https://nypost.com/2018/10/20/the-republ...the-house/

Good discussion by NY Post of the battle for the House. Post tends to be conservative. Note that while they call Cook non-partisan, from reading their articles, Cook is definitely being written by Democrats. It also has better projections for Democrats than Inside Elections or RealClear Politics.

"...Making projections in an era of chaotic politics and lightning-fast news cycles is dicey. As this story went to print, nonpartisan prognosticators were predicting a narrow Democratic takeover — in the range of 25 seats on the low end, which would win Democrats a barely governable two-seat majority, to 40 seats on the high end.

To understand Republicans’ precarious position, look no further than where the battle for the House is being fought. Of the 48 districts rated a “toss-up” or likely to change hands by the Cook Political Report, just three are currently controlled by the Democratic Party. Inside Elections, meanwhile, rates 44 seats as a “toss-up” or leaning toward switching parties — all but eight held by the GOP...."

A couple of points missed by the article:

1. Although the article focused on where republicans are vulnerable, it did not mention the handful of very blue seats that democrats are set to lose. Two MN and one PA blue seats appear to be lost for the democrats.

2. Republicans just shifted another $1.5million to defeat Donna Shalala in a+20 Hillary district. Shalala is in real trouble here, as recent stints (campaigning with a castro supporter) as well as being one of the worst campaigners since Hillary has put this race in play.

3. Virtually all of the movement in the past two weeks has been from tossup to republican.

Does Cook still have Texas as a toss-up lol

Interesting article. As I scrolled down looking at individual races, without looking at the names and party affiliation below, I tried to guess the pub from the dim candidate. I do believe I was right 100% of the time. Of course, Donna Shalala was a gimme.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articl...house.html

Another article.

It mentions 5 reasons Republicans could hold the House. It doesn't mention a possible 6th. Because of the hatred spewed by the Democrats, Republicans are more reluctant to talk to pollsters. Historically, reluctant people have been relatively even on both sides. I don't know if that is true any longer. I see some results like Georgia governor being a 2 point race that make absolutely no sense. We'll get some idea if there is a leftist bias in the honest polls (ie not Emerson or CNN).

In the 69 competitive house races, republicans are now polling +1.

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/gop-can...poll-finds