(01-11-2019 02:02 AM)ShilohTiger Wrote: (01-10-2019 10:12 PM)PATiger Wrote: Not counting tonight's game, Harris is 39.5% from the field and 33.9% from 3pt range.
Alex Lomax is 39.3% from the field and 6.3% from 3pt range.
Statistically, they are two of the three worst shooters on the team. Only David Wingett at 10.0% from the field is worse.
Yes - I was just looking at the numbers after 16 games.
Harris has taken 123 - 3PT at 34%
Martin has taken 64 - 3PT at 28%
Obviously, going into this season these were considered our two best shooters with many offensive sets keyed to getting them open 3 PT shots.
I'd be curious to know what their %'s are in practice (surely they chart that, right?)
But how many times have we heard announcers say "that wasn't a good shot" when one of these two just flings up a shot after coming across half court without making passes, ball reversal or finding an open shooter first?
Davenport, Brewton, Thornton & Maurice are all shooting better than >40%, with Jones shooting ~38%. Albeit with much less quantity.
I would assume that subjective loyalty to Martin & Harris would have these coaches continue to give these guys the green light. We may live and die by the 3PT with these two guys.
Martin has made only 1 or ZERO 3PT'ers in 12 of 16 games. I would like to trust that he'll find his form, but the trend hasn't really showed that statistically yet.
For Harris, many of us worry that his shot just doesn't translate to D1 level competition. Comparisons with S. Curry are unfair because their games are not even close. Curry is 6'3" and maybe the greatest basketball shooter of all time. We'll be happy if Harris makes the all conference team by his senior year. He really needs to work on his 2PT FG game, offensive shot selection, getting his teammates involved and playmaking. When you listen to Coach Hardaway, I believe he knows and is preaching this.
If you charted Harris' minutes - they've trended down from ~30min/game to ~22 in the last 10 games or so which is reflected in the fact that he's not starting and not coincidentally Jones' minutes have grown from ~15 min/game up to ~23 min/game, along with Jones increases in scoring. Again, this reflects good coaching and the decision to "bench" (i.e. less minutes) a shooter in a slump.
Finally, the word slump is inaccurate in these circumstances. Martin might be in a season long funk, but Harris is just widely inconsistent. Harris is a streaky shooter. He's missed all his 3PT shots in 4 out of 16 games, only 1 - 3PT make in two games and has only three games where he shot better than >41% - 3PT in 16 total games. That's not a slump. In a quarter of his games, he's missed all his 3PT attempts. When he makes shots, he's roughly at ~38% 3PT shooter in college. Not bad, but not a slump, just a low average worse than seven of his teammates.
After all that analysis, I say play him 15-20 minutes a game. If he makes his first shot and is hot, play him more, if not, let him sit until the second half and repeat. Or if he learns how to reverse the ball more often, take smarter 3PT shots, get his 2PT shot going, and involve his teammates more and get better at defense, then let him play more.
I don't know how many times I see small 6' guards shoot right over the top of him on defense and this is a giant liability. This doesn't mean I don't like him as a player. He's an awesome FT shooter and should be in the game when we are ahead and the other team is fouling for sure. I also think he should play all year and get some of his kinks out, but just at reduced minutes, which has already happened. I will be rooting for him for the next 4 years, and would love to see him average 20+ ppg. Maybe he'll get hot in the Conf tourney, and we make the NCAAs.
Now, all that being said, there is a slight statistical anomaly that sticks out on Harris. When he takes double digit 3 PT attempts (>10 3PT/A), his % is >45%. Which means when he is hot (5 games), he shoots more and makes them. Of his ofer games, after the first game of the season where he went 0-6, the other two games he only had 3 attempts. Of the one-for games, the two that stand out are the Tennessee game (1-9) and Houston (1-5), but we can probably assume since they were big games, he kept shooting because we needed his scoring, but truthfully we lost those games no matter how well Harris shoots. So he has adjusted his attempts when his shot isn't falling. Which maybe after all the analysis means, that the player and the coach already know what they are doing...
By the way, I'm loving the new stat links.
https://gotigersgo.com/cumestats.aspx?path=mbball&
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shooter in a slump
