(11-09-2018 04:15 PM)AllTideUp Wrote: I'll just throw this out there.
If FOX buys out CBS then everything could be settled sooner than later. Big IF I suppose, but it appears possible.
1. FOX buys out SEC contract from CBS.
2. FOX redoes the contract with the SEC in exchange for a long term extension for 1st tier and I assume some basketball games.
3. ESPN and FOX forgo the Big 12 GOR in exchange for long term deals and avoiding the open market bidding. That excludes FAANG along with other suitors like NBC and Turner.
Stability returns for quite some time.
Let's say FOX is interested in bolstering the Big Ten content so that they can make that their tent pole product for college sports. They could move Oklahoma and Iowa State into the B1G while putting Texas and Kansas into the SEC. We've discussed some of this before.
Both the major leagues sit at 16...one primarily with ESPN and shared by FOX while the other leans more towards FOX, but is shared by ESPN.
At this point, you can go ahead and rebuild the Big 12 with a few schools from the American. Let's say the 6 remaining schools join up with Cincinnati, UConn, Houston, Memphis, UCF, and USF. Now you've got a halfway decent 12 team league that FOX and ESPN can also split right down the middle. Pay them a decent rate on a long term deal and they should accept the dissolution of the current GOR.
A wildcard here is what you do with the PAC 12. Their GOR will expire around the same time so the question is does ESPN and FOX want to continue to share that property? Someone needs to invest in a conference network and better distribution in order for that league to continue to grow.
SEC - 16
Big Ten - 16
ACC - 15
Big 12- 12
PAC 12 -12
There's a great deal of stability in that setup.
That's a plausible theory. But what if the major networks aren't worried about stragglers just yet? If they control that much of the P5 why not maximize it.
Iowa State, Kansas, Notre Dame, Virginia, North Carolina, and Duke to the Big 10.
They stop at 20 and all of them AAU but Notre Dame.
Oklahoma, Texas, N.C. State, Virginia Tech, Clemson and Florida State to the SEC.
We stop at 20.
Baylor, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, T.C.U., Texas Tech, and West Virginia join with Boston College, Pittsburgh, Syracuse, Louisville, Georgia Tech, Miami, Wake Forest and together they add Cincinnati, Memphis, Connecticut, Temple, Houston, Central Florida and South Florida to form a new 20 member conference.
New Conference:
Baylor, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, T.C.U., Texas Tech
Connecticut, Boston College, Pittsburgh, Syracuse, West Virginia
Central Florida, Georgia Tech, Miami, South Florida, Wake Forest
Cincinnati, Houston, Louisville, Memphis, Temple
New Big 10:
Duke, Maryland, North Carolina, Notre Dame, Virginia
Indiana, Ohio State, Penn State, Purdue, Rutgers
Illinois, Michigan, Michigan State, Northwestern, Wisconsin
Iowa, Iowa State, Kansas, Minnesota, Nebraska
New SEC:
Auburn, Clemson, Florida, Georgia, N.C. State
Alabama, Kentucky, South Carolina, Tennessee, Virginia Tech
Florida State, Louisiana State, Mississippi, Mississippi State, Vanderbilt
Arkansas, Missouri, Oklahoma, Texas, Texas A&M
Now the PAC can remain as is.
That's 72 schools in a P4.