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BearcatJerry Offline
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Exclamation 2018 Season Prediction Thread
So, here's how the upcoming season looks:

September 1 @ UCLA
September 8 @ Miami (Ohio)* [Neutral Site: PBS]
September 15 Alabama A&M
September 22 Ohio University
September 29 @ UConn
October 6 Tulane** [Homecoming]
October 13 Bye
October 20 @ Temple
October 27 @ Southern Methodist
November 3 Navy
November 10 South Florida
November 17 @ Central Florida
November 23 East Carolina

So... Pick em'. Where are the "wins," where are the likely "losses," where are the "trap games." What does the final record look like.
Have at it!
 
08-16-2018 09:36 PM
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BearcatJerry Offline
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RE: 2018 Season Prediction Thread
I'll take a stab at it:

September 1 @ UCLA LOSS (But I expect it to be a CLOSE game, but the road gives the edge to UCLA...) 0-1

September 8 @ Miami (Ohio)* [Neutral Site: PBS] WIN 1-1

September 15 Alabama A&M WIN (Better be a blow-out) 2-1

September 22 Ohio University LOSS (Ohio is a good team... I hate it but I think they win this one...) 2-2

September 29 @ UConn WIN (UConn is at least 2 years away from being competitive...) 3-2

October 6 Tulane** [Homecoming] WIN (You gotta win homecoming.) 4-2

October 13 Bye

October 20 @ Temple WIN (Huge revenge win coming off the BYE) 5-2

October 27 @ Southern Methodist WIN (With Bowl Eligibility on the line, the 'Cats come through...) 6-2

November 3 Navy LOSS (Navy is always a tough game... Just hope for no injuries on this one) 6-3

November 10 South Florida LOSS (This is a tough game to guess, but USF has too much talent for a young Bearcat team.) 6-4

November 17 @ Central Florida LOSS (Got to see if Heupel has the goods or not, but UCF is the reigning Conference Champ...at home no less.) 6-5

November 23 East Carolina WIN (The swan-song for Montgomery... He may well have lost the team by this point in the season. A BIG blowout to end the season would be nice.) 7-5

7-5 and we're bowling...probably in Birmingham, maybe Annapolis...
 
(This post was last modified: 08-16-2018 09:55 PM by BearcatJerry.)
08-16-2018 09:54 PM
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RuckleSt Offline
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RE: 2018 Season Prediction Thread
(08-16-2018 09:36 PM)BearcatJerry Wrote:  So, here's how the upcoming season looks:

September 1 @ UCLA - L
September 8 @ Miami (Ohio)* [Neutral Site: PBS] - W
September 15 Alabama A&M - W
September 22 Ohio University - W
September 29 @ UConn - W
October 6 Tulane** [Homecoming] - W
October 13 Bye
October 20 @ Temple - Toss-Up leaning L
October 27 @ Southern Methodist Toss-UP leaning W
November 3 Navy - L
November 10 South Florida - L
November 17 @ Central Florida - L
November 23 East Carolina - W

6-6 seems reasonable
7-5 seems possible
8-4 seems somewhat possible - the ball will need to bounce our way
9-3 no way - We were absolutely stomped by UCF, USF, and Navy last year and I don't think we can make up enough ground in one year to beat them, so we have three guaranteed losses with them on the schedule. Add in UCLA away, and we have 4 Ls.

So... Pick em'. Where are the "wins," where are the likely "losses," where are the "trap games." What does the final record look like.
Have at it!
 
08-16-2018 09:58 PM
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UCGrad1992 Offline
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RE: 2018 Season Prediction Thread
Here's my predictions based on gut feelings:

L September 1 @ UCLA
W September 8 @ Miami (Ohio)* [Neutral Site: PBS]
W September 15 Alabama A&M
W September 22 Ohio University
W September 29 @ UConn
W October 6 Tulane** [Homecoming]
October 13 Bye
L October 20 @ Temple
L October 27 @ Southern Methodist
W November 3 Navy
L November 10 South Florida
L November 17 @ Central Florida
W November 23 East Carolina

7-5 is the best we can do but 6-6 is just as likely.
 
08-17-2018 07:30 AM
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bearcatfan Offline
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RE: 2018 Season Prediction Thread
L September 1 @ UCLA
W September 8 @ Miami (Ohio)* [Neutral Site: PBS]
W September 15 Alabama A&M
L September 22 Ohio University
W September 29 @ UConn
W October 6 Tulane** [Homecoming]
October 13 Bye
L October 20 @ Temple
L October 27 @ Southern Methodist
L November 3 Navy
L November 10 South Florida
L November 17 @ Central Florida
W November 23 East Carolina

5-7 unfortunately
 
08-17-2018 07:37 AM
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JPBearcat3 Offline
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RE: 2018 Season Prediction Thread
Vegas says 6 wins. I'll go 6 wins.

And if they're 4-2 or 5-1 going into the bye week, that might be enough to buy some coverage from the local media. It won't necessarily be warranted given the schedule, but there will be optimism around the program we haven't felt in 2 years.
 
08-17-2018 07:48 AM
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bearcatmark Offline
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RE: 2018 Season Prediction Thread
I think UC will finish 6-6 or 7-5. Beating Bama A&M is the only sure thing.

I think out of Miami, Ohio, UConn, SMU and ECU, they'll probably win 3 or 4.
I think out of the rest (UCLA, Tulane, Temple, Navy, USF, UCF) they'll steal at least 1, more likely 2.

Anything better is awesome. I think fewer wins than that is more likely that more wins, BUT I like their chances of being bowl eligible.
 
08-17-2018 08:02 AM
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cpawstoney Offline
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RE: 2018 Season Prediction Thread
I would be happy with 6-6 to return to a bowl game.
 
08-17-2018 08:03 AM
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Bearcat2012 Offline
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RE: 2018 Season Prediction Thread
L September 1 @ UCLA
W September 8 @ Miami (Ohio)* [Neutral Site: PBS]
W September 15 Alabama A&M
W September 22 Ohio University
W September 29 @ UConn
W October 6 Tulane** [Homecoming]
October 13 Bye
L October 20 @ Temple
L October 27 @ Southern Methodist
L November 3 Navy
L November 10 South Florida
L November 17 @ Central Florida
W November 23 East Carolina


6-6 . I love how this schedule set us up to start 5-1 only to have to beat ECU in the final week to become bowl eligible . I can see us losing to Ohio U but pulling out a Temple or SMU win....so I'll stick to 6-6
 
(This post was last modified: 08-17-2018 08:38 AM by Bearcat2012.)
08-17-2018 08:37 AM
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bearcatmark Offline
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RE: 2018 Season Prediction Thread
Bottom line is they need at least 4 wins before the bye week. If they get 5 I'll be thrilled.
 
(This post was last modified: 08-17-2018 08:49 AM by bearcatmark.)
08-17-2018 08:49 AM
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Banter Offline
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RE: 2018 Season Prediction Thread
(08-17-2018 08:49 AM)bearcatmark Wrote:  Bottom line is they need at least 4 wins before the bye week. If they get 5 I'll be thrilled.

Im not quite sure what to think of that Ohio game. I know OU is supposed to be good this year, but my hope is that having the game played in Cincinnati will give us an edge. I also am cautiously optimistic about our defense, and hope it proves a bit too much for OU.
 
08-17-2018 09:11 AM
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CliftonAve Offline
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RE: 2018 Season Prediction Thread
Like others I see us going 6-6. Most probable wins are Miami, AL A&M, UConn, Tulane, SMU, ECU and USF (they lose a ton from last year).

That being said, I could foresee us only winning 4-5 wins this year as well, Tulane is getting better and we barely scraped by last year. They have a really good coach and more talent than they've had in 20 years. There's a possibility we once again finish with 4 wins but actually be a better team than we were last year (if that makes sense).
 
(This post was last modified: 08-17-2018 09:34 AM by CliftonAve.)
08-17-2018 09:24 AM
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TubaCat Offline
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RE: 2018 Season Prediction Thread


 
08-17-2018 09:24 AM
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bearcatmark Offline
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RE: 2018 Season Prediction Thread
For computer projections. UCF is the only game Bill Connelly has UC's prospects as very dim (12%). UCLA is the other game where UC is a heavy underdog according to his projections. Throwing out Bama A&M and ECU (where he has UC at 79%) he has UC between 37% and 68% in all remaining games. He only has UC as a favorite 5 times, but 6-6 as the most likely record. His projection is off on Miami because he has Miami as the "home" team.

My point is... middling teams almost always win some games fans view as likely losses and lose some games they view as should win games. Eight of UC's 12 games area really games that could go either way where UC is a moderate favorite, moderate under dog or true tossup.

https://www.sbnation.com/college-footbal...ule-roster
 
(This post was last modified: 08-17-2018 09:34 AM by bearcatmark.)
08-17-2018 09:33 AM
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UCGrad1992 Offline
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RE: 2018 Season Prediction Thread
(08-17-2018 09:33 AM)bearcatmark Wrote:  My point is... middling teams almost always win some games fans view as likely losses and lose some games they view as should win games. Eight of UC's 12 games area really games that could go either way where UC is a moderate favorite, moderate under dog or true tossup.

Agree Counselor!
 
08-17-2018 09:38 AM
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Bearcat2012 Offline
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RE: 2018 Season Prediction Thread
(08-17-2018 09:24 AM)CliftonAve Wrote:  Like others I see us going 6-6. Most probable wins are Miami, AL A&M, UConn, Tulane, SMU, ECU and USF (they lose a ton from last year).

That being said, I could foresee us only winning 4-5 wins this year as well, Tulane is getting better and we barely scraped by last year. They have a really good coach and more talent than they've had in 20 years. There's a possibility we once again finish with 4 wins but actually be a better team than we were last year (if that makes sense).

Absolutely. Our 4 wins last year....

-A 12 point win over an FCS team
-An absolute gift from Miami Oh
-Tulane misses a game winning FG 17-16
-4th quarter comeback against UConn who misses a game tying extra point at the end of regulation 22-21

That team was a heartbeat away from 1-11
 
08-17-2018 10:11 AM
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SeniorBearcat Offline
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RE: 2018 Season Prediction Thread
I'll stick with my 7-5 prediction from the USA Today thread that had us #108 03-puke

(05-10-2018 08:51 AM)SeniorBearcat Wrote:  @ UCLA #42 - L
@ MU #101 - W
AAMU - W
OU # 79 - W
@ UConn #117 - W
TULN #90 - W
@ Temple #57 - L
@ SMU #87 - L
NAVY #54 - W
USF #43 - L
@ UCF #27 - L
ECU #120 - W

7-5 at first glance (5-1 at home)...high prediction is 8-4, low side is 5-7 IMHO.
 
08-17-2018 10:17 AM
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OKIcat Offline
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RE: 2018 Season Prediction Thread
(08-17-2018 09:33 AM)bearcatmark Wrote:  For computer projections. UCF is the only game Bill Connelly has UC's prospects as very dim (12%). UCLA is the other game where UC is a heavy underdog according to his projections. Throwing out Bama A&M and ECU (where he has UC at 79%) he has UC between 37% and 68% in all remaining games. He only has UC as a favorite 5 times, but 6-6 as the most likely record. His projection is off on Miami because he has Miami as the "home" team.

My point is... middling teams almost always win some games fans view as likely losses and lose some games they view as should win games. Eight of UC's 12 games area really games that could go either way where UC is a moderate favorite, moderate under dog or true tossup.

https://www.sbnation.com/college-footbal...ule-roster

Great analytics and conclusions and I tend to agree. Seems most of us see between 5 and 7 wins and we're all better predictors than any national observers who know very little about anything outside the top echelon of the P5. While Ohio will be strong this year and could easily be a loss, Nippert has proven to be the x factor in many games against quality competition. Winning the expected games prior to that one and getting a great crowd may go a long way toward securing that win and setting the table for the 6 wins I believe this team can achieve.
 
08-17-2018 10:27 AM
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doss2 Offline
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RE: 2018 Season Prediction Thread
September 1 @ UCLA L
September 8 @ Miami (Ohio)* [Neutral Site: PBS] W
September 15 Alabama A&M W
September 22 Ohio University W
September 29 @ UConn W
October 6 Tulane** [Homecoming] W
October 13 Bye
October 20 @ Temple W
October 27 @ Southern Methodist L
November 3 Navy L
November 10 South Florida L
November 17 @ Central Florida L
November 23 East Carolina W

7-5 but 5-7 is just as likely by flipping OU and Temple to L.
 
08-17-2018 11:02 AM
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Def Berkkat Offline
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RE: 2018 Season Prediction Thread
So we went 4-8 last year...

1) Overall I expect the team to just plain be better this year.
2) Likewise, I expect the coaching staff to be better too.
3) Everybody's afraid of OU. I don't know if it's the green uniforms, but this is not going to be Marshall 2.0 .
4) Everybody's also afraid of SMU. We should have beaten them last year. They've lost their coach and #18, who caught 162 passes against us including a 4th and 73 miracle that saved their skins. We're not losing to them.
5) If we offer ANY defense at all against Navy, we can beat them. We put 32 on them and was within striking distance the entire game with them going through our D like sh*t through a goose.
6) Somebody in the group of Temple, USF or UCF is going to have an off year and lay an egg. We're beating one of those... at least.
7) I don't think the Miami, Tulane and UConn games are going to be as close as they were last year... because we're better this year.

I'd say 8-4 but I fear we will have a WTF game against someone that we should have beat, so I'm calling a solid 7-5.

... and a glorious win against Western Montana Tech in the Badboy Mowers bowl.
 
08-17-2018 11:33 AM
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