RE: 2018 MAC Football Pick 'Em -- Week 4
Like how I used to always do it with my ex -- I'm playing from behind on this one, too. But I'll throw in my analysis below.
BOLD = MY PICK (Underline = My pick against the spread)
Akron @ Iowa State -18.5
*Akron beating NW shows they have a decent team this year. Iowa State's going to have their hands full, but Toledo's ex-HC for Iowa State isn't going to let the Zips unzip their own zippers in front of a home crowd. Iowa State wins by roughly 2 TDs, maybe 17 to seal it, and keeps them at bay.
W. Kentucky @ Ball State -2.5
*Ball State gave Notre Dame a game of it, but got solidly beat by Indiana who they've beat recently. Indiana has a better ball club this year who's going bowling for sure. Even though Notre Dame's overrated, Ball State's still solidly better than last year. W Kentucky didn't give Wisconsin a game + barely got past D1AA Maine. That said, they gave @Louisville all they could handle, so this game COULD go either way. I say Ball State wins by a FG, because it's at home and barely beats the spread.
Northern Illinois @ Florida State -10
*I hope I'm wrong on this. FSU is bleeding, and this is the time to strike! But NIU's offense is BAD. Their D can step up, but it will Tire due to their bad O. NIU smells blood, but FSU will step up to take their frustrations out of on the Huskies. NIU may make a game of it. They could even win with their O FINALLY having a heartbeat, if that happens. But I doubt it. FSU by 14.
Miami-OH -6.5 @ BGSU
*Miami's having a disappointing season so far. And BGSU is looking worse than expected, too. I expect Miami with more potential talent to take their aggression out on BGSU, but there will be an Ohio slugfest going on for some of the time. Miami by 10+.
Ohio @ Cincinnati -8
*The spread dropped a couple points for a reason. If Ohio wasn't so unimpressive against the D1AA in Week 1, nor falling SO behind Virginia (who got whipped by Indiana) in Week 2, I'd make this my weekly upset. And that Can still happen. Would be no shocker. But it's @Cinci, and Cinci will pull it out by a TD or a FG, just shy of the spread, I'm thinking. But obviously they could win by a lot more.
Nevada @ Toledo -10.5
*The Mudhens are going to win this solidly by a couple TDs. They're frustrated they didn't have as good a handle on Miami-FL as they could have last week and let it slip away TOO much in the 2nd half. It's at Toledo, which is a tough place to play. Toledo solidly wins.
Buffalo -5 @ Rutgers
*This is the most solid MAC win over a P5 pick of the week, if one were going to make it. Buffalo's Good this year. And Rutgers sucks. Rutgers would not win the MAC, not score points with a cute MAC cheerleader. Buffalo wins by 14.
Kent State @ 'Ole Miss -28.5
*The ONLY reason I have Kent State beating the spread is that it's a 28.5pt spread, not 28. I say KSU loses by 4 TDs. Ole Miss' offense is SUPPOSED to be awesome, yet got Shut Down by Alabama only scoring 7. You would have figured, ya know, at LEAST 17 by the end of the game in garbage time, right? That gives an Improved KSU team a chance to beat the spread, and that they'll do. But 'Ole Miss will pump out their frustrations out on KSU, which will keep it from being a close game. Ole Miss by 4 TDs.
Eastern Michigan @ San Diego State -12
*This could be a close game, and I damn wish it will be. But it is in SDSU, and SDSU beat the team that beat MSU -- Arizona State. EMU should be pretty decent this year AND SDSU may be basking in beating a ranked team, which should keep EMU in the game. But, I can't honestly predict definitively that EMU's going to make it a 1 possession game. I say SDSU will win by 14-17 pts, but won't run away from it much.
Western Michigan -7.5 @ Georgia State
*Oh boy. This game could go either way, due to the question marks surrounding WMU and how they'll fare. This game's the first real test, since Syracuse looks notably better this year (maybe?). Georgia State with a scrambling/running QB, but not much of a D. WMU will light them up, but WMU's D is nothing to gloat about, especially when it comes to a mobile QB. I expect it to be high scoring, but WMU will win by 2 TDs as Georgia State won't keep up, and WMU's D and special teams will keep them contained within reason.
(This post was last modified: 09-20-2018 09:12 PM by toddjnsn.)
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2018 MAC Football Pick 'Em -- Week 4
