Owl 69/70/75
Just an old rugby coach
Posts: 80,803
Joined: Sep 2005
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I Root For: RiceBathChelsea
Location: Montgomery, TX
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RE: 2019 Football Schedule
(12-18-2018 05:03 PM)Frizzy Owl Wrote: (12-18-2018 04:49 PM)Owl 69/70/75 Wrote: (12-18-2018 02:28 PM)Frizzy Owl Wrote: It is historically verifiable fact that beating bad teams does not, in itself, lead to beating good teams.
Also, upgrading the schedule is not in Rice's control. Rice will get limited opportunities to beat good teams, and building a program that can clean up against G5 dregs and FCS teams, but can't win the big games, will get the program exactly nowhere. This, too, is a matter of historical record.
It's true that a program that can beat good teams can also beat bad teams. The converse is not true.
To respond to your first sentence, it is at least equally historically verifiable, and intuitively obvious, that losing to bad teams sure as hell doesn't lead to beating good teams. To respond to your last paragraph, it is at least equally true, and again intuitively obvious, that a program that cannot beat bad teams cannot beat good teams.
That's where we are now. The road to get from not being good enough to beat bad teams to being good enough to beat good teams clearly passes through getting good enough to beat bad teams. When you're not good enough to beat bad teams, you're not going to improve enough to beat good teams without first becoming good enough to beat bad teams.
The idea that we can somehow get good enough to beat an LSU or TexasU or aTm, without being good enough to go 10-2 or better against a CUSA schedule seems rather incredulous. We have to walk before we can run.
And on the flip side, I can't see much of a signature win in beating LSU or TexasU or aTm, and coming home and losing to ODU or UTSA or UTEP. TCU's signature wins were signature wins because they came on top of winning 9, 10, 11, or 12 other games. Beating LSU or TexasU or aTm in the process of winning 2 or 3, means no more that beating TexasU on the way to 2-8 in 1965, or beating LSU on the way to 2-8 in 1966, or beating aTm on the way to 3-7 in 1969.
What I am saying, and what I think OO is saying, is that we want to see Rice be good enough to beat LSU and TexasU and aTm, as Rice did when we were undergrads, but first we have to be good enough to beat UTEP and UTSA and UNT and LaTech and Southern Miss. And we are not doing that now.
For those on the other side of this issue, exactly how do you expect to build a team that can beat LSU or TexasU or aTm without being good enough to dominate CUSA?
Man, this straw man takes a beating and just keeps coming back.
Let me rephrase, and then we'll see how OO and you can twist my words. Should be amusing.
Bloomgren's predecessor built a team that could - briefly - amass a good W-L record but that didn't amount to much in the overall D-I rankings. A 10 win season didn't lead to glory because his team - even at its best - was never more than a paper tiger. I don't want another paper tiger. I want a team that actually is good because of a focus is on building a good team, not on amassing a good W-L record against poor competition. There's a difference, a big difference, a demonstrable difference between the two.
As for your last question, I never said or even implied anything to that effect. That's a deliberate misrepresentation of what I said.
I don't want a paper tiger either. I want a good team. I have two very specific points:
1) What you characterize as "amassing a good W-L record against poor competition" is a necessary step on the way from where we are now to being a good team. The problem with 2013 is not that we were what you call a paper tiger, but that we didn't build on that to become what you call a good team. A 10-win season didn't lead to glory because it led to an 8-win season and a 5-win season and a 3-win season and a 1-win season. Had we continued to improve from 2013 instead of regressing, I think we beat TexasU in 2015 (we were not that far apart). Winning games against the poor competition that CUSA provides has to be a step on the way, not the objective. I think we agree on that.
2) If we were to beat an LSU or TexasU or aTm without dominating CUSA, it would mean little or nothing. If, for example, we had started 2014 by upsetting either ND or aTm, and then come home and lost to ODU, we would pretty much have thrown away any gain. It would be the kind of one-off that ODU beating VaTech was this year.
So, to recap, we can't get to be good enough to beat LSU or TexasU or aTm without first getting good enough to dominate CUSA, and if by some fluke we did beat an LSU or TexasU or aTm without dominating CUSA, it would be pretty much meaningless. So rather than argue whether one or the other should be the objective, I simply say that neither is realistically going to happen without the other and neither really means much without the other.
As far as your comment about my question, I'm not saying that you said or implied anything to that effect, because I quite frankly don't know WTF you were trying to say.
(This post was last modified: 12-20-2018 10:06 AM by Owl 69/70/75.)
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