities of the top pod "pod people #1"
Position #1, ODU: odu win or odu loss and utsa loss >95% (my guess)
Position #1 UTSA, odu loss and utsa win <5% (my guess)

Position #2: WKU: WKU win; or WKU loss and UTSA loss 75/25% WKU @ UAB
#2 UTSA: ODU win and UTSA win and WKU loss 25/75% LaTech @ UTSA

Position #3 UTSA ODU win, WKU loss, UTSA win 60/40%
#3 WKU: WKU loss, ODU win, UTSA win 40/60%

Position #4 UNT, unless something crazy happens (1-2 vs WKU, UTSA and USM) 95%
Position #5 USM no tie breakers of reasonable explanation (1-2 vs WKU, UTSA AND UNT. PLUS LOSS H2H vs UNT) 95%

From a pod-game competitive standpoint, I would like our chances slightly better on a 2nd chance in San Antonio than a first time this season in Denton.

But from a fan perspective, I prefer the revenge aspect of getting the Roadpeckers at the Ted (well done on inventing this nickname ODUDJ96, if it was you).

(02-15-2019 12:30 PM)Mr.BigBlue Wrote:  I am NOT a fan of the pod system. If I am not mistaken one conference tried it before us and did it for 1 year and stopped because it was not effective. CUSA now has 1 team in the NET top 100 and that is ODU at 83. Actually the rest of the top 5 are over 110. So a loss to these teams will hurt us. From a pure ODU perspective this sucks. For the other top 5 teams, it will benefit them if they play ODU and win. Also...if it stays like it is today...we would be on the road to NT and USM. Those are horrible and tiring trips.

NT is an easy trip.

Yeah, USM sucks.

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk

Is it me, or have the CUSA "Power Teams" this year traditionally been the 200+ RPI bottom dwellers?

UNT, UTSA, FAU, FIU.

These were the anchors weighing down our conference, right?

Old Dominion 11-3 -- .786 21-6 .778 W5
Western Kentucky 9-5 2 .643 16-11 .593 L1
Southern Miss 9-5 2 .643 17-9 .654 W6
UTSA 9-5 2 .643 15-12 .556 L2
North Texas 8-6 3 .571 20-7 .741 L3
UAB 8-6 3 .571 16-11 .593 W2
Florida Atlantic 7-7 4 .500 16-11 .593 W2
Marshall 7-7 4 .500 14-13 .519 W1
Florida International 7-7 4 .500 16-11 .593 W2
Louisiana Tech 7-7 4 .500 17-10 .630 W2
Rice 5-9 6 .357 10-17 .370 L2
Middle Tennessee 5-9 6 .357 8-19 .296 L3
UTEP 3-11 8 .214 8-17 .320 L2
Charlotte 3-11 8 .214 6-19 .240 L1

Based on this we go on the road to NT and UTSA. But I think NT fell out based on tie breakers and UAB is in at #5. I hate playing at UAB. We get USM and WKU at home.

(02-16-2019 06:09 PM)Mr.BigBlue Wrote:  Old Dominion 11-3 -- .786 21-6 .778 W5
Western Kentucky 9-5 2 .643 16-11 .593 L1
Southern Miss 9-5 2 .643 17-9 .654 W6
UTSA 9-5 2 .643 15-12 .556 L2
North Texas 8-6 3 .571 20-7 .741 L3
UAB 8-6 3 .571 16-11 .593 W2
Florida Atlantic 7-7 4 .500 16-11 .593 W2
Marshall 7-7 4 .500 14-13 .519 W1
Florida International 7-7 4 .500 16-11 .593 W2
Louisiana Tech 7-7 4 .500 17-10 .630 W2
Rice 5-9 6 .357 10-17 .370 L2
Middle Tennessee 5-9 6 .357 8-19 .296 L3
UTEP 3-11 8 .214 8-17 .320 L2
Charlotte 3-11 8 .214 6-19 .240 L1

Based on this we go on the road to NT and UTSA. But I think NT fell out based on tie breakers and UAB is in at #5. I hate playing at UAB. We get USM and WKU at home.

Hopefully we go 4-0 in bonus play, but even if we go 2-2, I think we'll be okay.

(02-16-2019 08:36 PM)N2theBlue Wrote:  [quote='Mr.BigBlue' pid='15910421' dateline='1550358599']
Old Dominion 11-3 -- .786 21-6 .778 W5
Western Kentucky 9-5 2 .643 16-11 .593 L1
Southern Miss 9-5 2 .643 17-9 .654 W6
UTSA 9-5 2 .643 15-12 .556 L2
North Texas 8-6 3 .571 20-7 .741 L3
UAB 8-6 3 .571 16-11 .593 W2
Florida Atlantic 7-7 4 .500 16-11 .593 W2
Marshall 7-7 4 .500 14-13 .519 W1
Florida International 7-7 4 .500 16-11 .593 W2
Louisiana Tech 7-7 4 .500 17-10 .630 W2
Rice 5-9 6 .357 10-17 .370 L2
Middle Tennessee 5-9 6 .357 8-19 .296 L3
UTEP 3-11 8 .214 8-17 .320 L2
Charlotte 3-11 8 .214 6-19 .240 L1

Based on this we go on the road to NT and UTSA. But I think NT fell out based on tie breakers and UAB is in at #5. I hate playing at UAB. We get USM and WKU at home.

NT fell out. UAB is the 5 seed.

(02-17-2019 08:46 AM)ODU-FAN Wrote:  

(02-16-2019 08:36 PM)N2theBlue Wrote:  [quote='Mr.BigBlue' pid='15910421' dateline='1550358599']
Old Dominion 11-3 -- .786 21-6 .778 W5
Western Kentucky 9-5 2 .643 16-11 .593 L1
Southern Miss 9-5 2 .643 17-9 .654 W6
UTSA 9-5 2 .643 15-12 .556 L2
North Texas 8-6 3 .571 20-7 .741 L3
UAB 8-6 3 .571 16-11 .593 W2
Florida Atlantic 7-7 4 .500 16-11 .593 W2
Marshall 7-7 4 .500 14-13 .519 W1
Florida International 7-7 4 .500 16-11 .593 W2
Louisiana Tech 7-7 4 .500 17-10 .630 W2
Rice 5-9 6 .357 10-17 .370 L2
Middle Tennessee 5-9 6 .357 8-19 .296 L3
UTEP 3-11 8 .214 8-17 .320 L2
Charlotte 3-11 8 .214 6-19 .240 L1

Based on this we go on the road to NT and UTSA. But I think NT fell out based on tie breakers and UAB is in at #5. I hate playing at UAB. We get USM and WKU at home.

NT fell out. UAB is the 5 seed.

Correct. We play WKU, USM @ home and UTSA & UAB on the road.

2 game cushion is really nice going into POD play ! So a 6 loss team made it into POD#1.

Old Dominion 11-3 -- .786 21-6 .778 W5
Western Kentucky 9-5 2 .643 16-11 .593 L1
Southern Miss 9-5 2 .643 17-9 .654 W6
UTSA 9-5 2 .643 15-12 .556 L2
North Texas 8-6 3 .571 20-7 .741 L3
UAB 8-6 3 .571 16-11 .593 W2
Florida Atlantic 7-7 4 .500 16-11 .593 W2
Marshall 7-7 4 .500 14-13 .519 W1
Florida International 7-7 4 .500 16-11 .593 W2
Louisiana Tech 7-7 4 .500 17-10 .630 W2
Rice 5-9 6 .357 10-17 .370 L2
Middle Tennessee 5-9 6 .357 8-19 .296 L3
UTEP 3-11 8 .214 8-17 .320 L2
Charlotte 3-11 8 .214 6-19 .240 L1

(02-17-2019 09:16 AM)Mr.BigBlue Wrote:  2 game cushion is really nice going into POD play ! So a 6 loss team made it into POD#1.

Old Dominion 11-3 -- .786 21-6 .778 W5
Western Kentucky 9-5 2 .643 16-11 .593 L1
Southern Miss 9-5 2 .643 17-9 .654 W6
UTSA 9-5 2 .643 15-12 .556 L2
North Texas 8-6 3 .571 20-7 .741 L3
UAB 8-6 3 .571 16-11 .593 W2
Florida Atlantic 7-7 4 .500 16-11 .593 W2
Marshall 7-7 4 .500 14-13 .519 W1
Florida International 7-7 4 .500 16-11 .593 W2
Louisiana Tech 7-7 4 .500 17-10 .630 W2
Rice 5-9 6 .357 10-17 .370 L2
Middle Tennessee 5-9 6 .357 8-19 .296 L3
UTEP 3-11 8 .214 8-17 .320 L2
Charlotte 3-11 8 .214 6-19 .240 L1

I don't believe NT did.

Would like to see us steamroll our way to 4-0 in bonus play

*ideally with strong post play

(02-17-2019 10:57 AM)FantomVII Wrote:  

(02-17-2019 09:16 AM)Mr.BigBlue Wrote:  2 game cushion is really nice going into POD play ! So a 6 loss team made it into POD#1.

Old Dominion 11-3 -- .786 21-6 .778 W5
Western Kentucky 9-5 2 .643 16-11 .593 L1
Southern Miss 9-5 2 .643 17-9 .654 W6
UTSA 9-5 2 .643 15-12 .556 L2
North Texas 8-6 3 .571 20-7 .741 L3
UAB 8-6 3 .571 16-11 .593 W2
Florida Atlantic 7-7 4 .500 16-11 .593 W2
Marshall 7-7 4 .500 14-13 .519 W1
Florida International 7-7 4 .500 16-11 .593 W2
Louisiana Tech 7-7 4 .500 17-10 .630 W2
Rice 5-9 6 .357 10-17 .370 L2
Middle Tennessee 5-9 6 .357 8-19 .296 L3
UTEP 3-11 8 .214 8-17 .320 L2
Charlotte 3-11 8 .214 6-19 .240 L1

I don't believe NT did.

NT didn’t but UAB at 8-6 did because they won the tie breaker. UAB is the 5 seed in Bonus play.

Correct ! NT is out UAB is in.

(02-11-2019 02:26 PM)odu09 Wrote:  

(02-11-2019 02:00 PM)Punk Wrote:  This doesn't have to do with the standings, but I didn't want to start a new topic. I just noticed that North Texas is still receiving 7 votes in the coaches poll. What's up with that?

http://sportspolls.usatoday.com/ncaa/bas...l/2018/14/

Out of all the polls out there, the coaches poll is the worst one. It is mostly grad assistants. If you want insight on what college basketball fans are thinking without any media impacts, try the reddit poll. There's even an odu voter

https://www.reddit.com/r/CollegeBasketba...l_week_15/

North Texas coaches poll votes went up to 9 this week, lol. They've lost 3 in a row. Also Southern Miss got a vote in the coaches poll.


In the reddit poll, VCU actually got a vote this week.

(02-18-2019 02:24 PM)Punk Wrote:  

(02-11-2019 02:26 PM)odu09 Wrote:  

(02-11-2019 02:00 PM)Punk Wrote:  This doesn't have to do with the standings, but I didn't want to start a new topic. I just noticed that North Texas is still receiving 7 votes in the coaches poll. What's up with that?

http://sportspolls.usatoday.com/ncaa/bas...l/2018/14/

Out of all the polls out there, the coaches poll is the worst one. It is mostly grad assistants. If you want insight on what college basketball fans are thinking without any media impacts, try the reddit poll. There's even an odu voter

https://www.reddit.com/r/CollegeBasketba...l_week_15/

North Texas coaches poll votes went up to 9 this week, lol. They've lost 3 in a row. Also Southern Miss got a vote in the coaches poll.


In the reddit poll, VCU actually got a vote this week.

I think all the D2 & D3 teams they beat are still voting for North Texas.

I didn’t want to start a new thread and figured this is the best place for this post. I don’t understand how North Texas is still getting 9 votes for the Top 25 (Coaches Poll) while ODU gets 0. Even USM got a vote. Are they even paying attention? I don’t get it.

(02-18-2019 07:21 PM)ODU-FAN Wrote:  I didn’t want to start a new thread and figured this is the best place for this post. I don’t understand how North Texas is still getting 9 votes for the Top 25 (Coaches Poll) while ODU gets 0. Even USM got a vote. Are they even paying attention? I don’t get it.

Many don't....

(02-18-2019 07:21 PM)ODU-FAN Wrote:  I didn’t want to start a new thread and figured this is the best place for this post. I don’t understand how North Texas is still getting 9 votes for the Top 25 (Coaches Poll) while ODU gets 0. Even USM got a vote. Are they even paying attention? I don’t get it.

I'd say, let's just pound them again... but they're not in our pod.

(02-18-2019 07:21 PM)ODU-FAN Wrote:  I didn’t want to start a new thread and figured this is the best place for this post. I don’t understand how North Texas is still getting 9 votes for the Top 25 (Coaches Poll) while ODU gets 0. Even USM got a vote. Are they even paying attention? I don’t get it.

http://www.odusports.com/ViewArticle.dbm...=211791484

(02-19-2019 01:11 PM)Punk Wrote:  

(02-18-2019 07:21 PM)ODU-FAN Wrote:  I didn’t want to start a new thread and figured this is the best place for this post. I don’t understand how North Texas is still getting 9 votes for the Top 25 (Coaches Poll) while ODU gets 0. Even USM got a vote. Are they even paying attention? I don’t get it.

http://www.odusports.com/ViewArticle.dbm...=211791484

That’s my tweet that he references. :).